Popular-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$2.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-08 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Politics

96% 63% -$7

Other

2% 95% +$0

Sports

1% 92% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+9	$6	56¢	$5	-$2	07-07 18:15
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	+4	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	06-19 09:20
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	05-15 19:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-2	-$1	72¢	$-1	+$0	06-13 13:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+2	$2	46¢	$1	$0	06-10 01:55
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	-0	$0	11¢	$-0	+$0	07-02 14:56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-4	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	06-09 15:02
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	-0	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-01 21:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	8	$1.2K	594,643	594,643	+0	No	+$0	01-03 23:31
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?	8	$658	329,020	329,020	+0	No	+$0	01-03 23:31
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	8	$602	301,056	301,056	+0	No	+$0	01-03 23:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	7	$15	14	5	+9	open	—	07-07 18:15
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	12	$12	7	6	+1	No	+$0	03-17 13:16
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	60	$11	9	9	+0	No	-$4	07-07 18:02
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	17	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-18 21:01
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	22	$9	13	11	+2	No	+$2	05-15 19:29
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	10	$8	5	3	+2	Yes	+$0	06-08 02:29
will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	8	$7	7	1	+6	open	—	06-25 22:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	45	$6	6	4	+2	open	—	06-10 01:55
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	14	$6	16	14	+2	No	+$1	03-17 13:46
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	5	$5	3	3	+1	No	+$0	06-07 17:10
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 11:56
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	107	$5	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-08 05:07
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	4	$5	5	0	+4	open	—	06-19 09:20
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	6	$4	5	3	+2	No	-$1	06-02 16:08
will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	16	$4	2	2	+1	open	—	06-25 22:56
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	7	$3	5	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 13:54
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	3	$3	3	2	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 13:18
will fabien roussel advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	5	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-02 14:56
will carole delga advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	4	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 08:18
will franois brianon be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-16 12:44
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-13 21:55
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-07 00:09
will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	3	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-25 00:52
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-23 01:54
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	2	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	07-07 11:55
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	06-22 15:46
will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	6	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 04:14:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb87c37…
07-08 04:14:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb4918d…
07-08 04:14:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x3c66c1…
07-08 02:43:43	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe6452a…
07-07 21:02:31	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x91c84e…
07-07 18:15:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc92388…
07-07 18:15:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5326be…
07-07 18:15:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9d089d…
07-07 18:15:50	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xea5722…
07-07 18:15:50	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9d46eb…
07-07 18:02:04	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x6588ff…
07-07 18:02:02	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x91fcce…
07-07 18:02:02	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x25b34f…
07-07 18:02:01	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x124664…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf790e6…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7bbab7…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7b0cc9…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x77b9e5…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x576184…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x16353b…
07-07 18:01:59	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x064cc2…
07-07 18:01:58	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xe4bdeb…
07-07 18:01:58	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xb32af7…
07-07 18:01:58	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x08e635…
07-07 18:01:56	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x252be4…
07-07 18:01:55	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xcf1ec5…
07-07 18:01:55	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x8205f9…
07-07 18:01:55	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x49f03f…
07-07 18:01:53	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf9013a…
07-07 18:01:53	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xa742e9…
07-07 18:01:53	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x49b913…
07-07 18:01:53	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x2cff9a…
07-07 18:01:52	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xd1b0ce…
07-07 18:01:52	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x99f7ba…
07-07 18:01:52	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7ab48a…
07-07 18:01:50	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x2d87bb…
07-07 18:01:50	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x269368…
07-07 18:01:49	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xe8f78e…
07-07 18:01:49	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x4d82ee…
07-07 18:01:49	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x2e70d3…
07-07 18:01:47	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xb215f3…
07-07 18:01:47	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x9a712d…
07-07 18:01:47	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x5dcf78…
07-07 18:01:47	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x5b651b…
07-07 18:01:47	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x44c145…
07-07 18:01:46	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x87e559…
07-07 18:01:46	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x44aad8…
07-07 18:01:46	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x4021e5…
07-07 18:01:44	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x37fcff…
07-07 18:01:44	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x26e768…
07-07 18:01:43	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf029d1…
07-07 18:01:41	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x19284d…
07-07 18:01:19	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xbc59e5…
07-07 18:01:19	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x03cf2f…
07-07 18:01:17	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xa76b89…
07-07 18:01:16	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xf89172…
07-07 18:01:14	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xe84e49…
07-07 18:01:14	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x7254e5…
07-07 18:01:14	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x5ac445…
07-07 18:01:14	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x330f0b…
07-07 18:01:13	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x75fff4…
07-07 18:01:07	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x1c4ff4…
07-07 18:00:55	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xc1240e…
07-07 18:00:49	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xb68118…
07-07 18:00:46	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xc7194e…
07-07 18:00:44	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xa4173d…
07-07 17:10:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x0e00e9…
07-07 11:55:07	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb55ce6…
07-07 11:55:07	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa23c0e…
07-07 11:55:05	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc64ecc…
07-07 11:55:02	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4a1ee0…
07-07 11:54:41	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x925d87…
07-07 11:49:41	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x873c4f…
07-07 11:39:40	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4e7236…
07-07 11:34:34	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x20e788…
07-02 14:56:29	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x9ff858…
07-02 14:56:26	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x047667…
07-02 14:56:19	will fabien roussel advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6d9a78…
06-27 10:41:11	will fabien roussel advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcbc279…
06-25 22:56:13	will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xd901fa…
06-25 22:56:13	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x253a47…
06-25 22:55:32	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe87ce1…
06-25 22:55:23	will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x54f81b…
06-25 21:34:19	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xae0c7e…
06-25 14:57:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x408e25…
06-25 09:47:02	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbb22d5…
06-25 09:47:01	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1bda4b…
06-25 09:46:59	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1010a3…
06-25 09:46:58	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x159fe6…
06-25 09:46:56	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x63f4a9…
06-25 08:18:28	will carole delga advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x4a2b90…
06-25 05:46:28	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0023d9…
06-25 00:52:56	will carole delga advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf7b45…
06-25 00:52:55	will carole delga advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ca233…
06-25 00:52:49	will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbd0498…
06-25 00:52:49	will carole delga advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa129a5…
06-25 00:52:28	will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78b1f1…
06-25 00:52:22	will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fa9f2…
06-25 00:52:11	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x7e1419…
06-25 00:48:14	will michel barnier advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe07e3d…