Genuine-Segment 0xd34bf8…c50004 Create alert
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$71.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.62K
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
1,714
Trades
17,336
lifetime
Volume
$2.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
$79.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
57% 93% +$2,523
Politics
24% 75% +$5,535
Sports
18% 75% +$60,341
Crypto
1% 77% +$2,936
Tech
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19,615 $14,720 88¢ $17.4K +$2,639 11-02 22:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11,337 $10,207 97¢ $11.0K +$818 11-05 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,053 $5,768 94¢ $10.3K +$4,567 10-19 12:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +13,377 $9,139 72¢ $9.6K +$425 11-08 20:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,465 $5,263 98¢ $5.3K +$84 11-05 14:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +12,546 $7,664 38¢ $4.8K -$2,834 11-07 18:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,795 $3,560 72¢ $3.4K -$131 11-07 18:41
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? No +2,335 $1,726 88¢ $2.1K +$340 11-04 00:13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3,500 -$1,896 54¢ $-1890 +$6 09-24 02:48
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,811 $1,585 98¢ $1.8K +$188 06-14 03:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,312 $1,659 57¢ $1.3K -$329 11-08 15:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,204 $1,141 98¢ $1.2K +$37 11-01 06:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,160 $1,062 98¢ $1.1K +$72 11-03 21:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +1,067 $704 98¢ $1.0K +$343 11-03 20:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 99¢ $986 +$46 06-07 17:59
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +931 $862 98¢ $912 +$50 11-06 17:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No -872 -$1,062 92¢ $-798 +$264 10-10 11:11
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane +1,199 $790 66¢ $785 -$5 11-07 15:01
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +680 $615 98¢ $664 +$50 07-04 05:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +600 $557 98¢ $586 +$29 11-03 23:54
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +601 $528 90¢ $541 +$13 11-03 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,600 $646 6¢ $364 -$282 10-31 13:00
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +203 $96 99¢ $201 +$105 11-05 16:39
Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027? Yes +271 $192 72¢ $194 +$1 11-08 15:43
Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31? No +125 $119 96¢ $120 +$1 11-08 22:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +120 $111 98¢ $118 +$7 07-06 06:06
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $87 98¢ $98 +$11 07-29 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$4 08-21 05:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +5,675 $511 2¢ $94 -$417 08-18 07:43
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $560 2¢ $86 -$474 09-27 12:11