Pink-Activation 0x88bb40…148d2c
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Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
917
lifetime
Volume
$6.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$261
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
61% 46% +$6
Politics
25% 30% $-61
Tech
8% — —
Sports
4% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -38 $-32 87¢ $-33 $-1 06-07 18:58
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -40 $-33 82¢ $-33 $-0 06-07 18:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 $-19 94¢ $-19 +$0 06-07 18:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -19 $-18 92¢ $-18 +$0 06-07 18:48
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-17 86¢ $-17 $-0 06-07 18:57
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-15 80¢ $-16 $-1 06-07 19:02
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No -14 $-11 89¢ $-12 $-1 06-07 18:58
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-12 93¢ $-12 $-0 06-07 18:55
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes -34 $-11 36¢ $-12 $-2 06-07 19:08
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? No -15 $-10 78¢ $-12 $-1 06-07 19:00
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -86 $-12 12¢ $-10 +$2 06-07 19:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 31¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 19:08
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No -11 $-6 76¢ $-8 $-2 06-07 19:05
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -11 $-7 72¢ $-8 $-2 06-07 19:04
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -10 $-8 80¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 19:00
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -30 $-3 26¢ $-8 $-4 06-07 19:09
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -9 $-7 72¢ $-7 +$1 06-07 18:58
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 19:00
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 19:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -50 $-3 7¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 19:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -10 $-3 24¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 19:10
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes -119 $-2 2¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 19:08
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -13 $-1 8¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 19:12
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 19:12
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 4¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 19:13
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No -10 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 19:07