Diligent-Scenario 0xdf273e…6ae6e4
whale hot 16W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$895
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved
128
Trades
4,317
lifetime
Volume
$502.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$28.5K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
86% 78% +$2,306
Politics
13% 84% +$409
Crypto
0% 50% -$175
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +6,900 $6,219 90¢ $6.2K +$25 10-27 17:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +6,148 $5,809 96¢ $5.9K +$78 10-27 17:04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8,652 $6,636 67¢ $5.8K -$813 10-28 00:21
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +3,019 $2,679 93¢ $2.8K +$124 10-24 12:44
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +1,733 $1,507 95¢ $1.6K +$135 10-23 08:19
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? No +1,558 $1,148 97¢ $1.5K +$371 10-23 23:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,308 $717 96¢ $1.3K +$543 10-26 11:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,272 -$1,136 94¢ $-1202 -$66 10-26 11:17
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +800 $556 86¢ $684 +$128 10-26 11:15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -573 -$547 98¢ $-565 -$17 05-11 08:26
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -204 -$219 95¢ $-194 +$25 10-24 23:26
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -126 -$193 95¢ $-120 +$73 10-23 12:54
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $176 15¢ $116 -$60 09-11 02:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +142 $79 81¢ $115 +$35 09-28 17:48
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -100 -$186 96¢ $-96 +$90 10-17 14:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +1,185 $47 4¢ $50 +$3 08-27 02:56
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 Yes +1,920 $66 3¢ $49 -$17 07-04 12:35
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +49 $46 98¢ $48 +$2 09-28 04:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $14 33¢ $33 +$19 09-23 10:00
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +142 $51 19¢ $27 -$24 10-01 12:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +214 $17 4¢ $8 -$9 05-01 11:43
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +53 $5 5¢ $3 -$3 04-30 16:26
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +49 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-19 12:53
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 -$5 96¢ $1 +$6 10-23 06:09
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +0 $3 96¢ $0 -$3 09-11 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$248 98¢ $0 +$248 10-02 08:28