Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
46.0%
Resolved
10,663
Trades
221,282
lifetime
Volume
$930.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 07:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
67% 42% -$3,956
Politics
23% 52% -$520
Sports
8% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 49% +$43
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +766 $654 99¢ $758 +$104 10-31 00:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,940 $875 39¢ $752 -$123 11-02 06:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $674 65¢ $646 -$28 11-02 05:51
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,050 $710 52¢ $551 -$159 10-30 09:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 92¢ $521 +$131 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 88¢ $514 +$183 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 92¢ $489 +$228 09-07 08:04
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +954 $458 42¢ $405 -$52 11-01 17:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $446 40¢ $402 -$43 10-27 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $343 35¢ $354 +$11 11-01 23:33
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +500 $395 69¢ $347 -$48 11-02 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $375 68¢ $338 -$38 11-02 02:21
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,454 $364 22¢ $327 -$36 10-31 15:58
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +2,005 $341 14¢ $271 -$70 11-02 00:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $280 54¢ $268 -$12 11-02 01:30
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +290 $228 72¢ $207 -$21 10-31 21:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 98¢ $-173 -$8 05-21 03:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 80¢ $160 +$10 10-22 01:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +191 $137 82¢ $157 +$20 11-02 04:21
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 76¢ $157 -$3 10-21 03:21
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 98¢ $149 +$2 09-14 08:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +188 $139 70¢ $130 -$8 11-01 16:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 73¢ $102 +$29 10-01 18:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 98¢ $-100 -$12 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 98¢ $-98 -$4 05-21 13:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 09-17 21:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 84¢ $84 -$5 09-14 10:30
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +290 $88 29¢ $83 -$5 11-01 05:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-74 -$3 05-07 03:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 12¢ $73 -$182 09-07 14:14