Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved
454
Trades
991
lifetime
Volume
$7.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$174
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-15 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
62% 42% +$269
Politics
25% 41% -$527
Tech
7% 42% +$136
Sports
4% 50% +$252
Pop-Culture
2% 43% -$36
Crypto
0% 0% -$15
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -40 -$33 90¢ $-36 -$3 06-07 18:59
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -20 -$15 99¢ $-20 -$5 06-07 19:02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 06-07 18:47
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -20 -$17 95¢ $-19 -$2 06-07 18:57
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -19 -$18 99¢ $-19 -$1 06-07 18:48
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -13 -$12 98¢ $-13 -$1 06-07 18:55
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -10 -$8 98¢ $-10 -$2 06-07 19:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -10 -$3 97¢ $-10 -$7 06-07 19:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -100 -$19 8¢ $-8 +$10 06-07 19:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$8 28¢ $-7 +$1 06-07 19:08
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 06-07 19:00
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 -$1 06-07 19:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -50 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 06-07 19:13
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 19:12
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 19:13