Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$401

Unrealized P&L

+$676

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$43.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$5.71K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

43% 65% +$234

Politics

30% 71% +$151

Crypto

27% 100% +$7

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,217	$2,972	96¢	$3.1K	+$101	10-22 00:20
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$900	97¢	$966	+$66	05-26 14:43
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+641	$564	96¢	$614	+$50	10-27 19:40
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+600	$528	97¢	$585	+$57	07-06 11:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+314	$251	92¢	$287	+$36	07-23 22:07
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-1,840	-$937	7¢	$-128	+$809	05-09 13:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+59	$104	90¢	$53	-$51	10-30 07:33
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-11 11:28
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	10-03 12:20
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$392	100¢	$0	-$392	10-23 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	18	$6.0K	3,248	2,785	+463	No	+$4	01-10 03:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	31	$4.0K	2,463	2,463	+0	open	—	10-23 16:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	5	$3.0K	3,217	0	+3,217	open	—	10-22 00:20
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?	2	$2.3K	2,300	101	+2,199	No	+$52	06-07 15:31
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026	16	$2.1K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	-$59	09-16 04:55
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	12	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$109	09-22 02:12
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	10-03 12:20
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	21	$1.6K	980	980	+0	open	—	07-17 14:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	13	$1.6K	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	10-23 16:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?	33	$1.4K	724	723	+0	No	+$1	07-22 05:44
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	2	$1.4K	723	723	+0	No	+$20	09-23 16:25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	No	+$94	10-11 16:10
will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$1	07-08 04:58
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	21	$1.1K	554	554	+0	open	—	10-11 11:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	5	$994	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-13 02:01
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	13	$957	740	600	+140	open	—	08-18 01:11
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$937	0	1,840	-1,840	open	—	05-09 13:47
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-26 14:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	5	$784	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-25 20:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	4	$676	400	400	+0	open	—	06-15 08:23
megaquake by january 31	5	$616	590	71	+518	No	+$38	01-09 11:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$594	559	500	+59	open	—	10-30 07:33
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	3	$571	300	300	+0	No	+$9	05-17 06:03
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	6	$564	641	0	+641	open	—	10-27 19:40
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$528	600	0	+600	open	—	07-06 11:10
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	2	$484	500	0	+500	No	+$16	05-19 20:26
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	18	$462	1,918	1,918	+0	No	+$28	03-14 00:22
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	4	$448	315	207	+108	No	+$48	08-21 05:04
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	1	$392	400	0	+400	No	+$8	05-30 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	3	$364	200	200	+0	Yes	+$24	05-29 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:33:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xf29afc…
10-30 02:32:40	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5232eb…
10-27 19:40:06	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x9ced01…
10-26 12:52:44	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x63a6b2…
10-24 19:46:08	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	287	93¢	$266	0x698fef…
10-23 16:36:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	801	63¢	$505	0x45ab01…
10-23 16:36:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x5eb4b2…
10-23 16:35:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	689	63¢	$434	0xf53318…
10-23 16:35:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x5e05a1…
10-23 16:10:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	702	59¢	$413	0xd01cd3…
10-23 15:09:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,673	2¢	$66	0x09ab46…
10-23 14:32:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x1e9570…
10-23 14:30:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,762	4¢	$65	0x87a01b…
10-23 14:30:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0x1d13df…
10-23 14:29:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe368c8…
10-23 14:29:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	924	4¢	$34	0xe3a1a1…
10-22 16:53:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x3d8357…
10-22 16:43:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	84¢	$44	0xc05aee…
10-22 16:39:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc21649…
10-22 16:36:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe2738b…
10-22 12:57:36	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0xc5a5f2…
10-22 00:20:21	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x9179c4…
10-22 00:03:48	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7fd4e1…
10-21 22:34:45	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5eb4b1…
10-21 22:19:23	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,543	92¢	$2,340	0x71adbb…
10-17 21:40:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x484bff…
10-17 16:16:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa4656b…
10-17 15:54:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	926	93¢	$862	0xe8be1d…
10-17 15:24:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xd09027…
10-17 13:18:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xea0759…
10-17 13:14:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x654678…
10-17 13:12:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x8d9268…
10-17 11:39:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc2089b…
10-17 09:44:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb54689…
10-17 09:29:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xe1270b…
10-17 06:45:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0xf800b3…
10-16 19:23:28	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xdd0a2b…
10-14 02:05:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xfae9a9…
10-13 20:25:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	73¢	$74	0x494d9d…
10-13 19:10:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4b8f28…
10-13 17:30:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x0ec765…
10-13 16:28:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x164fde…
10-11 16:10:52	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,051	93¢	$977	0x9d9c33…
10-11 14:35:34	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	291	93¢	$271	0x903a1c…
10-11 14:21:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x439777…
10-11 11:28:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x58cd42…
10-11 11:22:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x39900d…
10-11 11:03:57	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x6e31d3…
10-11 10:38:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c4768…
10-11 09:38:34	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe94b0a…
10-11 08:54:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x380e09…
10-11 07:41:33	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5d9f79…
10-11 06:16:47	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xea36b2…
10-11 03:42:02	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2ba674…
10-11 02:48:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8f2490…
10-11 02:21:08	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x733143…
10-11 02:13:44	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe40666…
10-11 00:34:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5af95e…
10-10 23:26:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf5c525…
10-10 14:21:22	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x58878d…
10-10 13:40:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb281b2…
10-10 13:39:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x09a2af…
10-10 13:33:43	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x7405c3…
10-10 13:07:48	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c97b2…
10-10 03:49:49	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x114e24…
10-10 03:47:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	539	100¢	$538	0xab2f40…
10-09 18:10:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	75¢	$345	0x6c65a1…
10-09 18:00:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x85469e…
10-09 17:12:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0xa5b4d0…
10-09 17:04:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	435	78¢	$339	0xb87723…
10-09 17:02:13	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	223	92¢	$205	0xfc4fb0…
10-09 17:02:13	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	719	92¢	$661	0xc354e9…
10-03 12:20:14	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	587	77¢	$452	0xaf9aa0…
10-03 10:45:05	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	597	94¢	$561	0x5c8e84…
10-03 08:16:53	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	77¢	$80	0x4c34ae…
10-02 17:32:38	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xcdbe0e…
10-02 14:34:00	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x6da8b2…
10-02 10:54:14	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x995e27…
10-01 13:39:39	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	77¢	$47	0x051509…
10-01 13:39:38	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	345	77¢	$266	0xb7b353…
09-27 21:10:27	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	912	77¢	$702	0x8c3885…
09-27 15:35:12	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	77¢	$160	0x812a3f…
09-25 08:30:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	14¢	$24	0x11f574…
09-25 08:12:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x9a0c8f…
09-25 00:07:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	14¢	$25	0xee6268…
09-24 13:15:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0x49064d…
09-23 16:25:30	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	723	97¢	$703	0x2df455…
09-22 19:23:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	723	94¢	$683	0x2f2648…
09-22 02:12:02	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	786	99¢	$778	0xc17a31…
09-21 04:21:28	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x75b247…
09-17 17:18:22	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	444	87¢	$386	0x0b4534…
09-17 17:17:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd963fc…
09-17 14:43:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xbde46b…
09-17 11:04:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xff75da…
09-17 09:57:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	216	87¢	$188	0x54ccc0…
09-16 04:55:31	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026	No	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x1d09b2…
09-14 09:31:16	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xded7b4…
09-14 06:18:28	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	247	96¢	$237	0xebb865…
09-14 06:15:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	193	96¢	$185	0x670bbc…
09-13 09:28:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x8016d5…