Realized P&L
+$12.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.21K
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,713
lifetime
Volume
$2.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$977
Open exposure
$183.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-09 17:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
44% 100% +$41
Sports
28% 86% +$12,884
Crypto
21% 0% $-18
Tech
6%
Politics
1% 0% $-713
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +53,581 $50,236 91¢ $48.6K $-1,639 06-08 07:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +40,485 $38,785 95¢ $38.3K $-466 06-09 17:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +44,200 $39,057 80¢ $35.1K $-3,918 06-08 13:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +11,541 $11,345 97¢ $11.2K $-116 06-03 09:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -9,129 $-8,612 94¢ $-8627 $-15 06-04 11:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -9,690 $-6,955 76¢ $-7316 $-362 06-09 10:01
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No -6,776 $-6,724 100¢ $-6760 $-35 06-07 05:21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? No -5,651 $-5,606 100¢ $-5631 $-25 06-07 12:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +7,171 $5,585 60¢ $4.3K $-1,246 06-05 13:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? No -2,441 $-2,436 100¢ $-2437 $-1 06-02 07:21
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2,979 $-1,687 57¢ $-1699 $-12 06-09 10:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +1,946 $1,654 86¢ $1.7K +$10 06-08 16:40
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1,320 $1,247 93¢ $1.2K $-22 05-29 07:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +1,318 $1,113 81¢ $1.1K $-49 06-07 16:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -1,005 $-994 99¢ $-999 $-4 06-03 22:34
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -1,072 $-999 92¢ $-991 +$7 06-05 09:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No -780 $-776 100¢ $-779 $-3 06-07 12:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -959 $-681 81¢ $-777 $-96 05-28 10:26
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -739 $-692 93¢ $-691 +$2 06-08 22:01
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No -746 $-633 92¢ $-690 $-57 06-02 07:59
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +777 $667 84¢ $653 $-14 06-09 10:46
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +1,000 $500 52¢ $515 +$15 06-02 16:09
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +700 $511 73¢ $511 +$0 06-09 13:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No -491 $-434 96¢ $-469 $-35 06-02 16:29
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -424 $-399 94¢ $-396 +$2 05-29 06:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +391 $336 99¢ $388 +$52 06-06 03:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +442 $226 80¢ $351 +$126 06-01 12:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +1,009 $636 34¢ $348 $-288 05-28 13:06
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +613 $306 48¢ $294 $-12 05-29 11:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -287 $-282 99¢ $-285 $-3 05-28 12:20