Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

14.6%

Resolved

232

Trades

964

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-23

last 10-17 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

46% 14% -$583

Politics

42% 15% -$491

Sports

8% 22% -$27

Tech

3% 33% -$35

Crypto

2% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		+197	$6	2¢	$5	-$1	09-26 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Big Brother episode not air?	6	$155	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-27 15:01
will trump say ice during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	8	$131	100	100	+0	No	-$33	09-30 17:49
will trump say peanut this week 20261004	4	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 04:58
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	6	$112	105	105	+0	No	-$3	09-30 09:31
Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E41?	7	$93	81	81	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 21:42
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	4	$93	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	09-30 21:43
Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E41?	5	$89	80	80	+0	Yes	-$31	10-02 00:10
pacifica fdv above 50m one day after launch	6	$80	69	69	+0	open	—	09-23 17:18
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	2	$79	53	53	+0	open	—	09-30 19:54
Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	4	$77	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-26 01:41
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?	10	$77	58	58	+0	No	$0	09-27 09:57
Will anyone say "Jury" during Big Brother E41?	2	$77	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 14:37
Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	3	$76	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-27 10:03
Will anyone say "Joke" during Big Brother E41?	3	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-28 12:41
Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	2	$75	50	50	+0	No	-$4	09-30 20:33
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	4	$75	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-24 14:30
Will anyone say "Pawn" during Big Brother E41?	2	$74	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-27 09:30
Will anyone say "Date" during Big Brother E41?	2	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-28 09:48
will trump say globalism during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	2	$74	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-29 02:58
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	09-28 22:26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	3	$66	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-23 19:26
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 25, 2026?	6	$65	51	50	+2	No	+$1	09-25 14:28
Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	2	$63	50	50	+0	Yes	-$17	09-30 09:31
Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	12	$63	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-24 18:31
will trump say corn in october 20261031	4	$62	60	60	+0	Yes	-$25	09-30 21:06
Will Nabor win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?	2	$61	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-30 00:39
Will Netanyahu say "Drone" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	8	$60	50	49	+1	No	+$0	09-23 20:08
will trump post scam on truth social this week 20261004	7	$59	60	60	+0	No	-$1	10-01 06:42
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	6	$59	49	49	+0	open	—	09-25 17:30
Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?	3	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:57:42	Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0x956900…
10-17 13:57:11	Will Terry McLaurin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xb2eb46…
10-17 13:56:35	Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x6ebe5c…
10-08 07:48:18	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x50afce…
10-07 08:18:00	Will Trump say "Slob" in October?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x30b759…
10-05 10:43:08	Will Trump say "Slob" in October?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xb801de…
10-03 07:34:59	Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x603862…
10-02 10:54:18	Will George Pickens have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xffea7a…
10-02 03:51:54	Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x03b9f4…
10-02 02:09:59	Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x836c4e…
10-02 00:10:42	Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E41?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xef6234…
10-01 23:32:20	Will Trump say "Uber" in October?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x40c577…
10-01 19:55:27	Will Trump say "Shit" in October?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xbcba9e…
10-01 15:16:42	Will Trump say "Dell" in October?	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x63b313…
10-01 14:56:50	Will Jacob Misiorowski lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0xc97858…
10-01 13:10:06	Will Donald Trump visit Georgia before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x7652f0…
10-01 09:23:26	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x51db2d…
10-01 07:20:26	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x86fa74…
10-01 06:42:36	will trump post president xi on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xd144cc…
10-01 06:42:36	will trump post president xi on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x5e8f29…
10-01 06:42:35	will trump post scam on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xd188e2…
10-01 06:42:35	will trump post scam on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xa6c8b0…
10-01 06:42:35	will trump post russia on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x68128e…
10-01 06:25:20	will trump say tiktok bytedance in october 20261031	No	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x401563…
10-01 06:09:59	Will Ryan Fitzgerald finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xab23ab…
10-01 05:40:24	will trump say uber in october 20261031	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x43de62…
10-01 03:43:47	Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E41?	No	SELL	38	1¢	$1	0x59b8db…
10-01 02:47:21	Will there be 7+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x0cd867…
10-01 00:57:54	will trump post scam on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x347173…
10-01 00:57:48	will trump post russia on truth social this week 20261004	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfddd24…
