Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$83

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

5,496

Trades

45,012

lifetime

Volume

$668.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$106

25 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-20 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

63% 8% -$16,437

Crypto

27% 78% -$2,352

Politics

4% 2% -$1,834

Tech

3% 2% -$371

Sports

2% 4% -$373

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+59	$55	90¢	$53	-$2	07-14 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+16	$16	100¢	$16	+$0	06-17 07:39
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+59	$7	10¢	$6	-$1	07-14 02:02
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$10	76¢	$5	-$4	09-03 23:37
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	07-20 03:25
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+5	$4	66¢	$3	$0	08-15 22:26
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	+3	$3	76¢	$3	$0	08-02 15:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	+4	$3	70¢	$3	-$1	08-07 05:32
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	+3	$2	82¢	$2	+$0	08-24 21:45
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	08-26 16:33
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$6	24¢	$2	-$5	09-11 10:30
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+4	$2	34¢	$2	$0	07-06 01:46
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	+5	$5	24¢	$1	-$4	08-02 15:25
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	+4	$2	30¢	$1	-$1	07-10 06:30
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+4	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	07-12 12:26
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	+1	$8	60¢	$1	-$7	09-12 21:56
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+3	$2	18¢	$1	-$2	08-29 15:18
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	+1	$11	40¢	$0	-$10	09-08 06:44
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	+1	$21	64¢	$0	-$20	07-10 10:34
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	+1	$5	36¢	$0	-$5	07-07 14:24
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+3	$0	6¢	$0	$0	07-20 03:23
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-18 20:51
GTA VI released by November 30?	No	+1	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-29 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-19 11:44
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$17	16¢	$0	-$17	09-12 18:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	190	$14.3K	12,247	12,206	+41	No	-$208	06-30 01:16
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	146	$11.0K	9,295	9,293	+3	Yes	-$133	07-10 15:15
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	141	$10.5K	11,177	11,168	+9	No	-$235	07-10 06:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	106	$10.5K	9,201	9,199	+2	Yes	-$129	07-10 13:45
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	130	$8.1K	7,222	7,219	+4	Yes	-$158	06-24 13:21
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	105	$7.6K	6,342	6,252	+90	No	-$21	06-22 14:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	77	$7.5K	6,308	6,308	+0	No	-$22	07-11 05:34
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	127	$7.4K	10,100	10,100	+0	Yes	-$101	07-10 10:08
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	112	$7.1K	8,125	8,125	+0	No	-$38	06-23 14:58
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	86	$7.0K	7,661	7,661	+0	No	-$116	07-10 06:57
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	116	$6.2K	5,371	5,198	+172	No	-$27	06-27 10:53
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	109	$6.2K	7,447	7,447	+0	Yes	-$49	07-10 11:34
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	118	$5.9K	4,438	4,414	+24	Yes	-$167	06-24 12:38
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	103	$5.7K	4,740	4,702	+39	No	-$132	06-30 00:18
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	101	$5.3K	4,192	4,111	+81	No	-$73	06-26 17:11
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	136	$5.1K	4,727	4,727	+0	No	-$79	06-28 06:29
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	85	$4.9K	5,157	4,957	+200	No	-$28	06-26 09:43
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	111	$4.7K	4,236	4,236	+0	No	-$63	06-28 04:11
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	113	$4.7K	4,053	3,924	+129	No	-$120	06-30 06:27
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	72	$4.2K	4,224	3,621	+603	No	-$603	06-26 13:38
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	150	$4.2K	6,453	6,453	+0	No	-$39	06-24 12:48
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	56	$3.7K	5,061	5,061	+0	No	-$25	07-16 10:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	33	$3.2K	2,354	2,354	+0	open	—	07-08 00:40
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	69	$3.2K	2,438	2,429	+9	No	$0	06-22 13:36
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	47	$2.7K	2,384	2,384	+0	No	-$74	06-26 12:16
will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	22	$2.5K	1,837	1,837	+0	Yes	-$53	07-29 16:05
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	32	$2.5K	2,642	2,642	+0	No	-$1	06-23 06:37
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	51	$2.3K	2,159	2,159	+0	Yes	-$255	07-01 13:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	25	$2.2K	2,160	2,160	+0	open	—	07-21 05:17
will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	33	$2.2K	2,948	2,942	+7	No	-$51	07-10 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 05:17:39	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x5df42c…
09-20 04:12:36	Will San Diego State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcc7530…
09-20 02:18:04	Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd2ddbc…
09-20 02:18:04	Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 7.5	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xd2ddbc…
09-19 22:51:09	Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 8.5	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdad13f…
09-19 22:44:12	Will Wisconsin have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 6.5	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcf6c58…
09-19 21:24:21	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x1a883b…
09-19 20:27:32	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x74fa18…
09-19 19:07:30	Will Arizona State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 6.5	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x228e59…
09-18 06:48:00	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0x70a482…
09-18 06:47:58	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x65d5ef…
09-18 05:47:43	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xece7f4…
09-17 19:19:33	Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x62dc15…
09-17 02:25:00	Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	SELL	152	48¢	$73	0x1c576d…
09-17 02:24:57	Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x141765…
09-16 01:22:03	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 83.5	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x335a6a…
