Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$755

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

143

Trades

2,618

lifetime

Volume

$57.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-02 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

69% 1% -$453

Politics

18% 4% -$193

Tech

5% 0% -$75

Sports

4% 0% -$22

Crypto

3% 33% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$26	18¢	$9	-$17	09-22 23:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	No		+0	$3	97¢	$0	-$3	08-26 10:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	31	$948	749	749	+0	open	—	09-02 20:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	42	$878	760	760	+0	open	—	09-02 12:14
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	28	$819	593	593	+0	open	—	08-30 14:14
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	32	$810	685	685	+0	No	-$16	08-31 15:52
will trump say central casting in august 20260728220215919	20	$749	490	490	+0	No	-$11	08-21 13:16
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	27	$699	650	650	+0	No	-$10	08-30 04:05
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?	24	$669	518	518	+0	Yes	-$23	08-29 18:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	34	$629	664	664	+0	open	—	09-02 12:15
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	24	$604	508	508	+0	Yes	-$2	08-25 15:22
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	28	$597	558	558	+0	No	-$4	08-25 23:35
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	25	$530	526	526	+0	Yes	-$17	08-17 16:09
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	19	$529	429	429	+0	open	—	08-30 21:30
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	22	$525	421	421	+0	open	—	09-01 15:28
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	21	$516	429	429	+0	Yes	-$2	08-29 04:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	17	$504	392	392	+0	open	—	09-02 01:27
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	19	$494	450	450	+0	open	—	08-22 04:27
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	20	$490	415	415	+0	No	-$17	08-18 20:47
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	23	$485	499	499	+0	Yes	-$13	08-25 02:00
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	15	$483	400	400	+0	open	—	09-02 09:49
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	17	$479	348	348	+0	No	-$3	08-27 17:31
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	11	$467	300	300	+0	No	-$11	07-28 12:59
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	14	$455	290	290	+0	open	—	08-25 01:53
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	12	$450	278	278	+0	No	-$1	08-19 15:26
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	18	$444	388	338	+50	Yes	-$6	07-28 15:53
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	22	$432	459	459	+0	Yes	-$21	09-01 04:40
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?	26	$426	494	494	+0	Yes	-$11	08-30 04:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	19	$404	380	380	+0	open	—	08-31 00:17
Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	14	$393	301	301	+0	Yes	-$22	08-18 06:05
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	14	$393	320	320	+0	open	—	08-08 11:38
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	14	$388	349	349	+0	open	—	09-18 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 01:57:00	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x5f2cfa…
10-01 05:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xf13adb…
09-30 23:04:42	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x7e0e4b…
09-28 19:57:17	Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xf3d956…
09-26 13:01:05	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x38dc34…
09-26 13:00:54	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xa4effc…
09-26 13:00:47	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x747dd2…
09-26 13:00:35	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x2f23e0…
09-24 18:25:14	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x0a4fd6…
09-23 16:37:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x76fe5e…
09-23 15:30:20	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xbe799c…
09-23 14:41:43	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xae0e00…
09-23 14:41:43	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x950fbd…
09-23 14:40:31	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x99db3c…
09-23 14:39:35	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb2fb14…
09-23 08:21:46	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbc3b37…
09-23 08:18:19	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x140bf9…
09-23 05:43:19	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x9c2c8b…
09-23 05:36:26	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5532ca…
09-23 05:20:56	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3fd17f…
09-23 03:26:19	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x41b6f8…
09-23 03:26:01	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xe4ea56…
09-23 02:17:08	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3a98a6…
09-22 23:36:31	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	76¢	$33	0x00fcb5…
09-22 23:36:17	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xc16a24…
09-22 23:11:20	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x551c78…
09-22 20:27:12	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x570986…
09-22 19:01:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xef95c3…
09-22 18:59:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x60f527…
09-22 18:59:18	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xaa2d85…
09-22 18:46:09	Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7d95b9…
09-22 18:44:54	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x17921d…
09-22 18:28:01	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x44d65b…
09-22 18:20:21	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x56c04f…
09-22 18:14:48	Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x0378c9…
09-22 18:14:33	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x793607…
09-22 18:13:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x4acd95…
09-22 18:12:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x36713c…
09-22 18:10:48	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0x827f62…
09-22 18:10:21	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x5d6f90…
09-22 18:09:09	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x111923…
09-22 18:04:52	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x77d637…
09-22 18:00:49	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xf3cddd…
09-22 17:58:54	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xfaa25a…
09-22 17:57:25	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x643450…
09-22 17:56:12	Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x835542…
09-22 17:53:19	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0a0f63…
09-22 17:50:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x0e4e3a…
09-22 17:50:07	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x596819…
09-22 17:49:51	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x6ea114…
09-22 17:49:10	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x481547…
09-22 17:48:57	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xef44c1…
09-22 17:46:58	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x0155c0…
09-22 17:30:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xb27eb6…
09-22 17:22:33	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa84ee2…
09-22 17:22:27	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x7d9428…
09-22 17:22:27	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4064a3…
09-22 17:22:27	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x04d3f1…
09-22 17:20:12	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xba3a68…
09-22 16:54:45	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xbc9555…
09-22 16:54:30	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6ce807…
09-22 16:41:31	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x940ab1…
09-22 16:17:01	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf6bcdd…
09-22 15:16:13	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x886f54…
09-22 15:15:49	Will Los Angeles Chargers advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x54c876…
09-22 15:13:19	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xf8dfb2…
09-22 15:13:03	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x7794f6…
09-22 15:11:36	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xc4bd31…
09-22 15:10:30	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xb9b013…
09-22 15:10:06	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	77¢	$25	0xef0518…
09-22 15:10:03	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xed0c9d…
09-22 15:10:03	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x358e41…
09-22 14:40:58	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x0d1413…
09-22 14:31:55	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xc6e8ea…
09-22 14:03:18	Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xcd206f…
09-22 13:55:46	Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb745e3…
09-22 12:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc344e6…
09-22 10:38:24	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9bd74a…
09-22 10:26:45	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x670d1c…
09-22 10:09:01	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x105680…
09-22 10:04:28	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x40e169…
09-22 09:56:34	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xe09c3e…
09-22 09:48:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe40c0b…
09-22 09:40:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x637a97…
09-22 09:24:37	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xcc2ef7…
09-22 09:24:09	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x224590…
09-22 08:59:43	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x5e819a…
09-22 08:19:01	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xa6b431…
09-22 07:42:06	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x1b1dcd…
09-22 07:38:52	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x0da51d…
09-22 06:52:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x639ede…
09-22 06:41:28	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x20c0c3…
09-22 02:00:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x7854f7…
09-22 01:52:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe137bc…
09-22 00:45:09	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x503fc9…
09-22 00:37:58	Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1071bb…
09-22 00:33:12	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x20e8a5…
09-22 00:17:21	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xc9157b…
09-22 00:17:06	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x8c2924…
09-21 23:17:01	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x0fef23…