Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$856
$100 in 24h
Trades
86
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,008
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-19 23:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-19.9¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $124
vs crowd: 23% YES on $426)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $15 | $23 | $8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $3 | $0 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $45 | $179 | $134 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $34 | $126 | $92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $120 | $116 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $11 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 2 | $20 | $14 | +$6 |
| Below median | 2 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $46 | $42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| unranked | 8 | $34 | $121 | $87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +178 | $120 | $120 | 3 | 06-10 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x93fc…107c | No | +48 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-04 09:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +37 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-07 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | +29 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-15 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 09:23 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +19 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:44 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-15 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-15 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x389b…b8b1 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 23:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 08:16 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 05:25 |
| Klutzy-Surfboard 0x82cf…a9d1 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 06:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 23:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x389b…b8b1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x1da574… |
| 06-19 23:08:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x1da574… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | No | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 0 | 60¢ | $0 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-15 23:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0daf70… |
| 06-15 23:01:36 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0daf70… |
| 06-15 12:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0f3efc… |
| 06-15 12:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0f3efc… |
| 06-15 09:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa07807… |
| 06-15 09:18:40 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xa07807… |
| 06-15 09:18:34 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x8ae184… |
| 06-15 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x8ae184… |
| 06-15 09:18:34 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x8ae184… |
| 06-15 08:06:39 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x08523f… |
| 06-15 08:06:39 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x08523f… |
| 06-15 06:22:16 | Klutzy-Surfboard 0x82cf…a9d1 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xb9c958… |
| 06-15 06:22:16 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb9c958… |
| 06-15 06:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xb9c958… |
| 06-11 17:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x361160… |
| 06-11 17:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x361160… |
| 06-11 17:47:12 | Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x361160… |
| 06-10 05:25:00 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 143 | 70¢ | $100 | 0x3541c0… |
| 06-10 05:25:00 | Colorless-Compulsion 0xbc60…af79 | No | SELL | 121 | 70¢ | $85 | 0x3541c0… |
| 06-10 05:25:00 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x3541c0… |
| 06-10 05:25:00 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x3541c0… |
| 06-07 19:08:42 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | Yes | SELL | 34 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x7bba96… |
| 06-07 19:08:42 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x7bba96… |
| 06-07 19:08:42 | Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x7bba96… |
| 06-07 19:08:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x7bba96… |
| 06-07 14:09:40 | Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x797910… |
| 06-07 14:09:40 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x797910… |
| 06-07 13:52:48 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x09d2bc… |
| 06-07 13:52:48 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x09d2bc… |
| 06-07 13:52:48 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | SELL | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x09d2bc… |
| 06-07 13:51:49 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x208ce8… |
| 06-07 13:51:49 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 17 | 64¢ | $11 | 0x208ce8… |
| 06-05 19:47:55 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x8646c8… |
| 06-05 19:47:55 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x8646c8… |
| 06-05 19:47:55 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | BUY | 13 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x8646c8… |
| 06-05 06:37:36 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x2fb9c8… |
| 06-05 06:37:36 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x2fb9c8… |
| 06-04 17:10:15 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x3046c0… |
| 06-04 17:10:15 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x3046c0… |
| 06-04 17:08:33 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x591808… |
| 06-04 17:08:33 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x591808… |
| 06-04 17:01:06 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xadb9e1… |
| 06-04 17:01:06 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xadb9e1… |
| 06-04 16:52:24 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 41¢ | $9 | 0xd4b201… |
| 06-04 16:52:24 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 21 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xd4b201… |
| 06-04 09:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x93fc…107c | No | BUY | 48 | 68¢ | $32 | 0x6268e9… |
| 06-04 09:55:19 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x6268e9… |
| 06-04 09:55:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 32¢ | $9 | 0x6268e9… |
| 06-04 09:23:45 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6c3c6f… |
| 06-04 09:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x6c3c6f… |
| 06-04 09:12:01 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | BUY | 31 | 67¢ | $21 | 0x0a73c2… |
| 06-04 09:12:01 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 31 | 67¢ | $21 | 0x0a73c2… |
| 06-03 16:21:06 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xe3df13… |
| 06-03 16:21:06 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xe3df13… |
| 06-03 16:13:42 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcb2ae8… |
| 06-03 16:13:42 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcb2ae8… |
| 06-03 16:12:54 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0xf6c2b4… |
| 06-03 16:12:54 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0xf6c2b4… |
| 06-03 16:07:24 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 16 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x308fdd… |
| 06-03 16:07:24 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 16 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x308fdd… |
| 06-03 03:48:32 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 18 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xeadfb8… |
| 06-03 03:48:32 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 46¢ | $8 | 0xeadfb8… |
| 06-02 23:50:36 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0xb2399e… |
| 06-02 23:50:36 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0xb2399e… |
| 06-02 22:46:03 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 17 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x4058d9… |
| 06-02 22:46:03 | Blue-Bagpipe 0x828d…c9a5 | No | SELL | 17 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x4058d9… |
| 06-02 22:44:00 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 19 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x4c9bf5… |
| 06-02 22:44:00 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 37 | 51¢ | $19 | 0x4c9bf5… |
| 06-02 22:44:00 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x4c9bf5… |
| 06-02 22:34:42 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2f3019… |
| 06-02 22:34:42 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x2f3019… |
| 06-02 22:34:42 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 22 | 50¢ | $11 | 0x2f3019… |
| 06-02 22:29:27 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 22 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xa448f6… |
| 06-02 22:29:27 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 22 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xa448f6… |
| 06-02 21:58:13 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 30 | 44¢ | $13 | 0xd6a8c5… |
| 06-02 21:58:13 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 30 | 44¢ | $13 | 0xd6a8c5… |
| 06-02 06:19:38 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0x43aeef… |
| 06-02 06:19:38 | Swift-Toast 0xfa10…8f6b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0x43aeef… |