Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$380
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,894
lifetime
Volume
$215.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$8.60K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-22 11:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84%
Politics
15%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3,000 $-2,892 96¢ $-2884 +$8 07-13 19:27
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -1,451 $-1,481 93¢ $-1353 +$128 07-17 10:13
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +1,295 $1,143 92¢ $1.2K +$50 07-13 21:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -1,140 $-1,121 88¢ $-1009 +$111 07-02 09:04
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -653 $-631 93¢ $-607 +$23 07-20 11:12
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -556 $-535 99¢ $-549 $-14 07-03 05:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -312 $-320 95¢ $-297 +$24 07-14 01:56
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -263 $-246 92¢ $-243 +$3 06-15 16:49
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +224 $194 97¢ $217 +$23 07-18 14:26
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -219 $-215 93¢ $-204 +$12 07-18 06:26
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +42 $35 92¢ $39 +$4 07-22 11:00
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-12 17:57
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +200 $-5 $3 +$8 06-16 15:29
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +46 $1 $1 $-0 07-08 15:11