Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c1120…9499a1
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$745
Unrealized P&L
+$345
Hit rate
7.7%
Resolved
125
Trades
1,321
lifetime
Volume
$39.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$7.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
74% 6% -$608
Tech
14% 0% -$106
Sports
8% 17% -$29
Crypto
4% 50% $0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Politics
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +780 $711 86¢ $675 -$37 10-23 08:30
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +510 $411 87¢ $444 +$33 09-13 07:45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +620 $377 66¢ $406 +$30 10-24 12:13
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? Yes — +330 $296 100¢ $329 +$33 10-08 15:45
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +360 $295 86¢ $308 +$13 09-15 19:30
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +350 $285 86¢ $301 +$16 10-22 21:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $245 94¢ $299 +$54 10-18 16:45
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +330 $300 90¢ $298 -$2 09-28 11:00
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +325 $284 89¢ $290 +$6 10-07 02:30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $264 96¢ $287 +$23 08-31 16:50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +330 $261 86¢ $285 +$25 09-07 08:17
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +280 $254 95¢ $267 +$13 10-14 00:30
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +260 $208 84¢ $220 +$11 10-11 22:45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +620 $254 34¢ $214 -$40 10-24 12:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +240 $211 89¢ $214 +$2 09-11 23:30
No one announced as next James Bond? No +287 $208 74¢ $213 +$5 09-29 21:10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +394 $238 52¢ $207 -$31 10-23 16:35
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +300 $184 68¢ $205 +$22 10-20 17:19
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +220 $180 88¢ $195 +$14 09-30 22:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +394 $176 48¢ $187 +$11 10-23 16:35
will predictfun launch a token by october 31 2026 No +233 $197 78¢ $181 -$17 10-15 08:00
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +210 $195 82¢ $172 -$22 09-21 21:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +270 $87 62¢ $167 +$80 09-18 06:56
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +230 $173 65¢ $150 -$23 09-30 21:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +260 $137 55¢ $144 +$7 10-26 12:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +149 $107 90¢ $134 +$27 10-06 02:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +148 $88 88¢ $130 +$42 10-20 19:33
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +130 $104 100¢ $129 +$26 10-18 23:45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +240 $108 53¢ $127 +$19 10-11 13:44
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +229 $115 52¢ $120 +$5 10-13 17:29