Realized P&L
-$587
Unrealized P&L
+$117
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
162
Trades
4,102
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$223
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-21 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
67% 50% $-587
Other
25%
Politics
7%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +153 $78 99¢ $152 +$74 07-07 19:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $45 54¢ $40 $-5 06-25 13:15
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +61 $19 26¢ $16 $-3 07-07 23:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +40 $-60 26¢ $10 +$70 07-21 16:39
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +203 $24 $5 $-19 06-23 15:35