Merry-Chairman 0xd2cba0…0e7729
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$3.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$2.15K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 06-09 06:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% — —
Other
28% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +451 $422 94¢ $422 $-0 06-09 06:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +478 $412 82¢ $395 $-17 06-08 08:55
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -319 $-311 98¢ $-312 $-1 06-07 09:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -271 $-251 86¢ $-235 +$17 06-07 09:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +220 $200 92¢ $201 +$1 05-29 12:37
New pandemic in 2026? No +222 $200 88¢ $197 $-3 05-31 03:26
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +164 $150 86¢ $142 $-8 05-31 03:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +128 $118 94¢ $121 +$3 05-31 03:32
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +185 $50 30¢ $55 +$5 05-31 03:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +21 $18 86¢ $18 +$0 06-07 09:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-12 80¢ $-11 +$0 06-07 10:04
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 $-11 92¢ $-11 +$0 06-07 10:04
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 10:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 +$0 06-07 10:04
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-07 10:04