Realized P&L
+$773
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
42
Trades
123,671
lifetime
Volume
$398.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$2.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 14:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
78% 59% +$802
Sports
14%
Politics
6% 0% $-29
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 19098 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +784 $340 99¢ $775 +$435 06-15 13:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +534 $369 76¢ $408 +$39 05-31 05:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $440 70¢ $352 $-88 06-15 07:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +467 $263 64¢ $297 +$34 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +441 $216 66¢ $293 +$78 05-31 06:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +471 $206 36¢ $172 $-34 05-31 06:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +434 $222 34¢ $145 $-76 05-31 06:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +533 $164 24¢ $125 $-39 05-31 06:45
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +35 $32 96¢ $34 +$1 05-31 04:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +35 $30 93¢ $33 +$3 05-31 05:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $13 70¢ $19 +$6 06-04 14:14
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +35 $18 52¢ $18 +$0 05-30 22:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $25 46¢ $17 $-8 06-11 06:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $9 54¢ $15 +$6 06-10 14:15
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +30 $14 48¢ $14 $-0 05-30 21:37
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +14 $12 99¢ $14 +$2 05-31 04:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +15 $10 81¢ $12 +$2 05-30 05:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $20 30¢ $11 $-9 06-04 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +860 $491 $10 $-481 06-16 07:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 05-29 11:48
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$1 05-28 06:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $5 80¢ $9 +$4 05-30 10:52
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 05-29 10:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 05-30 05:02
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-28 06:39
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 05-30 14:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 05-30 01:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$1 05-28 10:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$0 05-29 10:43
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $2 76¢ $4 +$2 05-28 05:30