Aware-Corduroy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$277

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	82¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-13 04:07
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:40
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 01:10
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 01:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:24
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:30
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 00:43
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:42:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf077d9…
06-10 00:39:33	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfcb35c…
06-10 00:25:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5e0fda…
06-09 00:23:58	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x301804…
06-09 00:16:03	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x89b5c3…
06-08 00:19:49	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6b7ece…
06-08 00:18:24	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7badcb…
06-05 00:36:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1bd690…
06-05 00:35:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x130d03…
06-05 00:26:33	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5cf9ee…
06-05 00:19:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa3ff84…
06-03 00:38:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7f8745…
06-03 00:37:30	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x365a6a…
06-03 00:21:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x594ed1…
06-02 00:16:43	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x77a342…
06-02 00:14:35	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8f52b3…
06-02 00:01:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a4690…
06-01 00:47:38	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0c5d99…
06-01 00:46:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9dc87e…
06-01 00:26:42	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcdb3de…
06-01 00:20:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf211d9…
05-30 00:24:09	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea604e…
05-30 00:02:47	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7dab13…
05-29 00:37:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8543fc…
05-29 00:36:01	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x89baf2…
05-29 00:23:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb721f9…
05-29 00:17:42	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeb3ad1…
05-28 00:58:08	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x964d2b…
05-28 00:55:48	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0203d0…
05-28 00:26:48	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87c383…
05-27 00:27:28	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1e2c08…
05-27 00:08:41	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb46281…
05-26 00:40:40	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbc0b77…
05-26 00:39:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4d1ba…
05-26 00:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9fab0b…
05-26 00:19:12	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a90c1…
05-22 00:39:28	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdfd946…
05-22 00:18:05	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x13e882…
05-21 00:52:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd2be22…
05-21 00:31:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa0a864…
05-20 00:37:38	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeba755…
05-20 00:35:40	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x56e1d7…
05-20 00:17:42	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf47bff…
05-20 00:14:23	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1abcf…
05-18 00:57:40	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba4a82…
05-18 00:48:55	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa6230…
05-16 00:22:59	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x461f8c…
05-16 00:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5cceb9…
05-16 00:14:24	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67a651…
05-16 00:09:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x00e6ac…
05-15 00:57:24	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc233b0…
05-15 00:55:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb45d32…
05-15 00:34:57	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6cbbd1…
05-15 00:27:20	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x211720…
05-14 00:35:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2f678c…
05-14 00:32:15	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb18f79…
05-14 00:23:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2aae43…
05-14 00:19:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d0135…
05-13 01:00:24	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xfc8e0d…
05-13 00:43:01	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1deb8d…
05-12 00:42:25	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05dcf0…
05-12 00:39:25	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0dbf33…
05-12 00:21:46	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x60abf9…
05-12 00:19:39	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51a7af…
05-08 01:24:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b0e83…
05-08 01:20:15	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xda7905…
05-08 01:14:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf4cdd…
05-08 00:56:03	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf2b31…
05-06 00:26:54	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x08f1c5…
05-06 00:16:06	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb1e13b…
05-05 00:08:30	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9822fb…
04-30 01:43:46	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf49924…
04-30 01:41:24	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8aeb54…
04-30 00:29:44	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc56fe…
04-30 00:25:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x358ba0…
04-29 00:38:24	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2be0c7…
04-29 00:36:36	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1d3896…
04-29 00:30:58	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x721692…
04-29 00:25:40	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d2b09…
04-28 00:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x161c11…
04-28 00:42:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd74e57…
04-28 00:35:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x721860…
04-28 00:29:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe5e9e6…
04-27 00:37:40	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x04eaa9…
04-27 00:36:42	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa9d5bd…
04-27 00:27:48	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x184465…
04-27 00:22:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x339fab…
04-25 00:57:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f1789…
04-25 00:55:24	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1109f1…
04-25 00:50:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14b3bc…
04-25 00:33:26	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x786ac3…
04-24 00:48:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf48681…
04-24 00:46:20	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x083b61…
04-24 00:40:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5fc9f…
04-24 00:28:48	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x00ed08…
04-23 08:57:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfe34d9…
04-23 08:56:22	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6d9dcb…
04-23 08:54:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x10b46a…
04-23 08:50:24	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf828bb…
04-22 07:49:52	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x612c52…