Realized P&L
+$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$644
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,213
lifetime
Volume
$102.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$250
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-21 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
63% 60% +$1,397
Other
35% 50% $-47
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -142 $-155 70¢ $-100 +$55 06-18 11:55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +619 $50 $56 +$6 07-16 15:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +267 $343 18¢ $47 $-296 07-21 09:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -160 $-27 26¢ $-42 $-14 06-26 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +550 $371 $6 $-365 07-10 22:02
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +375 $30 $0 $-30 06-20 15:38