Superficial-Horror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$5.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-29 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% 0% $-3

Politics

21% 0% $-1

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	11	$228	205	205	+0	open	—	02-28 12:08
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	5	$96	89	89	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 4, 2026?	4	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 06:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:41
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 06:03
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	7	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 06:44
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 08:32
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-05 11:16
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 13:32
will russia enter novyi donbas by march 31	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 07:09
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	5	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 02:14
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	7	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 10:56
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 01:04
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:19
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 03:55
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 11:49
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 11:14
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	5	$76	56	56	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 22:40
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	3	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 10:02
will bitcoin outperform silver in march 2026	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	03-06 12:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 09:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:45
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	04-06 07:15
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 02:03
will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 11:02
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 19:38
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:06:16	will open dip to 3 50 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5735c7…
07-01 03:58:50	will open dip to 3 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x5d9a81…
07-01 03:36:47	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x80e0d6…
07-01 03:36:26	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xc0188d…
07-01 02:21:47	will msft reach 375 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf38b45…
07-01 02:21:37	will msft reach 375 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc2f041…
06-29 11:00:31	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xbe7611…
06-29 11:00:20	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xac1978…
06-29 06:40:01	will lab reach 24 before 2027	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x8ed015…
06-28 09:08:49	will gabriel martinelli score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x0e1cc3…
06-28 08:38:40	will gabriel martinelli score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x7a39a4…
06-24 07:55:47	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0xc50b26…
06-24 07:55:38	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x62c015…
06-24 07:55:38	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x606323…
06-24 07:24:22	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x74737a…
06-24 07:24:07	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd3b66a…
06-22 12:02:17	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xd300ca…
06-22 09:54:59	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa6373b…
06-21 07:08:41	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2f8e0e…
06-21 07:08:32	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1ec4c0…
06-21 06:12:28	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x9b074a…
06-21 02:18:26	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb2eabc…
06-21 02:16:04	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe4e6e6…
06-21 02:07:01	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x506c2b…
06-20 11:42:43	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xda2445…
06-20 11:42:31	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa284ee…
06-19 12:25:41	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x6d82a7…
06-19 12:25:23	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xcdd1e8…
06-19 11:02:26	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6eb492…
06-19 11:02:13	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x0a84d9…
06-19 04:46:59	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc59fe7…
06-18 12:20:05	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x13b963…
06-18 10:29:41	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa3fa2e…
06-17 08:35:26	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x7b48fe…
06-17 08:35:13	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x802592…
06-17 02:35:37	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x91ed08…
06-17 01:54:01	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x989e17…
06-16 12:08:52	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x4a00af…
06-16 10:09:22	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc8e632…
06-16 06:00:21	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0xf58c89…
06-16 05:56:40	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x8cbb13…
06-16 02:56:30	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3be95f…
06-16 02:56:12	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8db6d4…
06-16 02:19:45	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xe326d6…
06-16 02:19:28	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x63a5d7…
06-15 11:42:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x6c1190…
06-15 11:42:36	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x2d2c81…
06-15 02:28:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xbf6441…
06-15 02:27:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xa76ec9…
06-15 02:27:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x29ab0e…
06-15 02:27:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0c0d4e…
06-15 02:27:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf20b35…
06-15 02:27:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0ccc4e…
06-15 02:27:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5941e5…
06-15 02:27:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x23a82c…
06-15 02:27:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9542a1…
06-15 02:27:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7890ee…
06-15 02:27:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd774d2…
06-15 02:27:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa9e8c6…
06-15 02:27:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb0b494…
06-15 02:27:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x09d7a2…
06-15 02:27:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfb4011…
06-15 02:27:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7a6bb5…
06-15 02:27:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xba754a…
06-15 02:27:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb78b8e…
06-15 02:27:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0dcba1…
06-15 02:27:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe86744…
06-14 10:44:21	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x40381c…
06-14 10:25:03	will josu casimir score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x1ed5d5…
06-14 10:24:55	will josu casimir score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x07e924…
06-11 17:00:49	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x93511c…
06-11 10:16:34	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x021f28…
06-11 10:16:16	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb7b62a…
06-11 10:01:48	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xc1df20…
06-11 10:01:36	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x9929c3…
06-11 09:38:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x88e0eb…
06-11 09:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xba10fa…
06-11 03:55:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x997e08…
06-11 03:55:30	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x43a62e…
06-11 02:27:21	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x1cf251…
06-11 02:26:55	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd0c26a…
06-11 02:25:49	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd1f0b0…
06-10 12:00:43	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xca03d4…
06-10 11:37:03	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xcc31f1…
06-10 10:45:15	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb4027d…
06-10 08:40:21	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x323b42…
06-10 08:39:55	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2f314f…
06-10 06:58:06	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7b476…
06-10 02:26:13	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x0eab86…
06-10 02:25:01	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xbcad0f…
06-10 02:06:45	tread fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe122f9…
06-10 02:06:24	tread fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd7c71d…
06-09 10:36:13	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x317dcc…
06-09 10:35:40	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe4e6e1…
06-08 17:23:06	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x88e6fa…
06-07 22:40:52	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x85241a…
06-07 10:23:39	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x3004f5…
06-07 10:22:54	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x976d34…
06-07 10:05:40	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x81a5e2…
06-07 08:17:18	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb718fb…