Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,781
$100 in 24h
Trades
174
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$1,008
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-11 21:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.0¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $124
vs crowd: 31% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $28 | $68 | $40 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $85 | $118 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $100 | $147 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $98 | $360 | $262 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $120 | $116 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $45 | $11 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $7 | $3 | +$3 |
| Median | 2 | $20 | $14 | +$6 |
| Below median | 5 | $21 | $103 | $83 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $46 | $42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $85 | $77 | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $54 | $54 |
| unranked | 18 | $125 | $265 | $140 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | +184 | $55 | $55 | 8 | 07-11 21:58 |
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +178 | $120 | $120 | 3 | 06-10 05:25 |
| Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | +149 | $103 | $103 | 5 | 07-09 22:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 07-08 16:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +66 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 07-10 04:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +64 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-22 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x93fc…107c | No | +48 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-04 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | +29 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-15 09:18 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +19 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:44 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-15 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-15 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x389b…b8b1 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 23:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 23:08 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-06 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 08:16 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 05:25 |
| Klutzy-Surfboard 0x82cf…a9d1 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +6 | $12 | $96 | 7 | 06-25 18:26 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-07 00:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 21:58:55 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xb6e886… |
| 07-11 21:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xb6e886… |
| 07-11 06:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x7ed6a9… |
| 07-11 06:42:02 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x7ed6a9… |
| 07-10 04:31:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x236792… |
| 07-10 04:31:17 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x236792… |
| 07-10 04:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x236792… |
| 07-09 22:24:49 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 25 | 67¢ | $16 | 0x22f722… |
| 07-09 22:24:49 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x22f722… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 28 | 69¢ | $19 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-09 22:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xafa43c… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 34¢ | $25 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 40¢ | $13 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | SELL | 186 | 65¢ | $122 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-08 16:47:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xaff3b7… |
| 07-07 00:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0839d2… |
| 07-07 00:35:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x0839d2… |
| 07-06 20:34:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x42528f… |
| 07-06 20:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x42528f… |
| 07-06 19:33:44 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 30¢ | $12 | 0xa5886c… |
| 07-06 19:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xafba…d271 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 30¢ | $17 | 0xa5886c… |
| 07-06 19:33:44 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xa5886c… |
| 07-05 06:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xa466d3… |
| 07-05 06:32:34 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xa466d3… |
| 07-03 03:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x592169… |
| 07-03 03:40:53 | (anonymous) 0xaa3d…f505 | No | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x592169… |
| 06-30 12:25:32 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x6098a1… |
| 06-30 12:25:32 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6098a1… |
| 06-30 12:24:29 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x0dce53… |
| 06-30 12:24:29 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 21 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x0dce53… |
| 06-30 12:19:40 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 30¢ | $21 | 0xcf329e… |
| 06-30 12:19:40 | Remarkable-Return 0x1aa0…cc93 | No | BUY | 71 | 70¢ | $50 | 0xcf329e… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xc56b1d… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xc56b1d… |
| 06-29 20:18:41 | (anonymous) 0xaa3d…f505 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x7b936a… |
| 06-29 20:18:41 | Pushy-Dead 0x8278…22a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x7b936a… |
| 06-27 12:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x20105d… |
| 06-27 12:48:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x20105d… |
| 06-27 12:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x5422aa… |
| 06-27 12:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | Yes | BUY | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x5422aa… |
| 06-27 12:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x5422aa… |
| 06-27 12:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 32¢ | $9 | 0x24a9d1… |
| 06-27 12:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x24a9d1… |
| 06-27 12:37:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x24a9d1… |
| 06-27 12:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | Yes | SELL | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x24a9d1… |
| 06-27 12:36:17 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | Yes | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0xb629e9… |
| 06-27 12:36:17 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xb629e9… |
| 06-27 12:36:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 33¢ | $14 | 0xb629e9… |
| 06-27 12:36:17 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 95 | 33¢ | $32 | 0xb629e9… |
| 06-25 23:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xb3f4de… |
| 06-25 23:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xb3f4de… |
| 06-25 18:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 26 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x3c429d… |
| 06-25 18:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x3c429d… |
| 06-25 18:26:13 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 76 | 63¢ | $48 | 0x3c429d… |
| 06-25 18:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 23 | 62¢ | $14 | 0x685144… |
| 06-25 18:23:29 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 23 | 62¢ | $14 | 0x685144… |
| 06-25 18:22:25 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 26 | 61¢ | $16 | 0xc84a64… |
| 06-25 18:22:25 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xc84a64… |
| 06-25 18:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 12 | 62¢ | $7 | 0xc84a64… |
| 06-25 18:22:25 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xc84a64… |
| 06-25 18:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb445ef… |
| 06-25 18:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb445ef… |
| 06-23 12:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x386f37… |
| 06-23 12:47:58 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x386f37… |
| 06-23 01:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xaa3d…f505 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x72f138… |
| 06-23 01:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x72f138… |
| 06-22 20:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xaa3d…f505 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x29669b… |
| 06-22 20:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x29669b… |
| 06-22 19:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xe15bff… |
| 06-22 19:44:40 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xe15bff… |
| 06-22 19:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xe15bff… |
| 06-22 18:23:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xe319a4… |
| 06-22 18:23:04 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | No | BUY | 45 | 68¢ | $31 | 0xe319a4… |
| 06-22 18:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xe319a4… |
| 06-22 18:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xe319a4… |
| 06-22 12:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x8ab9cf… |
| 06-22 12:58:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x8ab9cf… |
| 06-22 12:58:02 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 110 | 23¢ | $25 | 0x8ab9cf… |
| 06-22 12:58:02 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 54 | 77¢ | $42 | 0x8ab9cf… |
| 06-19 23:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x389b…b8b1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x1da574… |
| 06-19 23:08:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x1da574… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 0 | 60¢ | $0 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-18 10:12:17 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | No | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x2dc308… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-16 08:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xac9edf… |
| 06-15 23:01:36 | Bogus-Developer 0xe702…b6c1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0daf70… |
| 06-15 23:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0daf70… |
| 06-15 12:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0f3efc… |
| 06-15 12:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0f3efc… |