Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$305
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$910
4 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 06-15 13:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Tech
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +795 $294 56¢ $449 +$155 06-15 03:21
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +528 $269 80¢ $420 +$150 06-15 13:48
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +43 $34 80¢ $34 +$1 06-15 03:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +60 $8 12¢ $7 $-1 06-15 03:33