Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$11,287
$3,151 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$16,337
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 22:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $8.6K | — | +$8.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $1.6K | $34 | +$1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2.9K | $1 | +$2.8K |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 20 | $7.3K | $32 | +$7.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | Yes | +5,781 | $5,720 | $5,720 | 1 | 05-07 21:54 |
| Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | Yes | +2,860 | $2,851 | $2,851 | 1 | 05-07 21:59 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | Yes | +1,279 | $1,253 | $1,253 | 1 | 05-07 21:46 |
| Fancy-Kill 0x6bc7…4ad4 | Yes | +213 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-07 14:56 |
| Villainous-Crook 0xaa99…dbbf | Yes | +147 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-07 21:36 |
| Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | +130 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-07 19:55 |
| Royal-Instruction 0x16ee…da09 | Yes | +88 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 04:53 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +69 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 15:32 |
| Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | Yes | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +28 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-06 15:37 |
| Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 13 | 05-06 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc798…8aab | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 01:44 |
| Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 16:17 |
| Taut-Capon 0x5255…6e58 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 11:45 |
| Stylish-Chemical 0x69a2…3bee | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:41 |
| Excellent-Guideline 0xf3b5…e3b4 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 04:04 |
| Limp-Initialize 0xd84d…688a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 22:09:16 | Mild-Muscle 0x4d76…90a0 | No | SELL | 162 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b49d1… |
| 05-07 22:09:15 | Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | SELL | 809 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x847835… |
| 05-07 22:09:15 | Odd-Snake 0x8fac…532d | No | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd95725… |
| 05-07 22:05:04 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 437 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2aeebd… |
| 05-07 21:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x895f8a… |
| 05-07 21:59:28 | Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | Yes | BUY | 2,860 | 100¢ | $2,851 | 0x8e4b09… |
| 05-07 21:55:02 | Wicked-Curry 0xc7d1…be5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe405dd… |
| 05-07 21:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x46993f… |
| 05-07 21:54:59 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | Yes | BUY | 5,781 | 99¢ | $5,720 | 0xc6dc04… |
| 05-07 21:54:13 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 97¢ | $972 | 0x68994b… |
| 05-07 21:46:33 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | Yes | BUY | 1,279 | 98¢ | $1,253 | 0x74ca0e… |
| 05-07 21:41:25 | (anonymous) 0xd572…2a48 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0d68c1… |
| 05-07 21:41:25 | Stylish-Chemical 0x69a2…3bee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x627705… |
| 05-07 21:41:20 | (anonymous) 0xd572…2a48 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x945bc2… |
| 05-07 21:41:09 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x322081… |
| 05-07 21:36:19 | Villainous-Crook 0xaa99…dbbf | Yes | BUY | 147 | 87¢ | $128 | 0x794389… |
| 05-07 21:18:10 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xdb909d… |
| 05-07 19:55:38 | Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 40¢ | $52 | 0xea465f… |
| 05-07 14:56:26 | Fancy-Kill 0x6bc7…4ad4 | Yes | BUY | 213 | 40¢ | $85 | 0x73cc89… |
| 05-07 11:45:01 | Taut-Capon 0x5255…6e58 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe6b85f… |
| 05-07 11:30:38 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | No | SELL | 85 | 66¢ | $56 | 0x358ca2… |
| 05-07 04:53:41 | Royal-Instruction 0x16ee…da09 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 34¢ | $30 | 0x14dc6d… |
| 05-06 17:06:34 | Limp-Initialize 0xd84d…688a | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xf756a4… |
| 05-06 17:04:19 | Distinct-Placode 0xfff9…131c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xc84ac2… |
| 05-06 17:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xedd33e… |
| 05-06 16:17:30 | Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x3494ab… |
| 05-06 16:16:24 | Diligent-Loss 0x0327…5e15 | No | SELL | 29 | 69¢ | $20 | 0x76280d… |
| 05-06 15:37:52 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 29¢ | $8 | 0xbb0997… |
| 05-06 15:32:39 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 29¢ | $20 | 0xa831d8… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7bf013… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x82e438… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x58c1a7… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x58d363… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xc261c2… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x76b988… |
| 05-06 15:06:19 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x1321e1… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x69899f… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xb3b24a… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xdae60b… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xa9486e… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x0758b4… |
| 05-06 15:06:17 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xb49a39… |
| 05-06 04:04:36 | Excellent-Guideline 0xf3b5…e3b4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x8f20a4… |
| 05-06 01:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xc798…8aab | No | BUY | 21 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x4939fd… |