(anonymous) 0x78cf20…0b13f1 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
141
Trades
698
lifetime
Volume
$671
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$84
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 72% -$53
Other
9% 3% -$14
Politics
2% 0% -$3
Tech
2% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +1,000 $17 2¢ $23 +$6 11-10 10:11
Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset? Yes +20 $0 94¢ $19 +$19 11-09 16:56
Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +700 $10 2¢ $11 +$0 11-13 16:54
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%? Yes +33 $0 19¢ $6 +$7 11-13 13:41
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +105 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 11-09 01:23
Will LaNorris Sellers win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 11-09 22:12
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +42 $0 4¢ $2 +$1 11-11 17:49
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +62 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-08 18:14
Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset? No +20 $0 6¢ $1 +$2 11-10 08:12
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +33 $0 4¢ $1 +$2 11-12 01:32
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5? Yes +25 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 11-08 16:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes +125 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-09 14:12
Will Antanas Šakalis win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? Yes +33 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 11-14 14:28
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? Yes +62 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-08 22:52
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%? Yes +83 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-14 08:49
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +62 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-10 17:00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +200 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-09 07:15
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +36 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-08 19:17
Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Speaker of the Knesset? Yes +20 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 11-06 20:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-10 08:19
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-07 22:30
Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? Yes +25 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-10 08:03
Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +41 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-10 09:02
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 11-07 18:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +62 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-14 06:18
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:05
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026? No +7 $0 7¢ $1 +$1 11-13 05:49
Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? Yes +62 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-07 02:22
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%? Yes +83 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-09 13:32
Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? Yes +15 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-10 09:36