Vicious-Bowl 0x50421c…aff296
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$480
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved
33
Trades
62,700
lifetime
Volume
$505.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-20 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
43% — —
Politics
24% 25% $-160
Other
19% 56% $-68
Sports
12% 33% $-251
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 6376 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -160 $-68 99¢ $-158 $-90 07-13 20:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +220 $115 67¢ $147 +$33 07-09 13:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +140 $96 78¢ $110 +$14 06-04 11:50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -85 $-74 92¢ $-79 $-4 07-13 20:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -276 $-41 26¢ $-73 $-33 07-14 07:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -80 $-70 90¢ $-71 $-1 07-14 07:15
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -80 $-62 81¢ $-64 $-3 07-14 07:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +140 $6 46¢ $64 +$58 07-14 07:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +80 $64 78¢ $63 $-2 07-14 07:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +80 $57 76¢ $61 +$4 06-10 21:34
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -97 $-50 50¢ $-49 +$1 07-14 07:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +65 $53 74¢ $48 $-6 06-14 16:40
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +80 $81 58¢ $47 $-34 07-14 07:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +85 $99 55¢ $46 $-52 07-09 13:23
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +46 $41 97¢ $45 +$4 06-19 01:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -191 $-115 19¢ $-36 +$79 07-09 13:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -49 $-2 62¢ $-31 $-29 07-14 07:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -125 $-35 24¢ $-29 +$6 06-09 14:20
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -29 $-20 100¢ $-29 $-9 06-15 10:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -66 $-26 42¢ $-28 $-2 06-24 14:42
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -57 $-51 42¢ $-24 +$27 06-24 11:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +25 $18 83¢ $21 +$2 06-18 17:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -130 $-69 14¢ $-18 +$51 07-14 07:19
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -103 $-25 16¢ $-16 +$9 07-14 07:19
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -31 $-12 46¢ $-14 $-2 05-29 04:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +16 $-8 86¢ $14 +$22 06-19 04:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -124 $-12 11¢ $-13 $-1 07-09 13:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -82 $-18 12¢ $-10 +$8 07-14 07:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 64¢ $10 +$1 06-25 05:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -177 $-22 6¢ $-10 +$13 07-14 07:22