Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
638
lifetime
Volume
$26.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.74K
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-19 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
79% 100% +$1
Other
20% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,650 $-1,610 97¢ $-1596 +$14 07-15 02:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +562 $505 92¢ $520 +$15 07-04 14:40
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +522 $493 94¢ $493 +$0 07-07 15:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +69 $64 94¢ $65 +$0 07-16 21:50
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +34 $32 86¢ $29 $-2 07-08 21:09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -18 $-17 91¢ $-16 +$0 07-17 02:18
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 06-13 14:41
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 77¢ $4 +$0 07-03 15:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 07-02 16:39