Realized P&L
+$451
Unrealized P&L
+$679
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
168
Trades
1,335
lifetime
Volume
$74.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$4.73K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-29 08:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
64% 88% +$122
Politics
34% 91% +$312
Tech
2% 94% +$36
Crypto
0% 50% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +2,510 $2,316 97¢ $2.4K +$114 10-12 10:00
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +699 $654 97¢ $675 +$21 09-23 03:23
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +353 $324 95¢ $336 +$11 10-14 22:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +338 $292 96¢ $326 +$34 09-20 12:32
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +268 $255 98¢ $262 +$8 10-10 15:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +161 -$128 98¢ $158 +$286 10-10 12:20
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +121 $112 98¢ $119 +$7 09-17 17:04
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +74 $69 95¢ $70 +$2 07-08 21:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +69 $64 96¢ $66 +$2 07-16 21:50
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +66 $62 95¢ $63 +$1 10-13 15:39
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +52 $45 96¢ $49 +$5 10-12 11:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -28 -$25 97¢ $-27 -$2 08-23 18:37
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +28 $26 95¢ $27 +$1 08-07 09:48
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +22 -$169 97¢ $22 +$191 10-03 12:00
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679 No +25 $21 86¢ $21 +$0 07-18 11:19
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 09-17 15:48
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 -$1 10-10 11:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 04-30 19:59
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -20 -$10 66¢ $-13 -$3 08-22 08:29
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 09-01 11:06
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 09-01 10:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 08-22 16:00
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -5 -$5 93¢ $-5 $0 08-24 16:41