Realized P&L
+$773
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
42
Trades
123,244
lifetime
Volume
$375.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$3.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
81% 59% +$802
Sports
15%
Politics
3% 0% $-29
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 19098 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +534 $369 74¢ $392 +$23 05-31 05:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +560 $304 50¢ $277 $-27 05-31 11:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +543 $246 50¢ $274 +$28 05-31 06:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +441 $216 58¢ $258 +$42 05-31 06:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +467 $263 54¢ $250 $-13 05-31 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +471 $206 46¢ $219 +$13 05-31 06:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +348 $134 56¢ $193 +$59 05-31 05:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +434 $222 42¢ $180 $-42 05-31 06:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +533 $164 26¢ $141 $-23 05-31 06:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +313 $192 44¢ $139 $-52 05-31 11:19
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +100 $93 98¢ $98 +$5 05-30 20:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +135 $94 66¢ $89 $-5 05-30 11:34
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +71 $52 92¢ $65 +$13 05-30 03:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +60 $47 100¢ $60 +$13 05-31 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +108 $35 52¢ $57 +$22 05-31 06:46
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +65 $49 86¢ $56 +$7 05-30 21:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +60 $43 90¢ $54 +$11 05-30 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +96 $65 48¢ $46 $-20 05-31 04:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +124 $37 34¢ $42 +$5 05-30 15:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +50 $35 80¢ $40 +$5 05-31 02:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +56 $35 64¢ $36 +$1 05-29 13:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +35 $32 96¢ $34 +$1 05-31 04:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +51 $33 65¢ $33 +$0 05-30 10:43
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +35 $30 90¢ $31 +$2 05-31 05:19
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +43 $27 72¢ $31 +$4 05-30 11:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 05-31 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $25 68¢ $25 +$1 06-11 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $23 82¢ $25 +$2 05-30 15:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +25 $21 98¢ $24 +$4 05-28 06:18
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +25 $20 84¢ $21 +$1 05-30 05:44