Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$465
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
338
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$1.57K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-30 20:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Politics
40%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,027 $760 70¢ $714 $-46 06-19 05:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +400 $320 100¢ $400 +$80 06-07 15:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +140 $98 100¢ $140 +$42 06-10 22:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +119 $100 100¢ $119 +$19 05-29 18:13
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +231 $50 18¢ $42 $-8 05-30 03:51
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +658 $50 $40 $-10 05-29 19:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $56 10¢ $38 $-18 06-01 04:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +200 $38 16¢ $33 $-5 06-24 15:34
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +211 $31 $14 $-17 06-12 12:10
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +175 $20 $11 $-9 05-30 03:12
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +800 $320 $10 $-310 05-31 12:00
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +120 $47 $2 $-45 05-31 21:11
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes +620 $30 $2 $-28 05-29 20:47
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -145 $-35 $-2 +$34 06-16 09:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +200 $100 $1 $-99 06-18 05:17
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes +969 $0 $1 +$1 06-18 20:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +700 $6 $1 $-6 06-26 20:09
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +642 $30 $1 $-29 05-29 19:58
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +91 $10 $0 $-10 05-27 21:02