Courteous-Dwell 0xe0682f…edc5ea
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$183
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved (90d)
382
Trades (90d)
5,438
220,003 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$254.5K
$901.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$6.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 235 days
Categories
Other
68% 42% -$3,873
Politics
21% 52% -$247
Sports
8% 33% -$887
Tech
2% 47% +$40
Crypto
1% 47% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +766 $654 98¢ $754 +$100 10-31 00:49
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,050 $710 55¢ $572 -$138 10-30 09:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +564 $390 91¢ $513 +$123 05-31 05:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +587 $331 86¢ $502 +$171 05-31 06:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +672 $524 74¢ $494 -$30 10-31 13:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +534 $260 92¢ $489 +$228 09-07 08:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $446 41¢ $407 -$38 10-27 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $332 65¢ $327 -$4 10-31 22:00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,454 $364 22¢ $327 -$36 10-31 15:58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +290 $228 74¢ $213 -$15 10-31 21:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -178 -$166 97¢ $-173 -$7 05-21 03:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +500 $174 35¢ $173 -$1 10-31 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +786 $189 20¢ $161 -$28 10-31 08:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +205 $160 76¢ $157 -$3 10-21 03:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $150 78¢ $156 +$6 10-22 01:09
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +152 $146 97¢ $149 +$2 09-14 08:10
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +146 $61 100¢ $146 +$84 10-05 03:52
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +434 $125 26¢ $115 -$10 10-31 21:08
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +576 $138 20¢ $112 -$26 10-30 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +325 $110 34¢ $112 +$2 10-31 17:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +500 $120 22¢ $108 -$13 10-31 07:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +140 $74 74¢ $103 +$29 10-01 18:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -103 -$88 97¢ $-100 -$11 05-21 15:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$94 97¢ $-97 -$4 05-21 13:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 09-17 21:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +582 $254 15¢ $84 -$170 09-07 14:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 82¢ $82 -$7 09-14 10:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 -$70 98¢ $-73 -$3 05-07 03:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +205 $92 32¢ $66 -$26 10-31 22:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +91 $56 68¢ $62 +$6 10-31 22:49