Realized P&L
+$4.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$555
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
7,899
lifetime
Volume
$1.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$25.8K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
45% 80% $-600
Politics
38% 0% $-2,508
Sports
15% 67% +$7,326
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +7,050 $6,407 90¢ $6.3K $-69 06-08 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,144 $3,367 90¢ $3.8K +$384 06-07 16:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,995 $3,710 93¢ $3.7K +$1 06-10 00:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +2,500 $2,428 98¢ $2.4K +$10 06-07 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,197 $2,140 70¢ $2.2K +$98 06-10 03:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,500 $-2,125 82¢ $-2062 +$62 06-05 22:00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,640 $-1,609 97¢ $-1585 +$24 06-06 14:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 94¢ $939 $-1 06-07 17:59
New pandemic in 2026? No +946 $832 88¢ $837 +$5 06-10 02:58
ECB rate hike in 2026? Yes +550 $536 99¢ $546 +$10 06-03 06:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +446 $423 98¢ $438 +$15 06-06 09:30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +400 $387 99¢ $395 +$8 06-06 07:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +220 $212 98¢ $215 +$3 06-09 21:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-03 16:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +60 $55 92¢ $55 +$1 06-06 05:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$1 06-03 05:47
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No +33 $26 89¢ $29 +$3 06-07 18:58
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +27 $26 98¢ $26 +$0 06-05 08:50
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 06-08 03:37
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 05-31 07:44