Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.11K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
1
1,327 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$21
$80.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$4.79K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 10:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
40% 60% +$850
Tech
35% 61% +$4,079
Politics
25% 60% +$2,513
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Sports
0% 0% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,500 $1,860 66¢ $1.6K -$210 10-09 11:54
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +1,105 $564 96¢ $1.1K +$491 09-30 20:22
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +535 $400 79¢ $423 +$23 06-10 18:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +317 $130 76¢ $239 +$109 09-30 20:29
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No +235 $220 95¢ $224 +$4 08-30 10:31
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +176 $150 94¢ $165 +$15 09-08 12:44
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +2,361 $259 6¢ $153 -$106 11-12 10:35
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +943 $351 15¢ $137 -$214 09-27 10:41
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +177 $145 76¢ $135 -$10 07-08 16:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +614 $479 20¢ $120 -$359 09-30 20:28
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? No -102 -$76 97¢ $-100 -$24 06-22 17:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $49 98¢ $98 +$49 06-11 00:13
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Yes +187 $177 28¢ $51 -$126 10-08 08:45
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +67 $44 71¢ $47 +$3 09-08 12:37
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? Yes +1,002 $470 4¢ $42 -$428 10-07 11:46
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? Yes +711 $190 5¢ $38 -$152 10-07 11:46
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No -26 -$23 99¢ $-25 -$2 06-22 17:19
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? Yes +247 $200 10¢ $25 -$175 10-07 11:44
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $10 18¢ $20 +$10 09-08 08:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +118 $20 11¢ $13 -$7 08-15 22:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -321 -$7 4¢ $-13 -$6 08-25 11:18
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +124 -$45 6¢ $8 +$52 09-13 00:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +118 $20 2¢ $2 -$18 08-15 22:39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +157 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 09-08 08:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +125 $20 1¢ $1 -$19 08-15 22:39