Diligent-Scenario 0xdf273e…6ae6e4 Create alert
whale 16W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$660
Unrealized P&L
+$1.13K
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
219
4,513 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$18.8K
$519.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$26.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-03 08:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
86% 78% +$1,587
Politics
13% 85% +$468
Crypto
0% 50% -$175
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +6,900 $6,204 93¢ $6.4K +$213 10-31 12:48
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8,352 $6,271 61¢ $5.1K -$1,189 11-03 10:16
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +3,019 $2,679 94¢ $2.8K +$154 10-24 12:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,667 $2,398 98¢ $2.6K +$214 11-01 04:43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,658 $1,044 97¢ $1.6K +$559 10-31 07:01
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +1,666 $1,442 96¢ $1.6K +$152 11-01 10:14
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? No +1,558 $1,148 98¢ $1.5K +$372 10-23 23:30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1,385 $1,054 95¢ $1.3K +$264 11-01 11:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,272 -$1,136 96¢ $-1227 -$91 10-26 11:17
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +800 $556 82¢ $660 +$104 10-26 11:15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -573 -$547 99¢ $-565 -$18 05-11 08:26
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -204 -$219 96¢ $-196 +$23 10-24 23:26
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +150 $47 94¢ $142 +$95 11-02 17:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $176 18¢ $140 -$36 09-11 02:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +142 $79 86¢ $122 +$42 09-28 17:48
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +49 $46 97¢ $48 +$2 09-28 04:28
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 Yes +1,920 $66 2¢ $47 -$19 07-04 12:35
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $14 39¢ $39 +$25 09-23 10:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +1,185 $47 2¢ $24 -$23 08-27 02:56
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +24 -$53 96¢ $23 +$76 11-03 02:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +142 $51 14¢ $20 -$30 10-01 12:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +214 $17 3¢ $7 -$10 05-01 11:43
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +53 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 04-30 16:26
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +49 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 10-19 12:53
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 -$5 97¢ $1 +$6 10-23 06:09
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +0 $3 97¢ $0 -$3 09-11 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$248 98¢ $0 +$248 10-02 08:28