Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$360
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
38.5%
Resolved (7d)
28
Trades (7d)
867
220,331 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$87.7K
$847.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$5.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Other
73% 42% -$3,839
Politics
16% 52% -$250
Sports
8% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 46% +$30
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +5,000 $1,200 19¢ $950 -$250 10-29 20:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 92¢ $519 +$128 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 84¢ $496 +$165 05-31 06:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 91¢ $486 +$226 09-07 08:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $446 42¢ $422 -$24 10-27 18:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +400 $340 100¢ $398 +$58 10-28 02:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +314 $241 87¢ $273 +$33 10-29 22:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 97¢ $-172 -$7 05-21 03:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 77¢ $158 -$2 10-21 03:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 79¢ $158 +$8 10-22 01:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +200 $160 78¢ $156 -$4 10-29 17:16
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 97¢ $149 +$2 09-14 08:10
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +146 $61 98¢ $142 +$81 10-05 03:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +235 $143 60¢ $140 -$4 10-29 20:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +800 $120 15¢ $116 -$4 10-29 21:18
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +200 $119 50¢ $101 -$18 10-29 12:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 97¢ $-100 -$11 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 97¢ $-97 -$4 05-21 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 16¢ $90 -$164 09-07 14:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 64¢ $89 +$15 10-01 18:53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 88¢ $88 +$0 09-17 21:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 84¢ $84 -$5 09-14 10:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-73 -$3 05-07 03:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +140 $68 36¢ $51 -$17 10-02 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-49 -$2 05-20 09:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +534 $273 9¢ $48 -$225 05-31 06:50
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +205 $73 23¢ $47 -$26 10-21 08:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +64 $43 72¢ $46 +$3 10-23 14:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +571 $177 8¢ $46 -$131 09-20 05:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $38 90¢ $45 +$7 10-06 07:48