Superficial-Horror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-09 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-3

Politics

23% 0% $-1

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	11	$228	205	205	+0	open	—	02-28 12:08
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	5	$96	89	89	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 4, 2026?	4	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 06:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:41
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 06:03
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	7	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 06:44
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-05 11:16
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 08:32
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 13:32
will russia enter novyi donbas by march 31	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 07:09
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	5	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 02:14
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	7	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 10:56
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:19
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 01:04
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 11:14
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 11:49
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	5	$76	56	56	+0	open	—	03-04 01:48
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 22:40
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	3	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 10:02
will bitcoin outperform silver in march 2026	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	03-06 12:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:45
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 02:03
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	04-06 07:15
will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 11:02
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 19:38
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 05:07
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 03:19
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	03-14 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:36:13	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x317dcc…
06-09 10:35:40	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe4e6e1…
06-08 17:23:06	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x88e6fa…
06-07 22:40:52	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x85241a…
06-07 10:23:39	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x3004f5…
06-07 10:22:54	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x976d34…
06-07 10:05:40	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x81a5e2…
06-07 08:17:18	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb718fb…
06-07 04:40:09	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x1ec595…
06-07 04:39:27	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb03239…
06-07 04:24:51	will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x1410dd…
06-07 02:26:49	will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x76f416…
06-07 02:20:37	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xd720d1…
06-07 01:50:12	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x3cc2fb…
06-05 11:49:24	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x08f4e9…
06-05 11:49:03	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xdf227f…
06-05 10:20:28	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x1181df…
06-05 10:05:01	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x55e29c…
06-04 11:28:40	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x84e982…
06-04 11:28:19	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x5b4a7d…
06-04 09:37:27	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x78b381…
06-04 02:59:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe8097c…
06-03 07:06:45	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	No	SELL	45	41¢	$18	0x0c1b38…
06-03 07:06:33	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xfdfaa8…
06-03 07:06:28	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x16ee16…
06-03 05:43:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x929b91…
06-03 05:42:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xa46aea…
06-03 04:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xabdef0…
06-03 04:42:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xaccbba…
06-02 08:36:03	Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x95d668…
06-02 08:35:45	Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x06d17a…
06-02 07:47:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x64c2d9…
06-02 07:46:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x720964…
06-02 07:14:02	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xc7bd6c…
06-02 07:13:46	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x576415…
06-02 07:00:17	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x7d2c06…
06-02 07:00:07	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x0e2fbc…
06-02 03:36:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xdd513c…
06-02 03:35:39	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa6dfc0…
06-02 03:03:20	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x723314…
06-02 03:02:49	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x09aacb…
06-01 12:00:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x361e3a…
06-01 09:31:42	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x87745c…
06-01 07:17:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x737b68…
06-01 03:52:14	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfe3c11…
05-28 06:41:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x963eac…
05-28 06:41:22	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x55d7c1…
05-28 03:45:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x7e599a…
05-28 03:45:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xb3bb63…
05-28 03:41:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xa7d6b6…
05-28 03:40:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2c1745…
05-03 05:31:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xf42c7a…
04-30 15:29:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x08384c…
04-30 15:29:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x8af7d9…
04-30 11:06:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0x955f7b…
04-30 09:49:54	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x7dfbe6…
04-30 04:14:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9ab507…
04-29 12:19:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x67dfd2…
04-29 09:59:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x32c15a…
04-16 02:55:40	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x74377d…
04-16 02:45:14	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x6511ec…
04-16 02:14:18	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xc93d38…
04-16 02:14:18	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x19909c…
04-16 02:14:02	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x413b95…
04-16 02:13:42	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0xbadc31…
04-16 02:13:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x407c93…
04-12 11:08:33	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xae9f5a…
04-12 11:08:13	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0x8a8bf6…
04-12 11:07:51	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xffed06…
04-11 10:34:39	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xdb9ad8…
04-11 10:34:27	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x453cfc…
04-11 10:34:25	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa4d0ba…
04-11 10:34:25	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x514f69…
04-11 10:34:23	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x4137ca…
04-11 10:34:03	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x53ed66…
04-11 10:33:53	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x2a1361…
04-11 05:09:01	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xcce0f2…
04-11 05:08:39	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x985801…
04-11 04:12:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x3bac28…
04-11 04:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xe4024f…
04-11 04:12:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x22b9bc…
04-10 07:36:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xf715cf…
04-10 07:19:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x803c10…
04-10 03:17:43	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xb56208…
04-10 03:17:05	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd0dff7…
04-10 03:17:03	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xb6bf82…
04-10 03:17:01	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xf6eb6f…
04-10 03:16:57	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x5c85cd…
04-10 03:16:57	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x208129…
04-10 03:16:39	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xec622d…
04-10 03:16:21	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x08cea9…
04-10 03:13:49	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x119da7…
04-10 03:13:33	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x910f67…
04-09 11:24:03	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x4b09c0…
04-09 10:34:43	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x174a8d…
04-09 10:34:21	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd84dc0…
04-09 09:40:45	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x0b0ff9…
04-09 09:10:57	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xaedc4e…
04-09 09:10:31	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x780412…
04-09 07:15:31	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x04d76b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	108	$3.37M	11,281	06-09 23:21
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	101	$22.1K	1,091	06-09 22:02
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	98	$42.5K	1,901	06-09 21:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	90	$333.0K	8,130	06-09 18:21
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	90	$138.1K	10,419	06-01 05:37
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	88	$127.5K	9,083	06-09 22:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	88	$9.50K	1,599	06-09 17:46
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	86	$41.8K	4,465	06-09 05:49