Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$210
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
10,610
Trades
219,746
lifetime
Volume
$786.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$6.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 231 days
Categories
Other
77% 42% -$3,451
Politics
11% 52% -$281
Sports
9% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 46% +$30
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +992 $848 100¢ $992 +$144 10-21 19:04
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,909 $1,047 48¢ $916 -$131 10-27 00:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 90¢ $507 +$117 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 84¢ $490 +$159 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 92¢ $489 +$228 09-07 08:04
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,698 $425 24¢ $416 -$8 10-27 05:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +400 $340 96¢ $386 +$46 10-27 00:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +400 $260 94¢ $374 +$114 09-16 18:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 98¢ $-173 -$7 05-21 03:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 82¢ $167 +$7 10-21 03:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 76¢ $153 +$3 10-22 01:09
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 97¢ $149 +$2 09-14 08:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +137 $72 92¢ $126 +$55 10-02 08:07
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $114 56¢ $112 -$2 10-26 17:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +223 $104 48¢ $108 +$4 10-27 06:37
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +146 $61 74¢ $107 +$46 10-05 03:52
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 97¢ $-100 -$11 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 96¢ $-96 -$3 05-21 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 16¢ $96 -$158 09-07 14:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 68¢ $94 +$21 10-01 18:53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 87¢ $87 -$1 09-17 21:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 86¢ $86 -$3 09-14 10:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-74 -$3 05-07 03:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +571 $177 10¢ $57 -$120 09-20 05:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-49 -$2 05-20 09:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +64 $43 75¢ $48 +$5 10-23 14:08
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $78 10¢ $48 -$31 10-26 17:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $57 24¢ $47 -$10 10-04 21:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +140 $68 32¢ $46 -$23 10-02 12:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +534 $273 8¢ $45 -$228 05-31 06:50