Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,609
Trades
234
Unique wallets
64
Liquidity
$3,689
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-03 10:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $809
vs crowd: 13% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $102 | $290 | $188 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $90 | $646 | $555 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $55 | $896 | $840 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $61 | $159 | $97 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $804 | $799 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $9 | $16 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $25 | $193 | $168 |
| Median | 5 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 5 | $8 | $145 | $137 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $32 | $50 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $59 | $435 | $376 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $74 | $141 | $67 |
| unranked | 23 | $97 | $193 | $96 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +1,088 | $800 | $800 | 4 | 06-10 05:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +189 | $176 | $176 | 4 | 07-25 02:54 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +181 | $28 | $28 | 8 | 08-01 13:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +170 | $132 | $132 | 11 | 06-22 17:47 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +153 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 08-02 10:20 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +106 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 06-22 17:47 |
| Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-20 08:45 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +83 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-10 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +69 | $57 | $58 | 3 | 07-15 22:47 |
| Marvelous-Experience 0xc7f4…dbb1 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-21 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb996…2ea4 | Yes | +51 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-21 19:18 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-09 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x202f…c63d | No | +50 | $46 | $47 | 2 | 07-10 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x202f…c63d | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 16:07 |
| Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-10 05:23 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +41 | $10 | $20 | 6 | 08-03 10:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8201…138f | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x37b0…a3e2 | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 22:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $224 | 15 | 08-03 10:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $8 | 6 | 08-02 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 10:24 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 7 | 06-21 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x51df…89cc | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 16:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +23 | $20 | $77 | 4 | 08-01 13:17 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-31 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x96b1…8368 | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 19:42 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-16 04:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 06:38 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-31 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-11 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 07-11 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | +7 | $-0 | $24 | 5 | 08-02 10:24 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | +1 | $13 | $25 | 5 | 07-31 22:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:22:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaebe2b… |
| 08-03 10:22:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0xaebe2b… |
| 08-02 10:24:21 | (anonymous) 0x0f3b…be48 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ddb33… |
| 08-02 10:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ddb33… |
| 08-02 10:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd99287… |
| 08-02 10:23:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd99287… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-02 10:20:39 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 135 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xd701ff… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x2ee054… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x2ee054… |
| 08-01 13:17:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x2ee054… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:06:35 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 36 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x196224… |
| 07-31 22:00:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x9c38b4… |
| 07-31 22:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9c38b4… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 93¢ | $75 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-31 21:57:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xd56b09… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x770862… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x770862… |
| 07-30 03:36:08 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfd40ee… |
| 07-30 03:36:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0xfd40ee… |
| 07-30 03:36:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x13c4ab… |
| 07-30 03:36:03 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x13c4ab… |
| 07-28 12:33:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x266341… |
| 07-28 12:33:05 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x266341… |
| 07-27 00:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xdd062e… |
| 07-27 00:32:39 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xdd062e… |
| 07-26 23:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcd3bc8… |
| 07-26 23:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcd3bc8… |
| 07-26 23:09:01 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf0de2e… |
| 07-26 23:09:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xf0de2e… |
| 07-26 23:09:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xf0de2e… |
| 07-26 20:37:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb06df1… |
| 07-26 20:37:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb06df1… |
| 07-26 20:37:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb06df1… |
| 07-26 19:10:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9a7ea1… |
| 07-26 19:10:31 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9a7ea1… |
| 07-26 19:09:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x235b5d… |
| 07-26 19:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x235b5d… |
| 07-26 19:07:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x04a080… |
| 07-26 19:07:31 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x04a080… |
| 07-26 19:06:00 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0b7918… |
| 07-26 19:06:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0b7918… |
| 07-26 19:04:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd03b77… |
| 07-26 19:04:30 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd03b77… |
| 07-26 19:03:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x94fa02… |
| 07-26 19:03:00 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x94fa02… |
| 07-26 19:01:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x1aac2a… |
| 07-26 19:01:28 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1aac2a… |
| 07-26 19:00:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x3e9082… |
| 07-26 19:00:03 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3e9082… |
| 07-26 18:56:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x25674b… |
| 07-26 18:56:27 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x25674b… |
| 07-26 18:54:57 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x72b223… |
| 07-26 18:54:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x72b223… |
| 07-26 18:54:57 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x72b223… |
| 07-25 02:54:36 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xe0f1bb… |
| 07-25 02:54:36 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xe0f1bb… |
| 07-25 02:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x93ae4a… |
| 07-25 02:54:01 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x93ae4a… |
| 07-25 02:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 33 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x93ae4a… |
| 07-25 02:54:00 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2b0154… |
| 07-25 02:54:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2b0154… |
| 07-25 02:53:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x7de501… |
| 07-25 02:53:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x7de501… |
| 07-25 02:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xbf3470… |
| 07-25 02:53:57 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 63 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xbf3470… |
| 07-25 02:53:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xbf3470… |
| 07-25 02:53:55 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xa9823e… |
| 07-25 02:53:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa9823e… |
| 07-25 02:53:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xa9823e… |
| 07-24 09:43:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b8849… |
| 07-24 09:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b8849… |
| 07-20 09:59:01 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 173 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x84964f… |
| 07-20 09:59:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x84964f… |
| 07-20 09:59:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 98 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x84964f… |
| 07-20 09:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x84964f… |
| 07-20 08:51:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x2516a3… |
| 07-20 08:51:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x2516a3… |
| 07-20 08:45:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x62679f… |
| 07-20 08:45:39 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x62679f… |
| 07-20 08:45:36 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb7ae30… |
| 07-20 08:45:36 | Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | Yes | BUY | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb7ae30… |
| 07-20 08:45:36 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0xb7ae30… |
| 07-17 00:20:53 | Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa83cb1… |
| 07-17 00:20:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa83cb1… |
| 07-15 22:47:37 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x38e1e3… |
| 07-15 22:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x38e1e3… |
| 07-15 22:47:37 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 99 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x38e1e3… |
| 07-12 11:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x00cb3c… |
| 07-12 11:06:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x00cb3c… |
| 07-11 09:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0f790a… |
| 07-11 09:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0f790a… |
| 07-11 09:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0f790a… |
| 07-11 09:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0f790a… |
| 07-11 07:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xed23…d5c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xd7612a… |