Trivial-Residence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$276

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	82¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by february 21	5	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 07:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 06:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:39
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 07:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 01:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 00:57
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:33
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 00:44
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:42:27	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3a2ae4…
06-10 00:39:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x325718…
06-10 00:26:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xffcbde…
06-09 00:24:15	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x66f4b0…
06-09 00:16:10	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b7c99…
06-08 00:20:01	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7b9b22…
06-08 00:14:01	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x37cb08…
06-05 00:36:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf4b128…
06-05 00:35:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x250a58…
06-05 00:27:45	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c1646…
06-05 00:20:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcb8de4…
06-03 00:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x796811…
06-03 00:37:40	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x203c0c…
06-03 00:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8b8f13…
06-02 00:17:02	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x56b94b…
06-02 00:14:45	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc2a576…
06-02 00:01:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x61d97a…
06-01 00:48:01	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x088d95…
06-01 00:46:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xba0975…
06-01 00:26:56	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb09081…
06-01 00:21:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7a5c3…
05-30 00:24:16	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe1ba8e…
05-30 00:02:59	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x188dc6…
05-29 00:37:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8137ed…
05-29 00:36:09	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x687f04…
05-29 00:23:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed5456…
05-29 00:19:51	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa85f52…
05-28 00:57:57	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf26b4…
05-28 00:54:31	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x6792ee…
05-28 00:26:59	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x126f54…
05-27 00:27:35	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x586e6f…
05-27 00:08:55	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3bd38f…
05-26 00:41:03	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe9bcaf…
05-26 00:39:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97fdc8…
05-26 00:26:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbc3d53…
05-26 00:19:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa68472…
05-22 00:39:32	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x559474…
05-22 00:18:19	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1c8d22…
05-21 00:52:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x132d2b…
05-21 00:32:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b5280…
05-20 00:37:41	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x556205…
05-20 00:35:47	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x19d304…
05-20 00:17:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa0f47c…
05-20 00:14:35	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc70e5a…
05-18 00:57:45	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x14e1ec…
05-18 00:49:03	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe506c3…
05-16 00:23:04	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc707a5…
05-16 00:21:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf213d8…
05-16 00:14:29	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5eb489…
05-16 00:09:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x229d28…
05-15 00:57:30	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x5c404e…
05-15 00:55:25	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6209ec…
05-15 00:34:57	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf9648b…
05-15 00:27:27	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1aef2f…
05-14 00:35:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x474a48…
05-14 00:32:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xf23bd2…
05-14 00:23:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x16bf99…
05-14 00:19:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa7fbf…
05-12 00:42:15	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2aac4c…
05-12 00:39:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6fa3df…
05-12 00:21:15	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31ec50…
05-12 00:19:05	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x567270…
05-08 01:23:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8fd5…
05-08 01:18:39	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a8d14…
05-08 01:13:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x473d28…
05-08 00:52:01	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x60fc2b…
05-06 00:26:40	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfb98c6…
05-06 00:15:26	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc47223…
05-05 00:08:16	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x32471c…
04-30 01:43:38	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2b001…
04-30 01:41:14	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe0cc66…
04-30 00:29:36	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5441a8…
04-30 00:24:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a255f…
04-29 00:38:18	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc2e44d…
04-29 00:36:46	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9bae56…
04-29 00:30:36	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94816c…
04-29 00:25:34	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1bc652…
04-28 00:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5e0aa…
04-28 00:42:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8a5419…
04-28 00:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe54366…
04-28 00:29:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd12057…
04-27 00:37:32	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x20992c…
04-27 00:27:30	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa6f4fa…
04-27 00:21:26	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2bbf4e…
04-25 00:57:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa4f9eb…
04-25 00:54:48	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x212187…
04-25 00:47:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe74598…
04-25 00:33:18	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8a4e1…
04-24 00:48:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x167a21…
04-24 00:46:18	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x663a2f…
04-24 00:38:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x41c7c9…
04-24 00:28:24	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x050c10…
04-23 08:56:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x681ce7…
04-23 08:56:12	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x27698f…
04-23 08:54:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8baeb8…
04-23 08:50:02	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x34d7ab…
04-22 07:49:24	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x15043a…
04-22 07:47:42	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd279cc…
04-22 07:34:02	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x01c067…
04-22 06:34:20	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaca389…