Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$679
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$43
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 07-19 23:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
45% 100% +$0
Other
45% 100% +$1
Sports
4%
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 07-19 06:50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 07-09 22:12
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 07-09 22:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $-0 07-09 22:11
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +7 $5 62¢ $5 $-0 07-17 05:48
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +7 $5 62¢ $4 $-1 07-12 21:37
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge? No +7 $5 61¢ $4 $-1 06-03 18:17
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 51¢ $4 $-1 07-19 23:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +7 $5 42¢ $3 $-2 07-17 14:47
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No +8 $5 26¢ $2 $-3 06-04 05:13
Haiti elections delayed again? No +9 $5 $1 $-4 06-01 08:31