Better-Smith 0xca5244…360cdf
hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$497
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
279
Trades
1,326
lifetime
Volume
$80.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$3.74K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-09 11:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
40% 60% +$715
Tech
35% 62% +$4,179
Politics
25% 60% +$2,513
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Sports
0% 0% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,500 $1,860 60¢ $1.5K -$348 10-09 11:54
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +535 $400 96¢ $516 +$117 06-10 18:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +614 $479 57¢ $353 -$126 09-30 20:28
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +2,199 $238 11¢ $242 +$4 09-30 20:22
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No +235 $220 95¢ $224 +$4 08-30 10:31
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +943 $351 20¢ $184 -$167 09-27 10:41
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +176 $150 93¢ $164 +$14 09-08 12:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +177 $145 78¢ $139 -$6 07-08 16:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +317 $130 32¢ $103 -$27 09-30 20:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $49 97¢ $97 +$48 06-11 00:13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +124 -$45 40¢ $50 +$95 09-13 00:20
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +67 $44 70¢ $47 +$3 09-08 12:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +118 $20 30¢ $35 +$15 08-15 22:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +118 $20 24¢ $28 +$8 08-15 22:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +125 $20 12¢ $14 -$6 08-15 22:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -321 -$7 4¢ $-11 -$4 08-25 11:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +112 $100 9¢ $10 -$90 09-20 21:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +107 $29 6¢ $7 -$22 09-03 10:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +157 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 09-08 08:53