Realized P&L
+$4.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.07K
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
9,358
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$40.8K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
45% 80% $-600
Politics
37% 0% $-2,508
Sports
17% 67% +$7,326
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13,202 $9,277 99¢ $13.1K +$3,774 06-17 20:18
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11,390 $10,360 94¢ $10.8K +$398 06-12 12:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5,995 $5,579 96¢ $5.7K +$167 06-16 17:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -3,685 $-3,599 98¢ $-3606 $-7 07-06 18:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,215 $-3,632 74¢ $-3098 +$535 07-19 00:10
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,757 $1,538 94¢ $1.6K +$105 06-14 03:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,060 $966 94¢ $1.0K +$35 06-24 15:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 96¢ $956 +$16 06-07 17:59
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +672 $608 95¢ $639 +$31 07-04 05:57
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +113 $104 96¢ $109 +$5 07-06 06:06
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +101 $97 97¢ $98 +$1 06-16 05:44
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +58 $50 94¢ $55 +$5 07-06 05:08
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No +33 $26 93¢ $30 +$4 06-07 18:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 07-04 16:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 07-18 16:17
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 06-11 04:55