Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.46K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved (7d)
20
Trades (7d)
575
16,912 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$112.1K
$2.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$97.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% -$979
Politics
23% 74% +$3,247
Sports
18% 75% +$49,821
Crypto
1% 77% +$2,936
Tech
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,771 $11,549 82¢ $13.0K +$1,462 10-29 23:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +12,617 $11,730 98¢ $12.4K +$635 10-31 08:21
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11,612 $10,497 96¢ $11.1K +$633 10-13 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,053 $5,768 88¢ $9.8K +$4,014 10-19 12:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +8,930 $8,087 92¢ $8.2K +$85 10-31 08:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +7,079 $5,921 100¢ $7.1K +$1,137 10-30 21:15
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +6,095 $5,544 100¢ $6.1K +$523 10-29 14:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,772 $4,822 100¢ $5.7K +$921 10-31 10:43
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +16,460 $9,151 33¢ $5.4K -$3,719 10-29 17:54
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,000 $4,457 64¢ $3.8K -$647 10-26 16:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3,500 -$1,896 80¢ $-2782 -$886 09-24 02:48
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,811 $1,585 98¢ $1.8K +$190 06-14 03:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,410 $1,354 100¢ $1.4K +$52 10-04 08:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,675 $1,308 64¢ $1.1K -$245 10-27 18:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,060 $966 97¢ $1.0K +$62 06-24 15:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 97¢ $974 +$34 06-07 17:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,010 $959 94¢ $954 -$4 10-29 19:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +917 $555 98¢ $894 +$339 10-13 07:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No -872 -$1,062 88¢ $-763 +$299 10-10 11:11
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +680 $615 95¢ $647 +$32 07-04 05:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,600 $646 12¢ $644 -$2 10-31 13:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +500 $473 100¢ $499 +$26 10-17 05:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +7,220 $361 6¢ $397 +$36 10-31 09:45
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $560 8¢ $340 -$220 09-27 12:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +5,675 $511 4¢ $201 -$309 08-18 07:43
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +120 $111 98¢ $117 +$7 07-06 06:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +105 $100 97¢ $101 +$1 10-29 17:16
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $87 95¢ $95 +$8 07-29 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -100 -$93 94¢ $-95 -$2 08-21 05:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +123 $40 33¢ $40 $0 10-28 14:18