Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
10,660
Trades
221,235
lifetime
Volume
$925.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Other
67% 42% -$3,950
Politics
22% 52% -$273
Sports
8% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 49% +$43
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +766 $654 99¢ $758 +$104 10-31 00:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $674 67¢ $668 -$6 11-01 17:31
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,050 $710 52¢ $551 -$159 10-30 09:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 92¢ $521 +$131 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 86¢ $508 +$177 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 92¢ $489 +$228 09-07 08:04
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +954 $458 46¢ $439 -$19 11-01 17:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +940 $454 43¢ $406 -$48 11-01 20:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $446 40¢ $402 -$43 10-27 18:52
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +500 $395 78¢ $388 -$7 11-02 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $343 33¢ $333 -$11 11-01 23:33
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,454 $364 22¢ $327 -$36 10-31 15:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +380 $296 74¢ $283 -$13 11-01 17:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,000 $349 26¢ $255 -$94 11-01 18:31
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +290 $228 72¢ $207 -$21 10-31 21:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 98¢ $-173 -$8 05-21 03:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 80¢ $160 +$10 10-22 01:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 76¢ $157 -$3 10-21 03:21
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 98¢ $149 +$2 09-14 08:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +188 $139 74¢ $138 -$1 11-01 16:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 74¢ $104 +$30 10-01 18:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 97¢ $-100 -$12 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 98¢ $-98 -$4 05-21 13:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 09-17 21:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 85¢ $85 -$4 09-14 10:30
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +290 $88 29¢ $83 -$5 11-01 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 14¢ $79 -$176 09-07 14:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +91 $56 82¢ $75 +$20 11-01 22:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-74 -$3 05-07 03:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +176 $60 34¢ $59 -$1 10-31 20:41