Realized P&L
+$773
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
42
Trades
123,661
lifetime
Volume
$398.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$3.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 11:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
78% 59% +$802
Sports
14%
Politics
6% 0% $-29
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 19098 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +784 $340 76¢ $592 +$252 06-15 13:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +448 $341 100¢ $446 +$105 06-16 07:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $440 86¢ $432 $-8 06-15 07:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +534 $369 78¢ $414 +$44 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +467 $263 60¢ $278 +$15 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +441 $216 60¢ $267 +$51 05-31 06:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +860 $491 24¢ $211 $-281 06-16 07:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +471 $206 40¢ $191 $-15 05-31 06:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +434 $222 40¢ $171 $-50 05-31 06:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +533 $164 22¢ $120 $-44 05-31 06:45
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $115 98¢ $114 $-1 06-22 10:46
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +35 $32 97¢ $34 +$2 05-31 04:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +35 $30 92¢ $32 +$2 05-31 05:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $25 72¢ $27 +$2 06-11 06:26
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +35 $18 56¢ $20 +$2 05-30 22:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $20 55¢ $20 +$0 06-04 13:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +15 $10 92¢ $14 +$3 05-30 05:06
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +14 $12 98¢ $13 +$2 05-31 04:20
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +15 $14 89¢ $13 $-1 06-06 05:23
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +30 $14 44¢ $13 $-1 05-30 21:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $13 45¢ $13 $-1 06-04 14:14
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 05-29 11:48
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 05-28 06:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $5 82¢ $9 +$4 05-30 10:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $9 28¢ $8 $-1 06-10 14:15
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 05-29 10:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$1 05-30 05:02
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 05-30 02:00
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-28 06:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-30 01:02