Realized P&L (7d)
-$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.77K
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved (7d)
81
Trades (7d)
51
7,147 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$18.7K
$5.14M lifetime
Avg / trade
$719
Open exposure
$236.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 11-10 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
43% 53% -$50,616
Sports
34% 51% +$34,618
Crypto
14% 47% +$5,554
Tech
5% 76% +$14,023
Politics
3% 33% -$16,463
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$293
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -21,740 -$13,696 95¢ $-20696 -$7,000 07-23 14:03
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +31,340 $23,531 62¢ $19.3K -$4,257 09-28 22:24
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -16,740 -$15,566 98¢ $-16472 -$906 06-26 06:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +28,288 $12,630 47¢ $13.2K +$566 10-27 09:17
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +12,457 $8,940 96¢ $11.9K +$2,968 11-05 15:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,679 $10,281 98¢ $11.5K +$1,194 10-27 00:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11,374 -$10,724 99¢ $-11243 -$519 06-16 14:14
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +12,307 $10,834 78¢ $9.6K -$1,247 09-24 08:13
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +8,285 $6,958 98¢ $8.1K +$1,132 06-16 06:21
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,585 $7,269 99¢ $7.5K +$237 10-01 20:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,417 $7,033 98¢ $7.3K +$262 10-14 19:59
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7,310 -$5,917 97¢ $-7076 -$1,159 07-05 09:08
Will Louisville win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +7,205 $6,648 96¢ $6.9K +$280 11-08 22:40
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -6,263 -$5,926 98¢ $-6106 -$180 07-25 08:43
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +6,226 $5,427 97¢ $6.0K +$599 10-23 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +11,931 $4,123 50¢ $6.0K +$1,903 10-20 11:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +11,567 $8,025 50¢ $5.7K -$2,299 10-14 10:47
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -5,786 -$5,143 99¢ $-5714 -$571 05-12 11:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +5,501 $4,909 99¢ $5.5K +$551 08-23 10:52
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +5,712 $5,149 91¢ $5.2K +$48 11-03 14:01
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +5,160 $4,866 100¢ $5.2K +$284 07-29 22:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,131 $4,676 99¢ $5.1K +$413 09-24 11:02
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +5,265 $4,755 96¢ $5.0K +$287 11-05 10:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6,465 $2,477 78¢ $5.0K +$2,533 09-30 20:16
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +6,401 $4,948 77¢ $4.9K -$19 09-20 18:03
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +4,825 $4,172 94¢ $4.6K +$387 10-05 10:25
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4,347 $4,261 99¢ $4.3K +$30 05-05 15:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,311 $3,483 99¢ $4.3K +$768 09-29 16:12
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +4,428 $3,993 85¢ $3.8K -$209 10-22 16:30
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +3,918 $3,487 93¢ $3.6K +$157 09-21 14:42