Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$347

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

137

Trades

980

lifetime

Volume

$7.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-16

last 10-17 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

67% 8% -$237

Politics

21% 13% -$33

Sports

10% 17% -$47

Tech

2% 0% -$21

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	09-18 07:22
will sicko mode be on gta vi radio at launch	No	+0	$0	68¢	$0	+$0	09-30 07:03
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	+0	$0	81¢	$0	+$0	09-28 00:57
Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	+0	$0	76¢	$0	+$0	09-26 19:43
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-20 07:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?	8	$75	59	59	-0	No	+$0	09-27 06:38
Will DK Metcalf have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	09-27 08:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$53	126	126	+0	open	—	09-30 17:36
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	4	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-27 03:09
will andurils valuation hit high 102pt5b by october 31 2026	6	$50	39	39	+0	Yes	-$6	09-30 21:26
Will Lech Poznan finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	4	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 16:13
Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	4	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	09-27 06:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$42	113	113	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 17:21
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	5	$42	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 07:43
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 26, 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-28 03:36
Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	6	$40	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-28 19:59
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	7	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 14:06
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$38	34	34	+0	open	—	09-30 15:24
Will Anna Leigh Waters reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	3	$35	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 14:38
Will Rigotto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-17 16:27
will alessia russo finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 22:18
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 15:26
Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-28 10:35
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	3	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 14:17
will drake batherson record 80 points in the 2026 27 regular season	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 14:22
Will TSG Hoffenheim qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	09-20 03:20
Will Boston Red Sox advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-30 01:26
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,274.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$31	39	39	+0	open	—	10-01 01:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	09-20 02:37
Will Geno Ploeger be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 15%-20%?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	09-19 22:27
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	4	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	09-27 15:51
Will Christian Alshon reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	09-27 06:40
Will Arsenal finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 14:06
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	3	$30	19	19	+0	No	+$0	09-22 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:57:36	Will Nico Hischier record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x17db5d…
10-17 13:57:21	Will Washington have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$0	0xb77cdb…
10-17 13:56:45	Will Jack Hughes record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x3c17ac…
10-15 17:20:52	Will the St. Louis Blues record 80+ points?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x6cbcc9…
10-05 06:05:04	Will Mikko Rantanen record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb92f9f…
10-03 14:46:24	Will DeVonta Smith have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb37458…
10-03 13:49:05	Will LOUD Qualify for Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7618b1…
10-03 13:31:27	Will Karmine Corp make the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf13a2c…
10-03 09:56:08	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x10a218…
10-03 09:56:06	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xf8de09…
10-02 06:24:51	Will Clayton Keller record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x2dcdb0…
10-02 06:03:53	Will D'Andre Swift have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x5b9c8a…
10-02 05:51:15	Will Drake Maye have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x9d00f9…
10-01 23:28:09	Will Debreceni VSC be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xe7ccc7…
10-01 23:28:09	Will John Tavares record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x6d46bc…
10-01 21:28:05	Will Team Vitality make the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x46a915…
10-01 20:33:27	Will D'Andre Swift have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x95475e…
10-01 17:04:08	Will Baker Mayfield have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x5d7756…
10-01 16:56:35	Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x74f986…
10-01 15:12:11	Will Tucker Kraft have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x0a6e29…
10-01 14:03:45	Will Joe Burrow have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xc5e619…
10-01 13:19:24	Will Baker Mayfield have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xff2d3e…
10-01 11:06:45	Will FUT Esports make the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x710555…
10-01 10:26:29	Will the St. Louis Blues record 80+ points?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xf48d1d…
10-01 09:53:50	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x75482b…
10-01 09:37:51	Will Romeo Doubs have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x810a3d…
10-01 06:46:23	Will Davante Adams have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x454cbc…
10-01 05:37:44	Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x47c85f…
10-01 03:56:50	Will Jonathan Taylor have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x360014…
