Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-06 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-40

Politics

16% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		-103	$-30	16¢	$-17	+$13	06-05 02:39
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes		-55	$-17	26¢	$-14	+$3	07-06 19:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$97	86	86	+0	open	—	05-14 06:43
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	72	72	+0	open	—	05-05 09:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$68	74	74	+0	open	—	05-01 18:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	05-16 00:20
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$56	52	50	+1	open	—	04-27 17:45
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$55	94	94	+0	open	—	05-05 03:47
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$50	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-11 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	83	83	+0	open	—	05-03 20:18
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$31	170	163	+8	open	—	04-29 17:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$30	0	103	-103	open	—	06-05 02:39
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$25	43	0	+43	No	$-25	05-01 19:32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	1	$25	71	0	+71	open	—	04-23 21:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	1	$25	155	0	+155	open	—	04-23 21:36
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-26 14:52
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	1	$17	0	55	-55	open	—	07-06 19:33
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	1	$15	34	0	+34	No	$-15	04-27 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:33:44	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	30¢	$17	0xa5886c…
06-05 02:39:54	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	103	29¢	$30	0xd62acc…
05-16 00:20:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc7db78…
05-14 06:43:52	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	84¢	$72	0xed7b9b…
05-11 12:21:04	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	39	65¢	$25	0x73904b…
05-08 02:43:05	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xff68f0…
05-05 18:26:56	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x324aea…
05-05 09:49:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	68¢	$49	0xc31e58…
05-05 03:47:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	94	34¢	$33	0xad4898…
05-03 20:18:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x8a287b…
05-03 15:05:26	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	48¢	$35	0x305061…
05-01 19:32:04	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x71831f…
05-01 18:51:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x285f73…
05-01 18:50:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	37	58¢	$21	0xe1bad5…
04-29 17:56:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe27f83…
04-29 17:50:28	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	163	10¢	$16	0x17ccd7…
04-29 03:06:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xb6c78f…
04-27 17:45:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0x12a4f3…
04-27 11:57:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xfb2732…
04-27 11:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x6af41d…
04-26 15:05:32	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x34b0f8…
04-26 14:52:50	Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7b7128…
04-25 13:49:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xe2c73f…
04-24 21:54:46	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	170	9¢	$15	0xeb0887…
04-23 21:36:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x44f33d…
04-23 21:27:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x25cbe9…