Better-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$190

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,078

lifetime

Volume

$60.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-04 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

36% 100% +$50

Tech

34% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	59	$4.4K	3,812	1,641	+2,171	open	—	03-31 16:02
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	39	$4.1K	2,676	2,676	+0	open	—	03-22 09:35
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	53	$3.0K	2,649	1,044	+1,605	open	—	04-30 08:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$2.6K	1,360	1,360	+0	open	—	03-04 18:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$1.8K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	04-03 13:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$1.6K	888	888	+0	open	—	03-20 19:09
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	35	$1.5K	1,108	1,715	-607	open	—	03-25 09:29
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	18	$1.4K	2,020	50	+1,970	open	—	01-30 18:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	14	$1.3K	840	840	+0	open	—	02-27 11:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	17	$1.2K	1,526	0	+1,526	open	—	04-09 14:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	7	$1.2K	376	836	-460	open	—	01-30 18:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$1.2K	1,763	1,562	+200	open	—	02-28 19:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.1K	848	848	+0	open	—	04-07 22:43
will uae strike iran by march 31	14	$1.1K	880	880	+0	open	—	03-27 09:39
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	22	$1.1K	1,130	152	+978	open	—	03-31 13:17
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	22	$1.1K	594	594	+0	open	—	03-29 07:25
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	22	$1.1K	1,225	105	+1,121	open	—	03-28 08:26
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	6	$1.0K	527	527	+0	open	—	01-07 15:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	22	$1.0K	741	741	+0	open	—	04-06 16:51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	7	$942	650	650	+0	open	—	04-08 02:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	12	$939	1,959	159	+1,800	open	—	02-27 23:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$893	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-05 19:11
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	8	$873	876	544	+332	open	—	04-27 07:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$852	902	0	+902	Yes	+$50	04-19 11:15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	20	$759	1,427	107	+1,320	open	—	04-29 12:30
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$710	657	591	+66	open	—	01-18 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	9	$689	372	370	+2	open	—	04-21 19:59
will qatar strike iran by march 31	5	$670	372	372	+0	open	—	03-27 08:50
internet access restored in iran by friday	3	$668	347	347	+0	open	—	01-17 09:01
will uk strike iran by march 31	7	$652	361	361	+0	open	—	03-18 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 22:12:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	179	67¢	$120	0x865267…
05-02 09:00:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0xe9bb22…
04-30 19:29:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xc48960…
04-30 08:35:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb76edf…
04-29 12:30:14	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x1c10c3…
04-29 11:41:06	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xcd79a9…
04-29 10:10:14	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1fb3b6…
04-29 02:30:56	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x2b4bb5…
04-29 00:25:24	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x325d05…
04-29 00:12:36	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf1392f…
04-29 00:01:12	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4b6da5…
04-29 00:00:10	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c36ca…
04-28 20:06:12	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xf7e715…
04-27 07:32:48	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	332	3¢	$10	0x24a9bb…
04-26 19:03:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	180	8¢	$14	0x085b72…
04-26 19:02:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x1e8361…
04-26 17:12:52	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	90¢	$228	0xeeaad3…
04-26 12:45:44	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xcc008f…
04-25 22:18:12	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x094e9a…
04-25 22:17:04	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x442f2b…
04-25 22:16:34	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x892882…
04-25 22:15:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	9¢	$9	0xf103bb…
04-24 18:41:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	1¢	$3	0x0d6673…
04-24 18:37:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0xdd3a47…
04-24 18:35:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xae0a8c…
04-24 18:35:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	11¢	$20	0xe38a8f…
04-24 18:34:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	11¢	$35	0x41b518…
04-22 14:58:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	89¢	$160	0xc8e8f3…
04-22 03:24:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xba14aa…
04-22 03:23:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$42	0x4e8691…
04-21 20:00:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	344	12¢	$42	0xaa4f2f…
04-21 19:59:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	370	97¢	$359	0x290b0c…
04-21 19:56:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	1¢	$5	0xdcb6e2…
04-21 19:54:56	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	634	99¢	$626	0xc40aaa…
