Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$680

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-05 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

73% 33% $-40

Politics

16% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		-103	$-30	23¢	$-24	+$6	06-05 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$97	86	86	+0	open	—	05-14 06:43
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	72	72	+0	open	—	05-05 09:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$68	74	74	+0	open	—	05-01 18:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	05-16 00:20
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$56	52	50	+1	open	—	04-27 17:45
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$55	94	94	+0	open	—	05-05 03:47
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$50	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-11 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	83	83	+0	open	—	05-03 20:18
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$31	170	163	+8	open	—	04-29 17:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$30	0	103	-103	open	—	06-05 02:39
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$25	43	0	+43	No	$-25	05-01 19:32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	1	$25	71	0	+71	open	—	04-23 21:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	1	$25	155	0	+155	open	—	04-23 21:36
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-26 14:52
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	1	$15	34	0	+34	No	$-15	04-27 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:39:54	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	103	29¢	$30	0xd62acc…
05-16 00:20:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc7db78…
05-14 06:43:52	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	84¢	$72	0xed7b9b…
05-11 12:21:04	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	39	65¢	$25	0x73904b…
05-08 02:43:05	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xff68f0…
05-05 18:26:56	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x324aea…
05-05 09:49:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	68¢	$49	0xc31e58…
05-05 03:47:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	94	34¢	$33	0xad4898…
05-03 20:18:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x8a287b…
05-03 15:05:26	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	48¢	$35	0x305061…
05-01 19:32:04	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x71831f…
05-01 18:51:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x285f73…
05-01 18:50:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	58¢	$21	0xe1bad5…
04-29 17:56:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe27f83…
04-29 17:50:28	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	163	10¢	$16	0x17ccd7…
04-29 03:06:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xb6c78f…
04-27 17:45:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0x12a4f3…
04-27 11:57:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xfb2732…
04-27 11:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x6af41d…
04-26 15:05:32	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x34b0f8…
04-26 14:52:50	Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7b7128…
04-25 13:49:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xe2c73f…
04-24 21:54:46	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	170	9¢	$15	0xeb0887…
04-23 21:36:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x44f33d…
04-23 21:27:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x25cbe9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	13	$20.1K	213	05-29 21:07
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	12	$4.19M	7,917	06-06 14:45
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	12	$2.49K	96	06-08 12:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	11	$56.3K	1,213	06-08 10:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	11	$45.7K	4,451	06-06 02:00
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	11	$7.26K	756	05-29 22:06
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	11	$5.74K	569	05-04 00:51
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	11	$2.37K	570	05-06 16:41