Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,070
Trades
301
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$3,689
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-06 12:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $114 | $575 | $461 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $108 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $170 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $73 | $342 | $269 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | $127 | $117 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $25 | $249 | $224 |
| Median | 7 | — | $211 | $211 |
| Below median | 10 | $23 | $563 | $540 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $176 | $958 | $781 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $85 | $349 | $264 |
| unranked | 26 | $108 | $543 | $435 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | +1,671 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +1,399 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 5 | 08-05 18:55 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +455 | $425 | $477 | 5 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +278 | $46 | $46 | 10 | 08-06 12:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +239 | $217 | $217 | 5 | 08-06 08:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +170 | $132 | $132 | 11 | 06-22 17:47 |
| Tame-Linen 0x4ee2…0b0f | No | +124 | $105 | $105 | 4 | 08-06 12:06 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +109 | $120 | $394 | 8 | 08-05 18:57 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +106 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 06-22 17:47 |
| Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-20 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 08-05 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +92 | $20 | $30 | 7 | 08-05 18:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +90 | $83 | $280 | 17 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +90 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +84 | $82 | $106 | 3 | 08-05 17:45 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +83 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 08-05 17:45 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | +75 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 08-05 17:38 |
| Marvelous-Experience 0xc7f4…dbb1 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-21 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb996…2ea4 | Yes | +51 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-21 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x202f…c63d | No | +50 | $46 | $47 | 2 | 07-10 16:17 |
| Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-10 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x202f…c63d | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | +50 | $48 | $263 | 8 | 08-05 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8201…138f | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x37b0…a3e2 | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 08-05 17:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $8 | 6 | 08-02 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 10:24 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x51df…89cc | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 16:15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-31 21:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-06 12:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-06 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x96b1…8368 | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +16 | $13 | $103 | 4 | 08-06 12:06 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-31 22:06 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 18:55 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $9 | 7 | 08-05 18:55 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-05 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-11 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 07-11 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 05:31 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $20 | 4 | 08-06 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | +1 | $13 | $25 | 5 | 07-31 22:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 53 | 84¢ | $45 | 0x808b5d… |
| 08-06 12:06:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 47 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x808b5d… |
| 08-06 12:06:50 | Tame-Linen 0x4ee2…0b0f | No | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x808b5d… |
| 08-06 12:06:14 | Tame-Linen 0x4ee2…0b0f | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x1ce1bf… |
| 08-06 12:06:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1ce1bf… |
| 08-06 12:05:21 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xd19621… |
| 08-06 12:05:21 | Tame-Linen 0x4ee2…0b0f | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xd19621… |
| 08-06 12:04:27 | Tame-Linen 0x4ee2…0b0f | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x37170f… |
| 08-06 12:04:27 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x37170f… |
| 08-06 08:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $39 | 0xe9d298… |
| 08-06 08:47:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xe9d298… |
| 08-06 08:47:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xe9d298… |
| 08-06 08:37:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0xc5006c… |
| 08-06 08:37:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0xc5006c… |
| 08-06 08:37:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x164b33… |
| 08-06 08:37:24 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x164b33… |
| 08-06 08:27:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x8f7ed7… |
| 08-06 08:27:06 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x8f7ed7… |
| 08-06 08:27:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x8f7ed7… |
| 08-06 08:27:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x8f7ed7… |
| 08-06 08:27:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0x8f7ed7… |
| 08-05 18:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x1832be… |
| 08-05 18:57:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0x1832be… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 77 | 79¢ | $61 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 18:55:44 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 311 | 80¢ | $250 | 0x3637c1… |
| 08-05 17:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x6824a9… |
| 08-05 17:45:18 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x6824a9… |
| 08-05 17:45:14 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xef8957… |
| 08-05 17:45:14 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | SELL | 16 | 75¢ | $12 | 0xef8957… |
| 08-05 17:42:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x958dcc… |
| 08-05 17:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x958dcc… |
| 08-05 17:40:24 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x2974e8… |
| 08-05 17:40:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x2974e8… |
| 08-05 17:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x2974e8… |
| 08-05 17:40:17 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd483c4… |
| 08-05 17:40:17 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd483c4… |
| 08-05 17:40:17 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd483c4… |
| 08-05 17:39:27 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x56fd7b… |
| 08-05 17:39:27 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 65 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x56fd7b… |
| 08-05 17:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | No | BUY | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x05154d… |
| 08-05 17:39:03 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x05154d… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 220 | 94¢ | $208 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 1,671 | 6¢ | $100 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 75 | 94¢ | $70 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 91 | 93¢ | $85 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xfff490… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 90 | 94¢ | $84 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xfff490… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-05 17:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf21029… |
| 08-03 10:22:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaebe2b… |
| 08-03 10:22:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0xaebe2b… |
| 08-02 10:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ddb33… |
| 08-02 10:24:21 | (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ddb33… |
| 08-02 10:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd99287… |
| 08-02 10:23:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd99287… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 135 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x2ee054… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x2ee054… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x2ee054… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 36 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:00:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x9c38b4… |
| 07-31 22:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9c38b4… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 93¢ | $75 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x770862… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x770862… |
| 07-30 03:36:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0xfd40ee… |
| 07-30 03:36:08 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfd40ee… |
| 07-30 03:36:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x13c4ab… |
| 07-30 03:36:03 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x13c4ab… |
| 07-28 12:33:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x266341… |
| 07-28 12:33:05 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x266341… |
| 07-27 00:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xdd062e… |
| 07-27 00:32:39 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xdd062e… |
| 07-26 23:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcd3bc8… |
| 07-26 23:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcd3bc8… |