Realized P&L (90d)
+$15.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.38K
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved (90d)
201
Trades (90d)
4,531
16,851 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.12M
$2.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$155
Open exposure
$70.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 16:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
57%
93%
+$1,310
Politics
24%
75%
+$5,307
Sports
18%
75%
+$57,998
Crypto
1%
77%
+$2,936
Tech
0%
100%
+$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 334 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | 124 | $140.8K | 74,152 | 74,152 | +0 | No | +$1,970 | 08-28 06:35 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 145 | $82.1K | 58,943 | 39,328 | +19,615 | open | — | 11-02 22:54 |
| us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690 | 249 | $67.7K | 45,936 | 44,825 | +1,111 | No | +$6,296 | 08-07 21:33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | 141 | $64.5K | 46,948 | 27,916 | +19,031 | No | +$1,575 | 09-29 18:31 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 197 | $54.6K | 75,070 | 75,070 | +0 | No | +$1,816 | 09-12 12:53 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 326 | $53.4K | 27,744 | 27,744 | +0 | open | — | 10-13 19:53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | 47 | $50.0K | 25,928 | 25,512 | +416 | No | +$940 | 10-31 20:17 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 76 | $49.6K | 37,747 | 25,738 | +12,009 | No | +$3,601 | 08-26 14:50 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 141 | $44.7K | 38,010 | 25,393 | +12,617 | No | +$1,027 | 10-31 08:21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | 30 | $43.1K | 21,975 | 21,975 | +0 | No | +$290 | 09-28 23:57 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 54 | $42.1K | 22,021 | 22,021 | +0 | No | +$851 | 09-25 07:23 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 51 | $41.9K | 24,577 | 24,577 | +0 | Yes | +$6,339 | 10-26 02:35 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | 92 | $41.2K | 21,752 | 21,752 | +0 | open | — | 11-02 07:56 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 109 | $39.6K | 25,507 | 25,547 | -41 | Yes | -$1,433 | 02-28 17:38 |
| saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30 | 122 | $33.0K | 32,718 | 15,689 | +17,029 | No | +$905 | 10-01 05:59 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 164 | $31.5K | 29,020 | 29,020 | +0 | Yes | -$869 | 09-12 21:33 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 115 | $27.8K | 20,364 | 20,535 | -171 | No | -$2,827 | 01-31 19:55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 78 | $25.4K | 15,428 | 17,689 | -2,260 | No | +$1,373 | 04-25 14:11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 55 | $24.1K | 14,411 | 14,411 | +0 | No | +$4,031 | 08-02 09:31 |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | 110 | $23.2K | 52,817 | 100 | +52,717 | Yes | -$23,005 | 10-16 18:01 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 81 | $22.7K | 14,138 | 15,754 | -1,616 | No | +$1,427 | 01-16 15:16 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | 434 | $22.3K | 14,824 | 14,725 | +100 | No | +$3,534 | 06-07 12:47 |
| us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946 | 62 | $21.2K | 9,145 | 13,262 | -4,117 | No | +$330 | 01-11 21:00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 62 | $19.6K | 19,381 | 3,000 | +16,381 | No | +$2,118 | 05-20 06:32 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | 189 | $19.2K | 19,040 | 11,409 | +7,632 | No | +$6,520 | 10-25 21:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 52 | $18.6K | 10,993 | 9,493 | +1,500 | Yes | -$2,221 | 06-12 10:26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 62 | $18.6K | 10,814 | 9,814 | +1,000 | No | +$973 | 06-23 10:37 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | 28 | $18.1K | 15,395 | 4,058 | +11,337 | open | — | 11-05 09:28 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | 145 | $17.9K | 9,374 | 9,359 | +15 | open | — | 08-17 22:54 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 30 | $17.3K | 11,112 | 9,937 | +1,175 | No | +$880 | 03-23 11:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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