Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
14,212
lifetime
Volume
$81.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$34
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-22 12:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
49%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +16 $16 97¢ $16 $-0 07-22 02:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +8 $13 96¢ $8 $-5 07-22 11:36
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 07-22 06:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 $13 96¢ $-3 $-16 07-22 13:34
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 $-1 07-22 08:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $16 96¢ $0 $-16 07-22 13:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-19 20:18
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-19 00:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-01 13:47
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-29 14:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-21 21:28
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-22 09:26
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-22 10:38
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-20 11:04
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-22 11:56
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-21 14:13
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-14 11:53