Realized P&L
+$3.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
10,845
Trades
121,045
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-27 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 52% +$3,783
Other
20% 44% -$2,530
Politics
19% 49% +$1,087
Sports
10% 52% +$1,304
Tech
2% 31% -$523
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 1662 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -261 -$130 96¢ $-250 -$120 07-09 13:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +220 $115 92¢ $201 +$87 07-09 13:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +247 $159 74¢ $181 +$22 07-14 07:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +172 $117 82¢ $140 +$24 06-14 16:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +140 $96 90¢ $126 +$30 06-04 11:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $57 86¢ $81 +$25 06-10 21:34
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +80 $73 97¢ $78 +$5 06-16 04:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +81 $61 94¢ $76 +$15 05-23 20:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +80 $45 93¢ $74 +$29 07-09 13:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +85 $46 84¢ $71 +$25 06-25 05:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +75 $25 94¢ $71 +$45 06-19 04:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +70 $57 99¢ $69 +$12 05-01 15:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +84 $77 81¢ $68 -$9 07-09 13:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +81 $58 82¢ $66 +$8 07-13 20:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -66 -$47 96¢ $-64 -$17 06-11 16:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +218 $83 26¢ $58 -$25 06-25 14:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +67 $23 55¢ $37 +$14 05-26 20:39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +40 $35 90¢ $36 +$1 07-13 20:57
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +37 $32 97¢ $36 +$3 06-22 21:55
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +67 $63 46¢ $30 -$33 07-14 07:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +25 $18 98¢ $25 +$6 06-18 17:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +45 $47 54¢ $24 -$23 06-02 20:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +123 $31 18¢ $22 -$9 06-25 13:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -108 -$20 19¢ $-21 $0 07-14 07:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +45 $51 46¢ $20 -$31 07-14 07:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +220 $116 8¢ $19 -$97 07-09 13:25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +15 -$16 97¢ $14 +$30 06-17 05:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $47 16¢ $14 -$33 07-14 07:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +95 $42 15¢ $14 -$28 06-09 14:20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $26 17¢ $13 -$13 07-09 13:26