Trivial-Residence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by february 21	5	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 07:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 06:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:39
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 07:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 01:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 00:57
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:44
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:33
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:54:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2bb367…
07-02 00:42:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3827d2…
07-02 00:34:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf6a70d…
07-02 00:27:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0841bd…
07-01 00:34:37	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe23e3c…
07-01 00:25:14	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b24fd…
07-01 00:13:53	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27b57f…
06-30 23:57:38	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d51ef…
06-30 00:44:22	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0d9817…
06-30 00:32:35	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9e951c…
06-30 00:28:41	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x51576c…
06-30 00:22:29	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee8317…
06-29 00:53:44	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf76f16…
06-29 00:42:34	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x99eca1…
06-27 00:46:59	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x64543f…
06-27 00:35:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2e2337…
06-27 00:32:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa75eee…
06-27 00:28:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa797ae…
06-26 01:11:29	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe37d66…
06-26 01:05:49	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x77c2cc…
06-25 00:47:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdfd603…
06-25 00:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4703e5…
06-24 00:53:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9b813c…
06-24 00:46:43	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x86aa38…
06-24 00:43:22	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbfab73…
06-24 00:31:26	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x067f83…
06-23 00:53:14	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf60fde…
06-23 00:47:43	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x23b811…
06-23 00:42:07	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9a11dd…
06-23 00:31:31	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x76738f…
06-22 00:47:40	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x36563d…
06-22 00:38:22	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31c467…
06-22 00:33:44	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x21b4ba…
06-22 00:28:04	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1be0c1…
06-21 00:32:04	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9a4e77…
06-21 00:21:38	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x49cb2f…
06-18 00:45:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a676c…
06-17 00:45:26	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7ef972…
06-17 00:37:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf401bb…
06-17 00:31:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe81630…
06-17 00:22:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x159c62…
06-16 00:44:12	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x986d7d…
06-16 00:16:57	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57a038…
06-15 00:59:10	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x632ce3…
06-15 00:56:10	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xac1b63…
06-13 00:54:33	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc9d802…
06-13 00:45:57	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcb6292…
06-13 00:39:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x02717b…
06-12 00:54:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfbb7ca…
06-12 00:29:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1d42d…
06-11 00:42:27	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3a2ae4…
06-10 00:39:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x325718…
06-10 00:26:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xffcbde…
06-09 00:24:15	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x66f4b0…
06-09 00:16:10	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b7c99…
06-08 00:20:01	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7b9b22…
06-08 00:14:01	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x37cb08…
06-05 00:36:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf4b128…
06-05 00:35:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x250a58…
06-05 00:27:45	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c1646…
06-05 00:20:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcb8de4…
06-03 00:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x796811…
06-03 00:37:40	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x203c0c…
06-03 00:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8b8f13…
06-02 00:17:02	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x56b94b…
06-02 00:14:45	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc2a576…
06-02 00:01:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x61d97a…
06-01 00:48:01	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x088d95…
06-01 00:46:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xba0975…
06-01 00:26:56	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb09081…
06-01 00:21:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7a5c3…
05-30 00:24:16	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe1ba8e…
05-30 00:02:59	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x188dc6…
05-29 00:37:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8137ed…
05-29 00:36:09	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x687f04…
05-29 00:23:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed5456…
05-29 00:19:51	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa85f52…
05-28 00:57:57	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf26b4…
05-28 00:54:31	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x6792ee…
05-28 00:26:59	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x126f54…
05-27 00:27:35	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x586e6f…
05-27 00:08:55	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3bd38f…
05-26 00:41:03	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe9bcaf…
05-26 00:39:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97fdc8…
05-26 00:26:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbc3d53…
05-26 00:19:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa68472…
05-22 00:39:32	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x559474…
05-22 00:18:19	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1c8d22…
05-21 00:52:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x132d2b…
05-21 00:32:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b5280…
05-20 00:37:41	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x556205…
05-20 00:35:47	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x19d304…
05-20 00:17:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa0f47c…
05-20 00:14:35	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc70e5a…
05-18 00:57:45	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x14e1ec…
05-18 00:49:03	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe506c3…
05-16 00:23:04	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc707a5…
05-16 00:21:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf213d8…
05-16 00:14:29	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5eb489…
05-16 00:09:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x229d28…