Darling-Top — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-09 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$1

Other

21% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	127	$12.1K	9,239	3,076	+6,163	open	—	04-30 02:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	26	$2.2K	223	2,036	-1,813	open	—	07-15 02:35
will trump visit china by march 31	14	$1.2K	560	610	-50	open	—	03-29 14:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-15 15:24
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	16	$790	805	0	+805	open	—	05-04 15:17
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	6	$604	640	0	+640	open	—	08-05 22:43
Trump out as President before 2027?	11	$531	592	0	+592	open	—	07-04 14:40
ebola pandemic in 2026	11	$480	321	188	+133	open	—	08-09 04:16
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	9	$446	350	100	+250	open	—	05-13 15:57
Trump out as President by May 31?	10	$424	431	0	+431	open	—	05-01 00:29
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	23	$383	332	53	+280	No	+$2	05-07 15:18
will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	3	$369	398	0	+398	open	—	07-13 07:31
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	19	$354	368	0	+368	open	—	05-08 15:58
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	27	$350	366	0	+366	open	—	05-11 17:06
will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	9	$276	301	0	+301	open	—	07-16 16:27
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	7	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	04-11 11:03
will cuba recognize israel by december 31	3	$246	270	0	+270	open	—	07-16 16:31
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?	5	$242	248	0	+248	open	—	04-20 14:14
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	7	$234	235	0	+235	No	+$1	05-02 09:57
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	2	$225	0	225	-225	open	—	07-01 06:43
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-14 01:41
will turkey strike iran by march 31	13	$195	201	0	+201	open	—	03-21 14:31
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$168	170	0	+170	open	—	05-12 15:35
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	9	$149	100	62	+38	open	—	04-11 10:54
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	4	$127	70	70	+0	open	—	04-10 12:23
will iran recognize israel by december 31	3	$118	125	0	+125	open	—	07-21 23:53
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	05-17 15:43
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	6	$109	109	0	+109	open	—	05-04 13:32
will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	2	$104	113	0	+113	open	—	07-05 03:58
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$98	93	12	+80	open	—	03-31 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 04:16:48	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x21b36b…
08-08 11:14:13	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf1a60b…
08-08 05:54:49	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0x35200d…
08-07 12:37:36	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x89e80e…
08-07 11:59:55	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x154a91…
08-07 10:36:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0f7339…
08-07 10:31:49	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbf2c99…
08-07 10:23:28	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe3b4df…
08-07 10:05:10	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xec887f…
08-07 09:56:52	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7c191c…
08-07 09:55:58	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe85ada…
08-07 09:48:18	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x2ba162…
08-05 22:43:51	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	118	94¢	$111	0x05d73d…
08-05 18:47:30	mamdani opens city owned grocery store by december 31 20260628213717626	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x0cda96…
08-01 03:27:12	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x87e088…
07-23 18:39:07	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xd80d41…
07-23 18:38:13	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x78128c…
07-21 23:53:19	will iran recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x00b7f8…
07-19 18:11:48	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94f0d1…
07-18 11:19:39	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x31f624…
07-17 15:11:24	will tunisia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x5a198e…
07-17 11:30:40	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17 game2	TYLOO	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x10bacc…
07-17 11:06:27	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17 game2	TYLOO	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf00fac…
07-17 02:18:48	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x4d78a5…
07-16 21:50:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x43d1eb…
07-16 16:36:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x451da7…
07-16 16:31:50	will cuba recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x9e26f3…
07-16 16:27:43	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x3d06d8…
07-16 04:55:05	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xc92204…
07-15 02:35:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	210	98¢	$206	0x50c8e0…
07-14 18:01:17	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x994af7…
07-13 12:22:16	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x56235e…
07-13 07:31:14	will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x18d1bc…
07-12 15:37:46	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x3898f1…
07-12 10:52:04	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0d5a9f…
07-11 03:54:40	mamdani opens city owned grocery store by december 31 20260628213717626	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5a3cb0…
07-10 09:58:14	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	11	92¢	$11	0x2f68f4…
07-08 22:03:19	mcdonalds in cuba announced in 2026 20260626010407076	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x562e67…
07-08 21:09:44	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x70e665…
07-08 12:06:26	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xc21da9…
07-07 15:57:47	mamdani opens city owned grocery store by december 31 20260628213717626	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1ec469…
07-07 15:45:38	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x8e1947…
07-07 15:45:01	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x83b178…
07-07 15:43:05	will tunisia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xeee866…
07-07 15:41:19	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xbaca12…
07-07 15:38:41	will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x899e5e…
07-07 15:37:28	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xd7d8a4…
07-07 01:23:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x33db6a…
07-06 18:22:43	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x884be2…
07-06 15:51:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x78e92f…
07-06 15:50:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x06ea0f…
07-06 15:45:56	trump on 250 bill this year	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x475c7d…
07-06 15:36:50	will iran recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc284f2…
07-06 15:34:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	156	98¢	$152	0xe527dc…
07-06 10:40:19	will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc69d4f…
07-06 07:47:31	will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe39159…
07-06 02:50:58	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xed4aa9…
07-05 23:19:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	117	98¢	$114	0x730dee…
07-05 22:12:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x1f0941…
07-05 22:08:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x314c15…
07-05 21:44:41	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	280	94¢	$263	0x534d55…
07-05 16:20:49	mcdonalds in cuba announced in 2026 20260626010407076	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdc4218…
07-05 16:08:52	trump on 250 bill this year	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xc6a78b…
07-05 16:00:46	nasdaq round the clock trading by december 31 20260701160424096	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7c0a58…
07-05 15:53:31	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1bf464…
07-05 14:16:35	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x61e831…
07-05 03:58:53	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	66	92¢	$60	0x27b40e…
07-04 19:41:08	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x6411f3…
07-04 15:53:07	will iran recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6b0ceb…
07-04 15:45:40	will syria recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0x728b9e…
07-04 15:43:08	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x066cf8…
07-04 15:32:01	will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	288	93¢	$268	0x075356…
07-04 15:27:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	288	98¢	$281	0x838a21…
07-04 15:22:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0xe2b3bf…
07-04 15:19:11	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	166	92¢	$153	0xc43af3…
07-04 15:06:26	will syria recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x607790…
07-04 15:04:43	will cuba recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	166	91¢	$151	0x49a66a…
07-04 15:00:10	will cuba recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xe20e4c…
07-04 14:54:52	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$179	0x0719ac…
07-04 14:53:50	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	166	94¢	$156	0xa90bee…
07-04 14:51:04	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x0d0dae…
07-04 14:47:38	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd4e981…
07-04 14:46:29	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bab60…
07-04 14:44:22	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x410c40…
07-04 14:40:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x18e3ab…
07-04 06:13:10	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37a36f…
07-03 18:49:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x2c13fc…
07-03 16:45:19	t mobile us spacex mergeracquisition announced in 2026 20260701221224490	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x719f7d…
07-03 16:24:19	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6b1eb7…
07-03 16:21:17	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x139713…
07-03 15:55:16	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x719e74…
07-03 15:49:56	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9aa88…
07-03 14:55:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x71c07b…
07-03 11:16:14	will cboe futures exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618251	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xad6675…
07-03 10:45:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x308fd6…
07-02 17:38:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xa48f21…
07-02 17:06:46	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d5a86…
07-02 16:39:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3358e5…
07-02 16:32:56	will cboe futures exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618251	No	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0x80165a…
07-02 16:16:01	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6d2981…