Realized P&L
+$4.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.67K
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
657
Trades
7,007
lifetime
Volume
$5.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$727
Open exposure
$246.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-27 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
43% 46% -$42,036
Sports
34% 51% +$31,932
Crypto
14% 46% +$5,500
Tech
5% 76% +$14,023
Politics
3% 38% -$5,259
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$293
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +31,340 $23,531 76¢ $23.7K +$131 09-28 22:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -21,740 -$13,696 93¢ $-20218 -$6,522 07-23 14:03
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +20,761 $19,447 87¢ $18.1K -$1,313 10-19 22:29
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -16,740 -$15,566 96¢ $-16028 -$462 06-26 06:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +28,288 $12,630 43¢ $12.2K -$453 10-27 09:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,679 $10,281 96¢ $11.2K +$925 10-27 00:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11,374 -$10,724 98¢ $-11141 -$417 06-16 14:14
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +11,026 $7,269 100¢ $11.0K +$3,718 06-12 21:39
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $9,200 92¢ $9.2K -$50 10-05 21:56
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +12,307 $10,834 73¢ $9.0K -$1,807 09-24 08:13
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +8,285 $6,958 97¢ $8.1K +$1,099 06-16 06:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +11,567 $8,025 68¢ $7.9K -$102 10-14 10:47
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,585 $7,269 97¢ $7.4K +$108 10-01 20:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,417 $7,033 96¢ $7.1K +$99 10-14 19:59
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7,310 -$5,917 94¢ $-6834 -$918 07-05 09:08
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -6,263 -$5,926 95¢ $-5969 -$43 07-25 08:43
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +6,226 $5,427 96¢ $6.0K +$524 10-23 14:41
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -5,786 -$5,143 98¢ $-5679 -$536 05-12 11:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +5,501 $4,909 94¢ $5.1K +$234 08-23 10:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,131 $4,676 98¢ $5.0K +$372 09-24 11:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -4,750 -$4,194 92¢ $-4394 -$200 06-17 13:16
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4,347 $4,261 98¢ $4.3K +$21 05-05 15:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +4,825 $4,172 88¢ $4.3K +$98 10-05 10:25
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +6,401 $4,948 66¢ $4.2K -$755 09-20 18:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,311 $3,483 96¢ $4.1K +$634 09-29 16:12
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +5,015 $4,514 78¢ $3.9K -$602 09-20 21:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +19,559 $4,588 20¢ $3.8K -$774 10-27 19:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +11,931 $4,123 32¢ $3.8K -$364 10-20 11:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,464 $3,175 56¢ $3.7K +$478 10-22 13:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,650 $3,421 99¢ $3.6K +$206 09-15 16:49