Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-06 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

62% 67% +$34

Politics

29% 75% +$25

Tech

8% 100% +$31

Crypto

1% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$163	200	200	+0	Yes	+$13	05-06 10:33
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$97	86	86	+0	Yes	+$47	05-14 06:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$87	121	121	+0	open	—	05-06 10:34
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	72	72	+0	Yes	+$14	05-05 09:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$68	74	74	+0	Yes	+$18	05-01 18:51
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	2	$60	65	65	+0	Yes	+$16	05-03 15:03
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$60	103	103	+0	open	—	06-05 02:39
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$59	34	34	+0	Yes	+$9	05-16 00:20
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	2	$57	55	55	+0	open	—	07-06 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$56	52	50	+1	Yes	+$27	04-27 17:45
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$55	94	94	+0	Yes	+$11	05-05 03:47
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	2	$54	66	66	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 02:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$53	34	34	+0	Yes	+$3	05-23 21:06
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$50	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-11 12:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$50	135	135	+0	No	+$4	05-15 07:02
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	1	$47	0	92	-92	open	—	05-02 08:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	83	83	+0	No	-$10	05-03 20:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$36	105	105	+0	open	—	06-05 03:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	2	$35	81	81	+0	open	—	07-06 19:34
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$31	170	163	+8	Yes	+$1	04-29 17:50
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	1	$26	0	82	-82	No	+$26	05-31 02:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	1	$25	155	0	+155	Yes	-$25	04-23 21:36
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	61	0	+61	Yes	-$25	05-05 13:12
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	1	$25	71	0	+71	No	-$25	04-23 21:27
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$25	43	0	+43	No	-$25	05-01 19:32
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	Yes	-$20	04-26 14:52
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	2	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	07-06 19:34
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	1	$20	0	75	-75	Yes	+$20	05-16 15:09
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	1	$15	34	0	+34	No	-$15	04-27 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:34:19	Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xc5a2d8…
07-06 19:34:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	Yes	SELL	81	14¢	$11	0x9d9f4d…
07-06 19:33:44	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	30¢	$17	0xa5886c…
06-05 03:39:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	105	13¢	$14	0x4074a2…
06-05 02:39:54	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	103	29¢	$30	0xd62acc…
05-31 02:21:55	Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	SELL	82	32¢	$26	0x40b502…
05-26 17:28:23	Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0xd16f0d…
05-23 21:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	84¢	$28	0xff5f96…
05-22 02:55:56	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	Yes	SELL	66	43¢	$29	0x55f708…
05-19 18:39:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	Yes	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0x7785c7…
05-18 09:17:29	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xc0ed4d…
05-16 15:09:04	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	75	26¢	$20	0xfd91bb…
05-16 11:22:23	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0xa15312…
05-16 00:20:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc7db78…
05-15 15:41:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0x8d4f21…
05-15 07:02:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	20¢	$27	0x7e2879…
05-14 06:43:52	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	84¢	$72	0xed7b9b…
05-11 12:21:04	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	39	65¢	$25	0x73904b…
05-08 02:43:05	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xff68f0…
05-06 10:35:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x27cbc2…
05-06 10:34:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	39¢	$47	0x77d3c6…
05-06 10:33:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	51¢	$55	0xc67976…
05-05 18:26:56	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x324aea…
05-05 13:12:50	Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x62c0c5…
05-05 09:49:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	68¢	$49	0xc31e58…
05-05 03:47:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	94	34¢	$33	0xad4898…
05-03 20:18:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x8070c0…
05-03 20:18:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x8a287b…
05-03 20:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	36¢	$33	0xf9b049…
05-03 15:05:26	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	48¢	$35	0x305061…
05-03 15:03:54	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	SELL	65	59¢	$38	0x0cfc6d…
05-03 13:15:06	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	65	34¢	$22	0xf63074…
05-02 08:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x7b15f0…
05-02 08:46:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x219d7c…
05-02 08:29:48	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	51¢	$47	0xbd52ef…
05-01 19:32:04	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x71831f…
05-01 18:58:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	17¢	$23	0x688d6f…
05-01 18:51:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x285f73…
05-01 18:50:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	58¢	$21	0xe1bad5…
04-29 19:53:08	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x841dc6…
04-29 17:56:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe27f83…
04-29 17:50:28	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	163	10¢	$16	0x17ccd7…
04-29 03:06:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xb6c78f…
04-27 17:45:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0x12a4f3…
04-27 11:57:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xfb2732…
04-27 11:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x6af41d…
04-26 15:05:32	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x34b0f8…
04-26 14:52:50	Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7b7128…
04-25 13:49:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xe2c73f…
04-24 21:54:46	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	170	9¢	$15	0xeb0887…
04-23 21:36:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x44f33d…
04-23 21:27:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x25cbe9…