Vicious-Bowl 0x50421c…aff296
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$480
Unrealized P&L
+$110
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved
33
Trades
10,869
lifetime
Volume
$299.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$2.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-30 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
41% 25% $-160
Other
31% 56% $-68
Sports
20% 33% $-251
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 335 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +368 $274 83¢ $305 +$31 06-28 04:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +181 $35 100¢ $181 +$146 06-26 17:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +237 $126 60¢ $141 +$15 06-13 17:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +130 $164 100¢ $129 $-35 06-25 14:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +140 $96 74¢ $104 +$9 06-04 11:50
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -89 $-76 100¢ $-89 $-13 06-10 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +277 $164 30¢ $85 $-79 06-29 14:58
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +82 $53 100¢ $82 +$28 06-22 16:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +82 $49 100¢ $81 +$33 06-12 19:20
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +136 $87 59¢ $80 $-7 06-30 04:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +197 $87 40¢ $80 $-7 06-24 09:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -80 $-76 100¢ $-80 $-4 05-30 17:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -80 $-77 100¢ $-80 $-3 05-30 12:44
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +80 $76 100¢ $80 +$4 06-02 20:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -113 $-23 70¢ $-79 $-55 06-29 11:40
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -84 $-73 90¢ $-76 $-2 06-01 11:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +80 $65 90¢ $72 +$8 06-14 21:41
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -79 $-70 88¢ $-70 $-0 06-26 15:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +80 $57 84¢ $67 +$10 06-10 21:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +63 $47 100¢ $62 +$16 06-14 15:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +65 $53 86¢ $56 +$2 06-14 16:40
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -96 $-49 51¢ $-49 +$0 06-15 11:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +272 $55 17¢ $46 $-9 06-24 05:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +81 $81 55¢ $44 $-37 06-26 14:20
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +46 $41 94¢ $43 +$2 06-19 01:23
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -79 $-32 55¢ $-43 $-11 06-23 16:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -276 $-40 15¢ $-40 +$0 06-26 09:56
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +88 $28 41¢ $36 +$8 06-28 05:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -29 $-20 100¢ $-29 $-9 06-15 10:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -111 $-97 24¢ $-26 +$71 06-27 18:38