Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,840
Trades
74
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$3,689
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-21 15:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $804
vs crowd: 13% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $27 | $29 | $2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $66 | $113 | $47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $19 | $817 | $798 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $36 | $56 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $804 | $804 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Median | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $50 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $45 | $78 | $33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $37 | $22 | +$16 |
| unranked | 8 | $36 | $17 | +$19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +1,088 | $800 | $800 | 4 | 06-10 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +88 | $68 | $68 | 6 | 06-21 15:15 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +83 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-10 05:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +81 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 06-21 15:15 |
| Marvelous-Experience 0xc7f4…dbb1 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-21 15:15 |
| Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-10 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8201…138f | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x37b0…a3e2 | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:27 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +41 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb996…2ea4 | Yes | +33 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-21 15:15 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 7 | 06-21 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x51df…89cc | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 06:38 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 15:21 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-16 04:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 06:38 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 04:18 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-21 15:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +11 | $9 | $34 | 2 | 06-21 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 05:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:20 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 04:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 15:15:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xb70392… |
| 06-21 15:15:37 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb70392… |
| 06-21 15:15:37 | Marvelous-Experience 0xc7f4…dbb1 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xb70392… |
| 06-21 15:15:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb70392… |
| 06-21 15:15:25 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xa9d29e… |
| 06-21 15:15:25 | (anonymous) 0xb996…2ea4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xa9d29e… |
| 06-21 15:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xa9d29e… |
| 06-21 15:13:14 | Marvelous-Experience 0xc7f4…dbb1 | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x278a2d… |
| 06-21 15:13:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x278a2d… |
| 06-21 15:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xb996…2ea4 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x9c7f9a… |
| 06-21 15:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x9c7f9a… |
| 06-21 15:12:25 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x3e716a… |
| 06-21 15:12:25 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x3e716a… |
| 06-21 15:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3e716a… |
| 06-21 15:06:49 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x757e57… |
| 06-21 15:06:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x757e57… |
| 06-21 15:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x757e57… |
| 06-16 16:15:23 | (anonymous) 0x51df…89cc | Yes | BUY | 27 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xe37bcd… |
| 06-16 16:15:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 27 | 80¢ | $22 | 0xe37bcd… |
| 06-16 15:21:53 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 24 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xbc29d7… |
| 06-16 15:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 24 | 78¢ | $19 | 0xbc29d7… |
| 06-16 04:57:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x06e384… |
| 06-16 04:57:13 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x06e384… |
| 06-16 04:52:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x9b569c… |
| 06-16 04:52:54 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x9b569c… |
| 06-14 08:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x876a4c… |
| 06-14 08:43:30 | Monthly-Shear 0xf6a1…4f61 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x876a4c… |
| 06-13 22:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x8201…138f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x85d24e… |
| 06-13 22:50:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x85d24e… |
| 06-13 22:50:51 | Monthly-Shear 0xf6a1…4f61 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x85d24e… |
| 06-13 22:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x37b0…a3e2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xf1b063… |
| 06-13 22:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 21 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xf1b063… |
| 06-13 22:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x37b0…a3e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x4c524a… |
| 06-13 22:25:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x4c524a… |
| 06-13 22:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x4c524a… |
| 06-13 22:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x8201…138f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xbf9fd6… |
| 06-13 22:23:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0xbf9fd6… |
| 06-11 04:55:55 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x6e3700… |
| 06-11 04:55:55 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6e3700… |
| 06-10 22:20:43 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x010e34… |
| 06-10 22:20:43 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x010e34… |
| 06-10 05:31:51 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc76f5c… |
| 06-10 05:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc76f5c… |
| 06-10 05:23:58 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 83 | 25¢ | $21 | 0xbf4cc4… |
| 06-10 05:23:58 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xbf4cc4… |
| 06-10 05:23:58 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 133 | 75¢ | $100 | 0xbf4cc4… |
| 06-09 04:18:01 | Radiant-Hedgehog 0xb671…32d1 | No | SELL | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x178895… |
| 06-09 04:18:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x178895… |
| 06-09 04:18:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x178895… |
| 06-09 03:56:31 | Radiant-Hedgehog 0xb671…32d1 | No | SELL | 619 | 74¢ | $458 | 0x475db1… |
| 06-09 03:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x475db1… |
| 06-09 03:56:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x475db1… |
| 06-09 03:56:31 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 676 | 74¢ | $500 | 0x475db1… |
| 06-07 23:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea1b… |
| 06-07 23:33:49 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea1b… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 142 | 71¢ | $100 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | SELL | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 27 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 28¢ | $11 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 20:56:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0xd6aa42… |
| 06-07 19:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x4e515d… |
| 06-07 19:05:12 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | SELL | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x4e515d… |
| 06-06 00:28:21 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x6d1d47… |
| 06-06 00:28:21 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x6d1d47… |
| 06-06 00:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x6d1d47… |
| 06-06 00:28:21 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 41 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x6d1d47… |
| 06-05 06:38:12 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 136 | 73¢ | $100 | 0xfbbe92… |
| 06-05 06:38:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xfbbe92… |
| 06-05 06:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xfbbe92… |
| 06-05 06:38:12 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xfbbe92… |
| 06-05 06:38:12 | Radiant-Hedgehog 0xb671…32d1 | No | SELL | 72 | 74¢ | $54 | 0xfbbe92… |