Merry-Chairman 0xd2cba0…0e7729
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
69
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$1.91K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 06-30 06:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60% — —
Other
27% — —
Tech
12% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +658 $500 82¢ $543 +$43 06-26 07:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -321 $-302 96¢ $-306 $-5 06-17 14:26
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +318 $302 88¢ $279 $-22 06-26 07:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -285 $-235 66¢ $-190 +$45 06-17 14:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -283 $-207 64¢ $-182 +$25 06-30 05:54
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Yes +230 $200 70¢ $162 $-38 06-26 07:15
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No -120 $-67 90¢ $-108 $-41 06-22 08:47
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +2,110 $98 3¢ $54 $-44 06-26 07:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-12 $-1 06-20 02:18
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-1 06-07 10:04
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 10:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-20 02:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -11 $-10 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 10:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 06-20 02:20
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 10:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-12 70¢ $-10 +$2 06-07 10:04