Pushy-Dead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$393

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

23.3%

Resolved

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$41.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$90

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-19 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

76% 0% $-28

Other

23% 31% $-366

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes		+353	$104	26¢	$90	$-14	07-19 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	8	$2.1K	1,251	1,250	+0	open	—	04-13 23:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	11	$2.1K	2,184	2,184	+0	open	—	04-25 14:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	10	$1.6K	2,260	2,260	+0	open	—	04-20 14:13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	2	$1.5K	810	810	+0	open	—	04-16 18:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$1.5K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	04-20 13:04
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$1.5K	894	894	+0	open	—	04-22 17:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,443	1,443	+0	open	—	04-21 09:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$1.2K	782	782	+0	open	—	04-16 04:42
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	4	$1.1K	736	736	+0	open	—	04-16 18:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$1.1K	809	797	+12	open	—	04-28 10:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$969	812	812	+0	open	—	04-21 16:18
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$960	779	779	+0	Yes	$-133	04-19 20:48
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$855	500	500	+0	open	—	04-19 15:01
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$834	1,063	1,063	+0	open	—	04-16 16:11
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$797	413	413	+0	open	—	04-27 13:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$716	2,325	2,325	+0	open	—	04-22 22:27
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	3	$707	406	406	+0	open	—	03-12 12:50
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	6	$706	629	629	+0	open	—	04-16 15:43
Will Google reach $375 in April?	6	$685	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 04:38
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	3	$667	358	358	+0	open	—	04-11 12:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$638	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-20 18:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$602	663	663	+0	open	—	05-25 14:59
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$592	390	390	+0	open	—	04-20 21:48
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$592	318	318	+0	open	—	04-12 19:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$558	891	891	+0	open	—	04-21 13:08
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	11	$540	2,980	2,980	+0	open	—	04-13 10:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$504	365	365	+0	open	—	03-08 22:23
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	3	$472	273	273	+0	open	—	04-10 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$470	677	677	+0	open	—	04-17 14:46
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$451	646	270	+376	open	—	04-06 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 12:11:34	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xf0126b…
07-19 10:15:09	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x6848a8…
07-18 06:24:36	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3c7630…
07-17 06:28:15	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xf05540…
07-12 08:27:02	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	30¢	$39	0xf9bbc9…
07-11 21:58:55	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb6e886…
07-11 06:42:02	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x7ed6a9…
07-06 19:33:44	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	30¢	$12	0xa5886c…
06-30 12:25:32	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6098a1…
06-30 12:24:29	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x0dce53…
06-30 12:19:40	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0xcf329e…
06-30 08:03:04	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc56b1d…
06-29 20:18:41	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x7b936a…
06-04 20:32:22	tsla up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x34def1…
06-04 13:36:40	nvda up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9d2920…
06-04 13:31:27	msft up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x6e7518…
06-04 10:25:04	rklb up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8330c8…
06-04 10:22:09	rklb up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4991f1…
06-04 10:20:55	nvda up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x24b941…
06-04 10:15:58	tsla up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7ef226…
05-29 13:51:48	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x1e0f17…
05-29 13:44:18	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xfa0804…
05-29 13:44:18	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xb04de9…
05-29 13:44:16	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xcc52a4…
05-29 13:44:11	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x102b65…
05-28 17:33:35	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x71bab9…
05-28 14:43:14	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0xa811af…
05-28 14:41:30	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xf79290…
05-28 14:41:29	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x19f559…
05-28 14:16:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0xcec613…
05-28 14:16:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	94	48¢	$45	0x10583d…
05-28 13:54:28	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd87efa…
05-28 13:52:23	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x346a53…
05-27 21:49:17	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x5ca4f8…
05-27 14:26:12	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	94	40¢	$38	0x03a6ac…
05-27 14:04:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0xb43d88…
05-26 22:51:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x3bec8c…
05-26 22:40:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc0afac…
05-26 21:18:38	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x48b2b6…
05-26 17:04:59	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xfb6ec8…
05-26 17:03:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0x109ca4…
05-26 16:32:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa060b9…
05-26 16:30:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xcde7ef…
05-26 15:17:11	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x1c3268…
05-26 14:11:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xe431f6…
05-26 13:52:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xe48a3d…
05-26 13:49:54	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xae3b05…
05-26 13:29:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	54¢	$31	0x1eabe9…
05-26 13:06:14	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x09ba16…
05-25 21:38:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	338	12¢	$41	0xac6031…
05-25 21:34:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xbcaa9d…
05-25 21:34:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	103	12¢	$12	0xe7a4b1…
05-25 21:31:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	171	12¢	$21	0x1e0cb4…
05-25 15:11:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	613	5¢	$30	0x8a6004…
05-25 15:00:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc7a33e…
05-25 14:59:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	36¢	$39	0x79fefd…
05-22 23:49:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	185	32¢	$59	0xc43e59…
05-22 22:25:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	89	34¢	$30	0x5ed284…
05-22 20:27:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	281	11¢	$30	0x64f679…
05-22 20:27:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	188	15¢	$28	0x284ab8…
05-22 20:26:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x351c3f…
05-21 15:22:32	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x401c88…
05-21 15:22:06	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x952835…
05-21 15:17:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x42a298…
05-21 15:15:37	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	30	76¢	$22	0xca0784…
05-21 15:06:54	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	49	60¢	$30	0x1de1bc…
05-21 13:57:01	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x468fa7…
05-21 13:50:17	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x7d07e5…
05-21 13:49:49	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xccf26a…
05-21 13:42:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0x45763d…
05-20 16:10:38	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xa4050d…
05-17 19:21:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	543	5¢	$28	0x658730…
05-17 19:21:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	507	5¢	$26	0x4ba5b5…
05-17 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x21c626…
05-17 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	66¢	$23	0x9825a8…
05-17 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x047421…
05-15 20:45:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x11169f…
05-15 20:45:45	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x099fcc…
05-14 09:00:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x2e3e08…
05-14 09:00:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x674a29…
05-09 21:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xf1096c…
05-07 15:43:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x2cee5f…
05-07 15:42:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xf77329…
05-07 14:06:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x99b379…
05-07 13:43:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x233b2d…
05-06 19:45:14	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	114	13¢	$15	0xa8a013…
05-06 18:41:14	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0x43e9d5…
05-06 14:17:24	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x5876f8…
05-06 14:07:10	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	12¢	$13	0xddf863…
05-06 14:03:20	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xbc5545…
05-06 11:44:14	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x5f8cb8…
05-06 11:41:18	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xbdc767…
05-06 11:38:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xab523c…
05-06 11:33:16	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0x2777c0…
05-06 10:26:52	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x3ab555…
05-06 10:09:14	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x91295b…
05-06 07:13:56	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x76760e…
05-06 06:34:28	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x10ff38…
05-06 04:54:00	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd07e5d…
05-06 04:46:54	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xfae852…