Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
16.2%
Resolved
37
Trades
253
lifetime
Volume
$150
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 09-28 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
69% 23% -$8
Other
29% 21% -$1
Tech
2% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -6 -$3 68¢ $-4 -$1 05-30 23:51
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-19 09:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -4 -$3 72¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 07:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -12 -$2 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-15 14:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-14 22:42
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -3 -$1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 14:07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +7 $2 8¢ $1 -$2 06-22 21:34
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -1 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 05-04 08:40
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -1 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 14:07