Genuine-Segment 0xd34bf8…c50004
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$55.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.55K
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
1,668
Trades
16,768
lifetime
Volume
$2.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$82.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% -$801
Politics
23% 74% +$3,247
Sports
19% 75% +$49,821
Crypto
1% 77% +$2,936
Tech
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +15,636 $14,709 99¢ $15.4K +$717 10-27 12:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +14,158 $12,979 100¢ $14.1K +$1,108 10-14 06:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11,612 $10,497 96¢ $11.2K +$662 10-13 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,053 $5,768 88¢ $9.8K +$4,014 10-19 12:07
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +6,075 $5,525 98¢ $5.9K +$410 10-27 09:36
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +16,781 $9,271 34¢ $5.8K -$3,481 10-26 14:34
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,000 $4,457 66¢ $4.0K -$467 10-26 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,615 $2,535 82¢ $3.8K +$1,249 10-25 22:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3,500 -$1,896 62¢ $-2170 -$274 09-24 02:48
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,811 $1,585 96¢ $1.7K +$162 06-14 03:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,410 $1,354 99¢ $1.4K +$48 10-04 08:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,060 $966 97¢ $1.0K +$61 06-24 15:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,675 $1,308 61¢ $1.0K -$286 10-27 18:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,200 $777 45¢ $995 +$218 10-27 14:29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 97¢ $974 +$34 06-07 17:59
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +917 $555 88¢ $812 +$256 10-13 07:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No -872 -$1,062 86¢ $-746 +$316 10-10 11:11
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +680 $615 96¢ $651 +$36 07-04 05:57
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +5,675 $511 7¢ $397 -$113 08-18 07:43
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $560 9¢ $360 -$200 09-27 12:11
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +120 $111 98¢ $118 +$7 07-06 06:06
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $87 98¢ $98 +$11 07-29 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -100 -$93 94¢ $-95 -$2 08-21 05:04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +43 $33 87¢ $37 +$4 09-22 10:56
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +200 $82 12¢ $25 -$57 09-29 18:01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +25 $23 96¢ $24 +$1 07-23 22:33
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +20 $8 96¢ $19 +$11 10-09 18:25
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +15 -$180 99¢ $14 +$194 08-17 22:54
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +915 $75 1¢ $13 -$62 09-14 03:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +55 $39 18¢ $10 -$29 07-26 15:17