Realized P&L
+$12.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.89K
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
3,212
lifetime
Volume
$2.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$897
Open exposure
$105.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 07-19 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
43% 100% +$41
Sports
27% 86% +$12,884
Crypto
22% 0% $-18
Tech
7%
Politics
1% 0% $-713
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -22,838 $-13,628 80¢ $-18248 $-4,620 07-17 17:26
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -15,842 $-14,754 94¢ $-14915 $-161 06-26 06:47
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +11,765 $10,522 97¢ $11.4K +$837 06-27 13:48
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -9,803 $-9,249 96¢ $-9376 $-128 06-16 14:14
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +8,285 $6,958 85¢ $7.0K +$84 06-16 06:21
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7,310 $-5,917 86¢ $-6286 $-370 07-05 09:08
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -6,296 $-5,858 92¢ $-5824 +$34 07-11 12:40
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4,481 $3,936 89¢ $4.0K +$50 07-09 07:22
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +3,305 $3,135 94¢ $3.1K $-12 07-08 08:45
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +3,238 $1,987 88¢ $2.8K +$847 06-24 10:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,658 $-2,497 92¢ $-2459 +$39 07-03 21:49
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -1,828 $-1,449 96¢ $-1759 $-310 06-15 21:31
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +2,179 $1,503 78¢ $1.7K +$196 06-16 22:56
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,687 $1,655 98¢ $1.7K $-1 06-27 10:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -70,971 $-1,292 $-1384 $-92 07-02 06:56
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -2,026 $-1,532 66¢ $-1337 +$195 06-25 07:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +2,355 $1,252 55¢ $1.3K +$32 07-11 12:59
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1,320 $1,247 92¢ $1.2K $-31 05-29 07:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,135 $1,768 36¢ $1.1K $-624 06-18 07:11
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1,211 $981 86¢ $1.0K +$55 07-10 10:35
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,200 $935 86¢ $1.0K +$91 06-15 18:51
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +4,301 $670 22¢ $929 +$259 07-08 07:59
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +3,515 $565 26¢ $896 +$331 06-26 17:14
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +990 $840 78¢ $775 $-65 06-14 23:54
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +874 $628 88¢ $765 +$137 07-10 10:31
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +1,101 $544 68¢ $743 +$199 07-09 09:01
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -837 $-661 78¢ $-657 +$4 06-21 21:22
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,946 $-489 23¢ $-448 +$41 07-10 21:59
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +500 $409 88¢ $442 +$33 06-28 18:19
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? No +463 $347 87¢ $403 +$56 06-10 18:02