Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
924
lifetime
Volume
$6.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$209
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-15 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
62% 46% +$6
Politics
25% 30% $-61
Tech
7%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -40 $-33 84¢ $-33 $-1 06-07 18:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-07 18:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -19 $-18 94¢ $-18 $-0 06-07 18:48
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-15 88¢ $-18 $-2 06-07 19:02
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-17 83¢ $-17 +$1 06-07 18:57
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? No -15 $-10 92¢ $-14 $-3 06-07 19:00
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No -14 $-11 94¢ $-13 $-2 06-07 18:58
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-12 94¢ $-12 $-0 06-07 18:55
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -11 $-7 92¢ $-11 $-4 06-07 19:04
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No -11 $-6 94¢ $-10 $-4 06-07 19:05
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -10 $-8 90¢ $-9 $-1 06-07 19:00
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes -34 $-11 26¢ $-9 +$2 06-07 19:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -10 $-3 80¢ $-8 $-5 06-07 19:10
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 19:00
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-1 06-07 19:01
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 $-1 34¢ $-3 $-2 06-07 19:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 12¢ $-3 +$5 06-07 19:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -50 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-07 19:13
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-07 19:13