Aware-Corduroy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$324

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

19% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-13 04:07
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:40
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 01:10
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 01:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:24
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:43
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:53:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x456745…
07-02 00:41:53	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f027a…
07-02 00:34:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x448c35…
07-02 00:24:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe92204…
07-01 00:34:29	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc6f1bf…
07-01 00:24:35	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3821e…
07-01 00:14:23	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xebb1ff…
06-30 23:57:08	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x700180…
06-30 00:44:16	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x71fe79…
06-30 00:32:25	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x997483…
06-30 00:28:34	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb23b16…
06-30 00:21:55	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd67ee…
06-29 00:53:32	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x48fd7e…
06-29 00:42:32	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfbdee1…
06-27 00:46:53	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x880eed…
06-27 00:35:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x561204…
06-27 00:32:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc40f72…
06-27 00:28:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8263ee…
06-26 01:11:26	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfda37d…
06-26 01:05:43	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2e9d1…
06-25 00:47:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc526eb…
06-25 00:39:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9c5f2…
06-24 00:53:11	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x61a913…
06-24 00:46:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3e9464…
06-24 00:43:11	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb97cb9…
06-24 00:31:17	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1bc55a…
06-23 00:53:05	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x71e9a2…
06-23 00:47:29	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xafd091…
06-23 00:42:02	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf69959…
06-23 00:31:17	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xec2eea…
06-22 00:47:28	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x70b7be…
06-22 00:38:13	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x853eb8…
06-22 00:33:38	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1e9eba…
06-22 00:27:55	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81b5e3…
06-21 00:31:55	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x595ef8…
06-21 00:21:25	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35d4d7…
06-18 00:45:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc995c6…
06-17 00:45:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x873fb3…
06-17 00:37:41	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73a859…
06-17 00:31:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0b4b66…
06-17 00:22:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x582e60…
06-16 00:43:57	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xae37c2…
06-16 00:16:31	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x07200b…
06-15 00:56:09	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x070bb8…
06-13 00:38:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x858f38…
06-12 00:56:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x71f0dc…
06-12 00:27:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x49c891…
06-11 00:42:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf077d9…
06-10 00:39:33	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfcb35c…
06-10 00:25:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5e0fda…
06-09 00:23:58	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x301804…
06-09 00:16:03	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x89b5c3…
06-08 00:19:49	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6b7ece…
06-08 00:18:24	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7badcb…
06-05 00:36:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1bd690…
06-05 00:35:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x130d03…
06-05 00:26:33	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5cf9ee…
06-05 00:19:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa3ff84…
06-03 00:38:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7f8745…
06-03 00:37:30	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x365a6a…
06-03 00:21:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x594ed1…
06-02 00:16:43	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x77a342…
06-02 00:14:35	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8f52b3…
06-02 00:01:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a4690…
06-01 00:47:38	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0c5d99…
06-01 00:46:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9dc87e…
06-01 00:26:42	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcdb3de…
06-01 00:20:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf211d9…
05-30 00:24:09	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea604e…
05-30 00:02:47	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7dab13…
05-29 00:37:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8543fc…
05-29 00:36:01	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x89baf2…
05-29 00:23:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb721f9…
05-29 00:17:42	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeb3ad1…
05-28 00:58:08	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x964d2b…
05-28 00:55:48	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0203d0…
05-28 00:26:48	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87c383…
05-27 00:27:28	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1e2c08…
05-27 00:08:41	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb46281…
05-26 00:40:40	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbc0b77…
05-26 00:39:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4d1ba…
05-26 00:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9fab0b…
05-26 00:19:12	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a90c1…
05-22 00:39:28	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdfd946…
05-22 00:18:05	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x13e882…
05-21 00:52:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd2be22…
05-21 00:31:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa0a864…
05-20 00:37:38	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeba755…
05-20 00:35:40	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x56e1d7…
05-20 00:17:42	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf47bff…
05-20 00:14:23	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1abcf…
05-18 00:57:40	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba4a82…
05-18 00:48:55	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa6230…
05-16 00:22:59	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x461f8c…
05-16 00:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5cceb9…
05-16 00:14:24	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67a651…
05-16 00:09:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x00e6ac…
05-15 00:57:24	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc233b0…
05-15 00:55:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb45d32…
05-15 00:34:57	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6cbbd1…