04-21 19:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0xc09ac8…
04-21 19:51:40	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x0de955…
04-21 15:03:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x43c0a4…
04-21 14:49:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x25bb13…
04-21 14:47:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x65a861…
04-21 09:50:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0x823f17…
04-20 20:15:46	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x0ef276…
04-20 14:52:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	797	1¢	$5	0x6acd27…
04-20 14:09:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x10ec7d…
04-20 14:03:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x4f9cf3…
04-20 14:02:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x2e79ac…
04-20 14:01:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,060	1¢	$6	0x06e928…
04-19 11:15:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x30b734…
04-15 09:59:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0x5582df…
04-15 09:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x6a4c3a…
04-13 17:29:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x8fad6d…
04-13 17:22:39	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$135	0x100604…
04-13 17:19:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9cceb7…
04-13 14:31:47	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x4a82d1…
04-13 14:28:09	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xb61637…
04-13 14:25:19	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x2240b9…
04-13 12:21:17	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x78ca23…
04-13 12:20:55	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x26db66…
04-13 08:39:31	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x8ff84c…
04-12 20:01:05	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	SELL	193	94¢	$181	0x9d9701…
04-12 16:41:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x228eb7…
04-12 16:40:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x70e1a2…
04-12 14:30:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xb9255c…
04-12 09:51:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xe03371…
04-12 09:50:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0xd8082d…
04-12 09:49:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	215	29¢	$62	0xf2010a…
04-11 20:09:11	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	8¢	$19	0xe3c9db…
04-10 20:37:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x19e6a0…
04-10 20:19:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	159	97¢	$154	0x09cc44…
04-10 20:10:35	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x470fcd…
04-10 20:09:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x032b43…
04-10 19:27:57	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xac8110…
04-10 19:25:43	Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf86887…
04-10 15:42:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x4d9c38…
04-10 03:16:47	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	65¢	$36	0x1d5753…
04-09 22:48:59	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	62¢	$79	0x192993…
04-09 22:48:21	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	61¢	$160	0x442cbd…
04-09 18:14:43	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	46¢	$27	0x3d3772…
04-09 16:26:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xb9168c…
04-09 16:26:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x1e8a37…
04-09 14:18:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x4e1ed5…
04-09 14:01:21	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x439d3c…
04-09 10:45:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xb2ff82…
04-09 10:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x2f2e1e…
04-08 22:46:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x451e1f…
04-08 22:40:21	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xe34114…
04-08 22:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x060477…
04-08 22:34:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x1be1d9…
04-08 22:34:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xbc2d66…
04-08 22:33:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0x60980d…
04-08 21:20:29	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	403	50¢	$200	0x9760f0…
04-08 03:03:05	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xe8b7f9…
04-08 02:54:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	625	100¢	$624	0xc683f6…
04-07 22:43:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	142	36¢	$51	0x1c8d4c…
04-07 22:42:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	294	39¢	$113	0x7d7b08…
04-07 22:42:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	276	41¢	$113	0xe46c47…
04-07 22:42:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	136	43¢	$58	0x4cb337…
04-07 21:48:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xc4b640…
04-07 21:48:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2da0eb…
04-07 21:37:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	74	48¢	$36	0x8a2e1b…
04-07 18:21:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x387a0a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	167	$1.79M	33,921	05-29 21:01
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	164	$25.5M	44,441	06-01 04:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	163	$571.7K	47,451	05-04 11:32
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	160	$215.5K	20,038	04-01 07:11
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	149	$210.4K	1,899	05-25 14:22
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	145	$58.7K	18,832	04-26 14:40
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	139	$78.2K	17,193	05-07 13:11
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	136	$20.0K	8,815	05-25 21:43