Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$267
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,567
lifetime
Volume
$159.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$6.23K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-01 18:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
80%
Politics
19%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,550 $-2,456 96¢ $-2454 +$2 07-01 18:35
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +696 $650 97¢ $675 +$25 06-24 22:09
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +680 $589 91¢ $619 +$29 07-01 18:51
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -576 $-554 98¢ $-563 $-10 07-01 12:36
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +551 $506 92¢ $506 +$0 06-23 12:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +475 $427 94¢ $448 +$20 06-28 03:27
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +430 $269 88¢ $376 +$107 07-01 14:14
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -263 $-246 93¢ $-245 +$1 06-15 16:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -234 $-304 94¢ $-219 +$85 07-01 14:43
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +87 $77 74¢ $64 $-12 06-24 12:34
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +65 $50 94¢ $61 +$11 06-26 02:34
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +200 $-5 $4 +$9 06-16 15:29