Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$884
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved (30d)
148
Trades (30d)
2,213
221,100 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$182.8K
$914.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$7.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Other
68% 42% -$3,951
Politics
22% 52% -$273
Sports
8% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 49% +$43
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +766 $654 99¢ $758 +$104 10-31 00:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,440 $710 48¢ $684 -$26 11-01 12:04
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,050 $710 55¢ $572 -$138 10-30 09:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 92¢ $521 +$131 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 86¢ $508 +$177 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 92¢ $489 +$228 09-07 08:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $446 40¢ $404 -$41 10-27 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $332 68¢ $342 +$10 10-31 22:00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,454 $364 22¢ $327 -$36 10-31 15:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $344 32¢ $317 -$28 11-01 06:38
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +290 $228 74¢ $213 -$15 10-31 21:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 97¢ $-173 -$7 05-21 03:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 79¢ $158 +$8 10-22 01:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 76¢ $157 -$3 10-21 03:21
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 98¢ $149 +$3 09-14 08:10
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +786 $189 18¢ $145 -$43 10-31 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +325 $110 34¢ $112 +$2 10-31 17:32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 74¢ $103 +$29 10-01 18:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 97¢ $-100 -$11 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 98¢ $-98 -$4 05-21 13:34
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +576 $138 16¢ $95 -$43 10-30 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +500 $120 18¢ $93 -$28 10-31 07:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 09-17 21:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 81¢ $81 -$8 09-14 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 14¢ $79 -$176 09-07 14:14
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +290 $88 26¢ $77 -$11 11-01 05:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-74 -$3 05-07 03:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +91 $56 70¢ $64 +$8 10-31 22:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +176 $60 32¢ $57 -$3 10-31 20:41
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -50 -$46 98¢ $-49 -$2 05-20 09:43