Superficial-Horror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 08-07 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-3

Politics

19% 0% $-1

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	11	$228	205	205	+0	open	—	02-28 12:08
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	5	$96	89	89	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 4, 2026?	4	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 06:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:41
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-05 00:18
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 06:03
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	7	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 06:44
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 08:32
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-05 11:16
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 13:32
will russia enter novyi donbas by march 31	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 07:09
will krakens valuation hit high 20b by december 31	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	07-08 03:19
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	5	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 02:14
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	7	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 10:56
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:19
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 01:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	3	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	07-10 14:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	3	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	07-08 09:23
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 03:55
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 11:14
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 11:49
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	5	$76	56	56	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	07-24 12:17
will clavicular visit brazil in 2026 20260714153003047	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	07-15 02:11
will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	07-11 05:52
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	07-03 04:49
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 22:40
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	3	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 10:50:33	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xf7517d…
08-07 10:50:13	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0f251b…
08-07 06:04:54	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x094519…
08-07 06:04:16	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xfe2f2e…
08-05 11:47:02	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x584574…
08-05 11:40:06	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x35a0b6…
08-05 07:23:48	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x863216…
08-05 07:23:39	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	15	72¢	$10	0x53be0d…
08-05 07:23:38	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x68c01e…
08-05 02:00:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa9ae5e…
08-05 02:00:20	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x3c5892…
08-05 00:12:51	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x02a555…
08-05 00:12:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb90f63…
08-02 03:24:02	will trump speak to andy burnham in august 20260731154203534	Yes	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x3e2b98…
08-02 03:22:59	will trump speak to andy burnham in august 20260731154203534	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xeab138…
08-02 03:22:50	will trump speak to andy burnham in august 20260731154203534	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x0176b3…
08-02 03:22:47	will trump speak to andy burnham in august 20260731154203534	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xec8870…
08-01 07:19:12	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x54839e…
08-01 07:18:56	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa0b8e7…
08-01 01:14:51	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xcc0c33…
08-01 01:14:39	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9060c4…
07-26 04:55:12	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x7f7dea…
07-26 04:54:58	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x57dd02…
07-25 15:51:18	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x334c97…
07-25 07:21:18	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x85dd4a…
07-25 07:21:04	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc30d8e…
07-25 06:39:15	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 1 20260724224947399	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5782c0…
07-25 06:38:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 1 20260724224947399	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2506eb…
07-25 03:05:09	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8df754…
07-25 03:04:57	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x612141…
07-25 02:20:27	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa22b68…
07-25 02:20:22	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xedadcf…
07-25 01:31:46	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x0073b4…
07-25 01:29:31	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x92ab82…
07-25 01:22:48	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa32ff3…
07-24 12:17:19	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0x717da9…
07-22 09:50:48	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x4bff83…
07-22 09:50:46	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x07a661…
07-21 21:42:34	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf7e657…
07-20 08:35:37	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	50	31¢	$15	0xbbba6d…
07-20 08:35:21	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x60bde4…
07-18 10:52:07	FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x952214…
07-18 01:52:30	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x8abe9e…
07-17 06:59:33	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xac189c…
07-17 06:39:31	will jl find a team before september 20260715172954686	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5ee13c…
07-17 06:31:28	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x72513d…
07-17 06:27:01	will jl find a team before september 20260715172954686	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x416151…
07-16 06:25:29	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x61f5c2…
07-16 06:25:23	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x250bbc…
07-16 03:04:40	moscow air traffic suspended by july 24 20260713153341191	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x87ef91…
07-16 00:55:58	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x69e576…
07-16 00:55:41	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x79b3d8…
07-16 00:34:08	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xcf7830…
07-16 00:33:17	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd9e1e2…
07-15 04:43:08	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x111000…
07-15 04:39:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x62f108…
07-15 04:24:05	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd644ac…
07-15 02:11:35	will clavicular visit brazil in 2026 20260714153003047	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xb33227…
07-15 02:11:29	will clavicular visit brazil in 2026 20260714153003047	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x20d7d9…
07-15 00:46:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa65f3f…
07-15 00:44:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x54ec1a…
07-13 07:01:52	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xa53041…
07-13 01:33:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6714a5…
07-13 01:33:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb77a89…
07-12 10:03:07	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x23ac1d…
07-12 10:02:49	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x8f6f55…
07-11 05:52:17	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x91926c…
07-11 05:52:05	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc8109a…
07-10 14:50:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x500a23…
07-10 14:50:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x297ffe…
07-10 07:34:17	will gleans valuation hit low 4b by december 31 20260701011238547	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x87ddb5…
07-10 07:34:07	will gleans valuation hit low 4b by december 31 20260701011238547	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xf9fd8b…
07-10 06:30:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x3aff71…
07-10 02:52:05	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x73ebe0…
07-10 02:51:53	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x5bd65b…
07-09 16:55:44	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x11b4b6…
07-09 06:17:50	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xa1d336…
07-09 06:17:38	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6df3f4…
07-08 09:23:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xe58446…
07-08 09:23:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xc007ca…
07-08 09:23:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x47453f…
07-08 03:55:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb635ae…
07-08 03:55:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf5e5a9…
07-08 03:19:43	will krakens valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xdabc67…
07-07 00:36:47	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x3af433…
07-07 00:36:28	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x1a9a14…
07-06 06:36:37	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x013f37…
07-06 04:23:26	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xea64f6…
07-06 04:08:50	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x482557…
07-06 03:11:46	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbbaccf…
07-06 03:11:35	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x650559…
07-05 03:08:38	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xae930b…
07-05 03:08:26	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x37efe1…
07-05 00:18:26	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x20aebe…
07-05 00:18:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe2fd34…
07-03 04:49:55	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x64ecce…
07-03 04:49:46	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xcd7747…
07-03 02:52:56	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x240172…
07-03 02:52:44	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x57ed15…
07-02 10:44:47	will krakens valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x54ed3b…