(anonymous) 0xad99bf…54dbab
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$659
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,143
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$3.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 07-09 08:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
13% — —
Sports
8% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
6% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +795 $294 96¢ $759 +$465 06-15 03:21
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -700 $-382 52¢ $-368 +$14 07-07 08:49
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -500 $-163 41¢ $-204 $-41 07-07 17:48
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -441 $-169 38¢ $-170 $-1 07-07 10:58
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -440 $-140 36¢ $-160 $-21 07-07 11:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +143 $76 69¢ $99 +$23 06-28 18:01
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +166 $85 60¢ $99 +$14 06-20 09:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +146 $86 66¢ $97 +$10 06-28 17:53
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +99 $62 90¢ $89 +$27 06-21 19:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +136 $74 64¢ $88 +$14 06-20 09:02
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +181 $67 44¢ $80 +$13 07-02 05:01
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes +129 $35 58¢ $75 +$40 06-20 17:53
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +121 $54 60¢ $73 +$19 06-22 00:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +134 $71 54¢ $72 +$0 06-20 10:30
Blue wave in 2026? No +269 $75 24¢ $66 $-9 06-20 11:31
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +141 $63 46¢ $66 +$2 07-02 05:01
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +93 $62 70¢ $65 +$2 06-21 19:52
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +86 $54 74¢ $63 +$9 07-02 06:55
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +206 $37 30¢ $62 +$25 06-20 23:48
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +329 $69 18¢ $61 $-8 06-20 11:48
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +79 $50 76¢ $60 +$11 06-21 18:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +73 $47 76¢ $55 +$8 06-20 11:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +90 $48 60¢ $54 +$6 06-20 11:49
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +104 $41 50¢ $52 +$11 06-21 20:13
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +64 $43 78¢ $51 +$8 06-20 10:19
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +68 $49 73¢ $50 +$1 06-20 12:39
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +59 $45 81¢ $47 +$2 07-02 15:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +60 $42 78¢ $47 +$5 06-21 17:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +51 $42 88¢ $45 +$3 06-20 11:40
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +320 $38 14¢ $45 +$6 06-20 08:52