Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
917
lifetime
Volume
$6.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$206
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
61% 46% +$6
Politics
25% 30% $-61
Tech
8%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -40 $-33 78¢ $-31 +$1 06-07 18:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 06-07 18:47
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-15 88¢ $-18 $-3 06-07 19:02
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -19 $-18 93¢ $-18 +$0 06-07 18:48
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -20 $-17 80¢ $-16 +$1 06-07 18:57
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? No -15 $-10 94¢ $-14 $-3 06-07 19:00
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No -14 $-11 90¢ $-13 $-1 06-07 18:58
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-12 93¢ $-12 $-0 06-07 18:55
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes -34 $-11 30¢ $-10 +$0 06-07 19:08
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? No -11 $-7 79¢ $-9 $-3 06-07 19:04
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No -11 $-6 82¢ $-9 $-3 06-07 19:05
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 19:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -10 $-3 74¢ $-7 $-5 06-07 19:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 26¢ $-7 +$1 06-07 19:08
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 19:00
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -5 $-4 81¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 19:01
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 $-1 24¢ $-2 $-1 06-07 19:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -50 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-07 19:13
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-07 19:13