10-01 03:31:08	Will Jared Goff have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb0fabd…
10-01 03:14:42	Will V-Varen Nagasaki be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xa3a5ce…
10-01 03:14:30	Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	No	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x443c78…
10-01 02:49:24	Will Cobán Imperial be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xcdc4d8…
10-01 02:06:14	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x22d47e…
10-01 02:05:32	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x042138…
10-01 01:23:42	Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,274.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x24b5f9…
10-01 00:19:33	Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x953bac…
09-30 23:23:45	Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x3fe9a5…
09-30 23:23:27	Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x97bc70…
09-30 23:21:02	Will David Montgomery have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x93d95a…
09-30 23:17:54	Will Tyler Shough have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x707554…
09-30 23:11:57	Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x0228a2…
09-30 23:09:33	Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c0b6a…
09-30 23:09:27	Will Drake Maye have 3,549.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x5e51f2…
09-30 22:44:26	Will Debreceni VSC be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb55388…
09-30 21:55:21	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x11a785…
09-30 21:26:23	will andurils valuation hit high 102pt5b by october 31 2026	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x49a7c0…
09-30 21:15:59	Will Romeo Doubs have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1672a9…
09-30 21:09:44	will andurils valuation hit high 102pt5b by october 31 2026	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xe42a5f…
09-30 21:08:09	will andurils valuation hit high 102pt5b by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xab8052…
09-30 21:08:09	will andurils valuation hit high 102pt5b by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x700414…
09-30 21:04:21	Will Chiefs D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x264db5…
09-30 20:56:15	will tanner bibee win a 2026 al gold glove award	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x8087a5…
09-30 20:52:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x48088e…
09-30 20:52:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x92edbd…
09-30 20:51:41	Will Bryce Young finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x55097e…
09-30 20:42:26	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x790c6b…
09-30 20:32:32	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x16cab0…
09-30 20:13:21	Will Bryce Young finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x798156…
09-30 19:29:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt425t by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xc7a85e…
09-30 19:29:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt425t by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xb29fdb…
09-30 19:27:33	will tanner bibee win a 2026 al gold glove award	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x140f00…
09-30 19:26:33	Will Parris Todd reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x67a086…
09-30 19:23:21	Will Parris Todd reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x4de755…
09-30 19:18:35	Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xb0906b…
09-30 19:18:35	Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x8584cf…
09-30 18:37:53	Will Riley Newman qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x07cb85…
09-30 18:35:27	Will Davante Adams have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1694db…
09-30 18:09:45	Will DeVonta Smith have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7a64ed…
09-30 18:08:42	Will DeVonta Smith have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x90d18f…
09-30 17:49:47	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0xea3a0f…
09-30 17:48:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x22a1dd…
09-30 17:41:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x60fb67…
09-30 17:36:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x33ead8…
09-30 17:34:59	Will Lamar Jackson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x231feb…
09-30 17:29:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	3¢	$2	0x2a08d2…
09-30 17:27:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x5dff7e…
09-30 17:21:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x7f931c…
09-30 17:13:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x29a4b9…
09-30 17:10:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	21¢	$11	0x3f4265…
09-30 17:06:11	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xba52e7…
09-30 16:55:44	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	794	0¢	$3	0x90e59b…
09-30 16:55:02	Will Saquon Barkley have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8c2051…
09-30 16:54:39	Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xcbaad3…
09-30 16:54:39	Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xc17deb…
09-30 16:52:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0x4c2cff…
09-30 16:52:02	Will Davante Adams finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x317468…
09-30 16:51:27	Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,274.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x7a1886…
09-30 16:49:53	Will Rashee Rice have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xb94d4c…
09-30 16:48:57	Will Rashee Rice have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x72956a…
09-30 16:48:24	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x06d5ea…
09-30 16:48:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0x058f94…
09-30 16:44:06	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x9cd804…
09-30 16:44:05	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x866ec4…
09-30 16:43:27	Will Aidan Hutchinson have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xdf030d…
09-30 16:40:20	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$4	0x7cd16e…
09-30 16:39:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	748	0¢	$3	0x49caca…
09-30 16:37:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	55	21¢	$12	0xac44ed…
09-30 16:35:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0xe5e259…
09-30 16:31:06	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	11¢	$8	0xfe755a…