Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$410
Trades
32
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$110
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-22 17:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+61.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $10
vs crowd: 38% YES on $399)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $121 | $119 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $35 | $15 | +$20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $46 | $110 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $69 | — | +$69 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 2 | $22 | $110 | $87 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $121 | $121 |
| unranked | 2 | $69 | — | +$69 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +193 | $121 | $121 | 6 | 07-19 11:56 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | +150 | $82 | $93 | 3 | 07-19 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xac2e…5867 | Yes | +145 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 07-19 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5144…37c9 | Yes | +88 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 17:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-19 11:35 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-19 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +46 | $21 | $24 | 2 | 07-19 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-22 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-22 17:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 12:09 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 07-22 17:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 17:40:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x5144…37c9 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-22 17:40:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x259acd… |
| 07-19 14:08:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xa155bc… |
| 07-19 14:08:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa155bc… |
| 07-19 13:05:13 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaa3643… |
| 07-19 13:05:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaa3643… |
| 07-19 13:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaa3643… |
| 07-19 12:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x8f0d4f… |
| 07-19 12:42:10 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8f0d4f… |
| 07-19 11:56:48 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 75 | 70¢ | $52 | 0xda55dc… |
| 07-19 11:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 30¢ | $22 | 0xda55dc… |
| 07-19 11:35:36 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x22cc04… |
| 07-19 11:35:36 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x7afe77… |
| 07-19 11:35:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7afe77… |
| 07-19 11:35:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x22cc04… |
| 07-19 11:29:33 | (anonymous) 0xac2e…5867 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xc3b3d8… |
| 07-19 11:29:33 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xc3b3d8… |
| 07-19 11:29:33 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xc3b3d8… |
| 07-19 11:29:33 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 106 | 56¢ | $59 | 0xc3b3d8… |
| 07-19 11:14:51 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xed6eeb… |
| 07-19 11:14:51 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xed6eeb… |
| 07-19 10:34:42 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 48 | 55¢ | $26 | 0x35ebc1… |
| 07-19 10:34:42 | (anonymous) 0xac2e…5867 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x35ebc1… |
| 07-19 09:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xac2e…5867 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 46¢ | $22 | 0xd7f5a0… |
| 07-19 09:44:28 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 47 | 54¢ | $25 | 0xd7f5a0… |
| 05-31 12:09:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xd0929e… |
| 05-31 12:09:36 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xd0929e… |