AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,729
$5 in 24h
Trades
73
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,305
Latest YES mid
84¢
Latest NO mid
16¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-30 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-80.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $168
vs crowd: 81% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $96 | $2 | +$94 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $5 | $257 | $252 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1.0K | $6 | +$1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $150 | $50 | +$100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $168 | $168 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $9 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $96 | — | +$96 |
| unranked | 14 | $1.2K | $127 | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +986 | $168 | $168 | 16 | 06-26 07:15 |
| Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | +955 | $778 | $778 | 7 | 06-27 08:14 |
| Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | No | +451 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-27 08:14 |
| Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | Yes | +230 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 07:15 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +112 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-22 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6915…a259 | No | +100 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-02 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | +99 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-02 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +87 | $72 | $154 | 6 | 06-19 10:44 |
| Self-Reliant-Scenery 0x6cb0…8fc5 | No | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-26 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +44 | $6 | $6 | 10 | 06-30 13:56 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-04 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x245d…fb16 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 07:15 |
| Liquid-Trainer 0xf971…997c | Yes | +10 | $7 | $42 | 3 | 06-29 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $1 | $7 | 2 | 06-27 08:14 |
| Unhappy-View 0x2a55…2359 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 13:56:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6ce8e8… |
| 06-30 13:56:31 | Fluid-Commotion 0x9d4a…6cb1 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x6ce8e8… |
| 06-30 13:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x6ce8e8… |
| 06-30 13:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6ce8e8… |
| 06-30 13:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | SELL | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x6ce8e8… |
| 06-29 07:15:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x9a0783… |
| 06-29 07:15:37 | Liquid-Trainer 0xf971…997c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x9a0783… |
| 06-29 04:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x4e6d…02e8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc6372e… |
| 06-29 04:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xc6372e… |
| 06-27 14:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x4e6d…02e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x8adf02… |
| 06-27 14:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x8adf02… |
| 06-27 08:14:13 | Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | No | BUY | 451 | 19¢ | $86 | 0x36b1e1… |
| 06-27 08:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x36b1e1… |
| 06-27 08:14:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x36b1e1… |
| 06-27 08:14:13 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 408 | 81¢ | $331 | 0x36b1e1… |
| 06-27 08:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x36b1e1… |
| 06-26 09:26:11 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5767be… |
| 06-26 09:26:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5767be… |
| 06-26 07:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x31284e… |
| 06-26 07:36:38 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x31284e… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 88 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | Yes | BUY | 230 | 87¢ | $200 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | Liquid-Trainer 0xf971…997c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $18 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | Self-Reliant-Scenery 0x6cb0…8fc5 | No | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-26 07:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6b4056… |
| 06-22 03:35:49 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 86¢ | $96 | 0xe26bca… |
| 06-22 03:35:49 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 112 | 14¢ | $16 | 0xe26bca… |
| 06-20 20:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 22 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x40adec… |
| 06-20 20:23:41 | Incredible-Pickup 0xd18d…e7b4 | No | SELL | 147 | 17¢ | $25 | 0x40adec… |
| 06-20 20:23:41 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0x40adec… |
| 06-19 10:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 83¢ | $30 | 0xf8938f… |
| 06-19 10:44:14 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 36 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xf8938f… |
| 06-13 17:03:07 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xcd08cc… |
| 06-13 17:03:07 | Silent-Magic 0x00e1…489c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xcd08cc… |
| 06-12 12:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0x38aa37… |
| 06-12 12:54:27 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $41 | 0x38aa37… |
| 06-12 12:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 82¢ | $60 | 0x8bd5dc… |
| 06-12 12:33:55 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x8bd5dc… |
| 06-12 10:43:27 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x13ec2f… |
| 06-12 10:43:27 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x13ec2f… |
| 06-12 10:42:42 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xcf2362… |
| 06-12 10:42:42 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xcf2362… |
| 06-12 10:10:46 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x36950d… |
| 06-12 10:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x36950d… |
| 06-10 19:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x245d…fb16 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x2ff07a… |
| 06-10 19:37:01 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x2ff07a… |
| 06-07 09:31:42 | Liquid-Trainer 0xf971…997c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x7786c4… |
| 06-07 09:31:42 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7786c4… |
| 06-07 09:04:12 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3b91da… |
| 06-07 09:04:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3b91da… |
| 06-07 09:02:48 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xdeba4a… |
| 06-07 09:02:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdeba4a… |
| 06-05 09:15:40 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x99f0e5… |
| 06-05 09:15:40 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x99f0e5… |
| 06-04 09:02:48 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x799e99… |
| 06-04 09:02:48 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x799e99… |
| 06-04 09:01:36 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0xe2a815… |
| 06-04 09:01:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xe2a815… |
| 06-02 21:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x6915…a259 | No | BUY | 99 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x958eed… |
| 06-02 21:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | BUY | 99 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x958eed… |
| 06-02 16:05:53 | (anonymous) 0x6915…a259 | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x2376ca… |
| 06-02 16:05:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x2376ca… |
| 06-02 16:05:48 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | No | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xd0f7c0… |
| 06-02 16:05:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xd0f7c0… |
| 06-02 09:40:18 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 480 | 18¢ | $86 | 0xc60363… |
| 06-02 09:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xc60363… |
| 06-02 09:40:18 | Creamy-Infarction 0xe80e…9211 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 82¢ | $373 | 0xc60363… |
| 06-02 01:42:47 | Unhappy-View 0x2a55…2359 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xb6079c… |
| 06-02 01:42:47 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xb6079c… |