Genuine-Segment 0xd34bf8…c50004 Create alert
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$68.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.43K
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
1,711
Trades
17,273
lifetime
Volume
$2.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
$79.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
57% 93% +$2,523
Politics
24% 75% +$5,390
Sports
18% 75% +$57,998
Crypto
1% 77% +$2,936
Tech
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19,615 $14,720 90¢ $17.6K +$2,836 11-02 22:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11,337 $10,207 97¢ $11.0K +$824 11-05 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,053 $5,768 92¢ $10.1K +$4,346 10-19 12:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +7,739 $5,558 72¢ $5.5K -$25 11-08 09:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,465 $5,263 97¢ $5.3K +$46 11-05 14:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +12,546 $7,664 40¢ $5.1K -$2,583 11-07 18:40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +4,060 $3,221 88¢ $3.6K +$332 11-07 19:42
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,795 $3,560 72¢ $3.4K -$131 11-07 18:41
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? No +2,335 $1,726 88¢ $2.1K +$340 11-04 00:13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3,500 -$1,896 55¢ $-1925 -$29 09-24 02:48
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,811 $1,585 98¢ $1.8K +$191 06-14 03:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,112 $1,549 57¢ $1.2K -$345 11-06 10:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,204 $1,141 98¢ $1.2K +$35 11-01 06:49
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? Yes +1,138 $993 100¢ $1.1K +$141 11-05 08:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,160 $1,062 98¢ $1.1K +$71 11-03 21:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +1,067 $704 99¢ $1.1K +$349 11-03 20:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $940 98¢ $984 +$44 06-07 17:59
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +931 $862 98¢ $912 +$50 11-06 17:05
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane +1,199 $790 68¢ $809 +$19 11-07 15:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No -872 -$1,062 90¢ $-789 +$273 10-10 11:11
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +680 $615 98¢ $664 +$50 07-04 05:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +600 $557 98¢ $590 +$33 11-03 23:54
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +601 $528 89¢ $537 +$8 11-03 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,600 $646 8¢ $476 -$170 10-31 13:00
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +203 $96 98¢ $199 +$103 11-05 16:39
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $560 3¢ $126 -$434 09-27 12:11
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +120 $111 98¢ $118 +$7 07-06 06:06
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $87 98¢ $97 +$11 07-29 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$4 08-21 05:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +123 $40 66¢ $82 +$42 10-28 14:18