Realized P&L
+$3.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
11,691
Trades
125,672
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-29 12:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 52% +$4,256
Other
20% 44% -$2,530
Politics
18% 49% +$1,087
Sports
9% 52% +$1,304
Tech
2% 31% -$523
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 1957 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -261 -$130 97¢ $-253 -$123 07-09 13:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +220 $115 90¢ $199 +$84 07-09 13:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +172 $117 82¢ $142 +$25 06-14 16:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +247 $159 55¢ $135 -$25 07-14 07:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +140 $96 92¢ $128 +$32 06-04 11:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +218 $83 46¢ $99 +$16 06-25 14:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +95 $57 86¢ $82 +$26 06-10 21:34
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +80 $73 97¢ $78 +$5 06-16 04:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +81 $61 96¢ $77 +$16 05-23 20:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +80 $45 96¢ $77 +$31 07-09 13:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +85 $46 84¢ $72 +$25 06-25 05:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +75 $25 94¢ $71 +$45 06-19 04:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +70 $57 99¢ $69 +$12 05-01 15:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +84 $77 82¢ $69 -$9 07-09 13:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +81 $58 82¢ $67 +$8 07-13 20:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -66 -$47 97¢ $-64 -$17 06-11 16:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +67 $63 56¢ $38 -$25 07-14 07:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +40 $35 91¢ $36 +$2 07-13 20:57
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +37 $32 98¢ $36 +$4 06-22 21:55
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +67 $23 44¢ $29 +$7 05-26 20:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +45 $51 57¢ $26 -$26 07-14 07:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +25 $18 99¢ $25 +$7 06-18 17:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +123 $31 18¢ $22 -$10 06-25 13:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +220 $116 10¢ $21 -$95 07-09 13:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -108 -$20 18¢ $-20 +$1 07-14 07:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +45 $47 43¢ $19 -$28 06-02 20:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +15 -$16 98¢ $14 +$30 06-17 05:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $47 16¢ $13 -$34 07-14 07:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $26 16¢ $13 -$13 07-09 13:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +95 $42 14¢ $13 -$29 06-09 14:20