Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.48K

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

$5.54K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-01 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

67% 85% +$1,914

Politics

33% 60% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+3,601	$2,306	97¢	$3.5K	+$1,196	10-01 09:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,519	$904	74¢	$1.1K	+$213	09-21 20:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+959	$806	92¢	$878	+$72	07-01 12:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+48	$43	98¢	$47	+$4	07-03 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	1	$2.3K	3,601	0	+3,601	open	—	10-01 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	5	$2.1K	2,253	652	+1,601	Yes	+$29	07-03 11:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$2.0K	1,205	1,205	+0	open	—	07-03 11:23
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	1	$1.4K	2,005	0	+2,005	No	+$555	07-03 20:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$980	628	628	+0	No	+$188	04-18 18:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$904	1,519	0	+1,519	open	—	09-21 20:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$806	959	0	+959	open	—	07-01 12:50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$640	901	0	+901	Yes	+$261	09-01 10:22
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	2	$632	413	413	+0	No	+$159	02-22 22:14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$615	315	315	+0	No	+$15	07-02 21:36
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	2	$600	637	0	+637	No	+$37	07-03 20:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	1	$587	0	632	-632	No	-$44	06-18 18:10
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$576	419	419	+0	No	+$176	03-09 00:31
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$528	334	334	+0	No	+$101	03-24 16:42
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	1	$500	587	0	+587	No	+$87	06-18 18:14
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$469	340	340	+0	Yes	-$27	02-05 06:57
will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	2	$453	243	243	+0	No	+$12	02-19 14:05
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	2	$448	255	255	+0	No	+$48	01-25 18:38
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$436	260	260	+0	No	+$36	01-20 22:14
will russia enter borova by march 31	2	$429	254	254	+0	No	+$3	03-03 15:00
will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	2	$413	225	225	+0	No	+$13	02-13 10:40
will russia capture drobysheve by february 28	2	$413	225	225	+0	No	+$13	02-24 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$310	492	0	+492	No	+$182	07-02 21:37
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	1	$293	380	0	+380	No	+$87	01-08 19:35
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	1	$264	298	0	+298	No	+$34	06-18 18:15
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	2	$245	128	128	+0	No	+$7	02-06 22:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$233	298	298	+0	Yes	-$232	03-01 09:58
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	1	$200	316	0	+316	No	+$116	01-08 19:16
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 15	2	$200	102	102	+0	No	$0	01-12 11:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$177	0	2,921	-2,921	Yes	+$177	06-18 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 09:32:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,601	64¢	$2,306	0xbe21e3…
09-21 20:52:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,519	59¢	$904	0xd7a3a0…
09-01 10:22:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	901	71¢	$640	0x70488d…
07-03 22:51:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x0fd27c…
07-03 20:34:26	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	2,005	72¢	$1,450	0xb5aaec…
07-03 20:05:19	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xafaeb1…
07-03 20:05:19	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x216eca…
07-03 11:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,165	85¢	$987	0x2d675b…
07-03 11:23:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0xfd4434…
07-02 21:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	492	63¢	$310	0xe15c9c…
07-02 21:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$315	0x1b7707…
07-02 21:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	60¢	$260	0xb7717c…
07-02 21:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	652	42¢	$275	0xea4b10…
07-01 12:50:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	959	84¢	$806	0x557241…
07-01 12:49:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xdef36e…
07-01 12:49:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xccd350…
07-01 11:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0x4002aa…
07-01 11:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	325	92¢	$300	0x9dddc1…
07-01 11:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x43140f…
06-18 18:15:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	298	88¢	$264	0x076c20…
06-18 18:14:52	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0x812714…
06-18 18:10:32	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	632	93¢	$587	0x035882…
06-18 17:56:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,921	6¢	$177	0x5a8b78…
06-03 16:28:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	97	73¢	$71	0xe18b7a…
05-01 09:29:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x2ed736…
04-18 18:32:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	628	93¢	$584	0xfa59bb…
03-24 16:42:59	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	334	94¢	$314	0xa546a6…
03-09 00:31:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	419	90¢	$376	0x9fcff7…
03-04 09:32:45	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0xa2e1d4…
03-03 16:40:45	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x4c536e…
03-03 16:40:35	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	SELL	166	20¢	$33	0xbcd334…
03-03 15:00:03	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	254	85¢	$216	0x10f631…
03-01 09:58:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	298	0¢	$0	0xf3d3aa…
02-24 15:21:04	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	BUY	254	84¢	$213	0xb6d4c8…
02-24 15:15:34	will russia capture drobysheve by february 28	No	SELL	225	95¢	$213	0x03888d…
02-22 22:19:46	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	628	63¢	$396	0xb0b35a…
02-22 22:14:02	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	SELL	413	96¢	$396	0x2557da…
02-19 14:09:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	298	78¢	$232	0x7054b1…
02-19 14:05:42	will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	No	SELL	243	96¢	$232	0x3540f5…
02-13 10:44:19	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	334	64¢	$213	0xcda025…
02-13 10:40:29	will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	No	SELL	225	95¢	$213	0x8e94c3…
02-06 22:59:23	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	177	71¢	$126	0xfe51da…
02-06 22:58:47	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	SELL	128	98¢	$126	0xe9e8e0…
02-05 07:03:13	will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	No	BUY	243	91¢	$221	0x52f627…
02-05 06:57:47	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	SELL	340	65¢	$221	0xc7c79e…
02-01 10:11:38	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0xdb3fdc…
02-01 10:05:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	419	48¢	$200	0xa64119…
02-01 10:05:02	will russia capture drobysheve by february 28	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xf9d789…
02-01 10:03:52	will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x1030a9…
01-25 18:39:10	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	340	73¢	$248	0xe440d5…
01-25 18:38:36	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	No	SELL	255	97¢	$248	0xa971ec…
01-20 22:37:04	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	413	57¢	$236	0x6aace8…
01-20 22:14:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	SELL	260	91¢	$236	0x3891ca…
01-12 11:59:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x08af6a…
01-12 11:57:54	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 15	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xb6dd49…
01-08 19:35:24	will russia capture rodynske by january 31	No	BUY	380	77¢	$293	0x55b7bb…
01-08 19:16:26	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	316	63¢	$200	0xa49818…
01-08 18:46:48	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 15	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x780c94…
01-08 18:46:40	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	No	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0x051279…
01-08 18:44:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xe021bd…