09-15 07:39:24	Will Arizona State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 6.5	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x5a0d34…
09-15 07:39:15	Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x67ceea…
09-15 07:03:46	Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x62330b…
09-14 07:23:30	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 83.5	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xcd257f…
09-13 20:10:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x45e6c0…
09-13 08:01:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x87eb3a…
09-13 08:01:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xab3476…
09-13 07:00:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x980911…
09-13 07:00:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9eaa9c…
09-13 06:45:36	Will kt Rolster make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xc068ae…
09-13 05:39:39	Will Arkansas have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 3.5	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xfffaab…
09-13 05:09:39	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	79¢	$58	0x87fd89…
09-13 05:09:37	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xfec5d3…
09-13 04:31:21	Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x98aaa8…
09-13 03:17:19	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x94701b…
09-13 03:17:19	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 9.5	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x94701b…
09-13 01:27:49	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8d0eca…
09-12 23:06:52	Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x251d27…
09-12 23:06:51	Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa85930…
09-12 22:32:01	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0xaf6ee2…
09-12 22:31:58	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x470712…
09-12 22:26:00	Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0x9b4f8d…
09-12 22:25:57	Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0x7de3ff…
09-12 22:15:19	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xdecf96…
09-12 22:15:16	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0x6b1b29…
09-12 21:56:18	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0xd94d1a…
09-12 21:56:16	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc320e0…
09-12 21:49:48	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x4a0de3…
09-12 21:49:46	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb2e52d…
09-12 21:11:16	Will Xi'an Team WE make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xceac67…
09-12 20:44:48	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	77	51¢	$40	0x496026…
09-12 20:44:45	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0x02cd94…
09-12 19:53:49	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x948225…
09-12 19:53:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xa0dcb0…
09-12 19:47:54	Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xeb99b3…
09-12 19:47:51	Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x2e375a…
09-12 19:23:39	Will Michigan have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 8.5	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xb1aada…
09-12 19:17:36	Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0xbcd0c1…
09-12 19:17:34	Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xdc996d…
09-12 19:12:24	Will Wake Forest have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xfc9a35…
09-12 19:07:34	Will Purdue have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 3.5	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x85a141…
09-12 19:07:34	Will Purdue have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 3.5	SELL	80	34¢	$27	0x85a141…
09-12 18:59:13	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0xdcb408…
09-12 18:59:12	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe761c8…
09-12 18:59:10	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	66¢	$49	0xe45379…
09-12 18:16:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x870650…
09-12 18:16:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x39ca0c…
09-12 18:05:55	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x840b4e…
09-12 18:05:54	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x81355f…
09-12 17:59:18	Will Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x8922ca…
09-12 17:59:15	Will Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x9d4240…
09-12 17:38:40	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x156e58…
09-12 16:55:19	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xac9dfa…
09-12 16:40:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?	No	SELL	24	60¢	$15	0x49e1e1…
09-12 15:41:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x2325ac…
09-12 15:09:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x5e1d84…
09-12 15:09:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$17	0x04bbb9…
09-12 14:48:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xe9b329…
09-12 14:48:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xe06d82…
09-12 14:40:10	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	69¢	$38	0x817fce…
09-12 14:40:09	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x934194…
09-12 14:10:28	Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x11ec93…
09-12 14:10:25	Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf0cb9e…
09-12 13:26:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x3700f9…
09-12 13:26:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb66c94…
09-12 12:27:16	Will "NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x5bd5a0…
09-12 12:27:15	Will "NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd5f289…
09-12 12:23:43	Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x311703…
09-12 12:23:31	Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xacfa83…
09-12 10:59:33	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x2ffb79…
09-12 10:59:30	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x6b6746…
09-12 10:24:49	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x926c2c…
09-12 10:24:48	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x174d43…
09-12 10:24:48	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x174d43…
09-12 10:04:15	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	95	64¢	$61	0xbcdce3…
09-12 10:04:13	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	95	65¢	$62	0x4dfb49…
09-12 09:17:27	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7ed8c6…
09-11 23:00:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e9000…
09-11 23:00:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xfbd6a9…
09-11 23:00:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x200c90…
09-11 22:00:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xa76721…
09-11 21:59:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x0abe82…
09-11 21:47:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xfdf567…
09-11 20:38:31	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x83d48b…