Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,363
lifetime
Volume
$25.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$83
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-09 18:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -24 $-19 93¢ $-22 $-3 06-10 01:01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +16 $16 95¢ $15 $-2 06-10 00:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -15 $-10 94¢ $-14 $-4 06-09 21:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 06-10 00:03
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 06-09 07:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +8 $12 98¢ $8 $-4 06-08 13:38
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-09 22:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 $-1 06-08 22:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 00:33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 14:12
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-08 00:48
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 16:14
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-09 08:49
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-01 22:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-08 19:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-07 02:07
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 20:40