10-01 00:35:02	will elon post video game or videogame on x this week 20261004	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbc2f16…
09-30 23:29:21	Will Chris Olave finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x751eb3…
09-30 23:27:23	Will Hearts finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x6d3918…
09-30 22:10:21	Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x8f516f…
09-30 22:03:23	Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x58f31a…
09-30 21:43:08	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x5deda9…
09-30 21:31:51	Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xe20501…
09-30 21:30:38	Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xf9e829…
09-30 21:20:35	Will Trey McBride have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xb39c0f…
09-30 21:06:33	will trump say corn in october 20261031	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x31dfc7…
09-30 21:04:11	will donald trump visit nevada before the midterms	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x66a546…
09-30 21:02:05	Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd97ceb…
09-30 20:57:21	will trump say ice cream in october	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xa49100…
09-30 20:51:06	will donald trump visit nevada before the midterms	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x90baaf…
09-30 20:50:21	Will Hearts finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x92ea70…
09-30 20:49:26	Will there be 7+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7ea99e…
09-30 20:48:00	will trump say corn in october 20261031	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x39c524…
09-30 20:47:02	will trump say ice cream in october	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x404f6c…
09-30 20:38:32	Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe6f686…
09-30 20:38:20	Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x96473f…
09-30 20:38:00	Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x792cfe…
09-30 20:33:08	Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xca48e7…
09-30 20:31:06	Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x1511cc…
09-30 20:28:47	will trump say oracle in october 20261031	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xc48dc5…
09-30 20:28:02	Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x8022ac…
09-30 20:27:15	Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x70ffc4…
09-30 20:26:59	Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x09913f…
09-30 20:26:33	will fashion be in the headlines this week 20261004	No	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x21f92f…
09-30 20:19:45	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xb2eeff…
09-30 20:18:24	Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x36bcbe…
09-30 20:10:27	will trump say fedex in october 20261031	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x6fb14a…
09-30 20:05:47	Will Bryce Young finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x5be2fb…
09-30 20:02:54	Will Ravens D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc895f5…
09-30 20:01:59	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0xb9cf33…
09-30 20:01:59	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb8009b…
09-30 19:54:35	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	No	SELL	53	67¢	$35	0x43dc6d…
09-30 19:51:23	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xfb3005…
09-30 19:50:11	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x24ab01…
09-30 19:48:30	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x0f8df0…
09-30 19:47:50	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x1960b1…
09-30 19:47:48	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x543636…
09-30 19:47:32	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x47bb30…
09-30 19:46:50	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xb70722…
09-30 19:46:50	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x157e83…
09-30 19:46:17	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x63a874…
09-30 19:22:48	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x79530e…
09-30 19:11:41	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x1daca5…
09-30 19:08:39	Will Universitatea Craiova finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x357fbe…
09-30 19:06:41	Will Davante Adams finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x55011c…
09-30 19:05:26	Will Davante Adams finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xed6541…
09-30 19:04:54	Will Chase Brown finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xd6cb18…
09-30 19:03:03	Will Chase Brown finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x05ef5b…
09-30 18:52:47	will trump say ass in october 20261031	No	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xecc749…
09-30 18:45:38	Will Terrance Ferguson finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x5a319c…
09-30 18:45:17	Will Terrance Ferguson finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4bef97…
09-30 18:43:29	Will Universitatea Craiova finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd1a3b4…
09-30 18:43:17	Will Bryce Young finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4dbc42…
09-30 18:25:54	Will Jaylen Warren finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xf54044…
09-30 18:24:56	Will Jaylen Warren finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x5385ff…
09-30 18:21:23	Will C.J. Stroud finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xbde63f…
09-30 18:11:56	Will C.J. Stroud finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x88456e…
09-30 18:06:48	Will Christian McCaffrey finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x002396…
09-30 18:04:02	Will Saquon Barkley finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xd9565f…
09-30 17:59:21	will trump say weave in october	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0xed9d77…
09-30 17:58:02	Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xed48ed…
09-30 17:57:11	Will Saquon Barkley finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x057cdd…
09-30 17:54:36	Will Christian McCaffrey finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x89b4f8…
09-30 17:49:45	will trump say ice during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x137a4f…
09-30 17:49:42	will trump say ice during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x1e4f33…
09-30 17:49:33	will trump say ice during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf133fa…