Negative-Pimple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

204

Trades

732

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-27 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

43% 36% -$57

Politics

36% 37% +$63

Crypto

18% 21% +$18

Tech

2% 25% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No		+5	$3	56¢	$3	$0	10-26 18:04
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No		+1	$1	91¢	$1	+$0	06-02 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$199	513	513	+0	Yes	+$179	04-22 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$173	9,581	8,899	+682	No	-$47	04-23 04:19
will iran strike israel on march 10	10	$110	108	108	+0	Yes	+$49	03-14 14:32
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$67	100	100	+0	No	+$47	04-22 11:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$65	60	60	+0	No	-$3	03-16 17:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$57	368	368	+0	open	—	05-11 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$52	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	03-18 04:21
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$47	41	41	+0	No	+$2	03-17 05:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	16	$45	199	199	+0	No	+$3	03-17 05:57
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$44	83	83	+0	No	+$24	04-22 17:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$39	27	27	+0	No	+$3	03-21 17:01
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$35	472	472	+0	No	-$5	04-23 05:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$34	21	20	+0	No	+$1	03-16 23:46
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$32	59	59	+0	Nothing	+$2	05-25 21:27
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	4	$32	1,063	1,063	+0	No	-$8	05-11 10:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	6	$30	35	35	+0	No	+$0	03-20 09:59
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$28	422	422	+0	No	-$12	05-08 22:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$27	48	48	+0	No	-$1	03-22 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$26	387	387	+0	No	-$8	03-14 07:38
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$25	34	34	+0	No	+$1	03-17 05:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	27	$24	242	242	+0	Yes	-$1	03-25 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$24	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-25 18:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$24	32	32	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 02:55
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$23	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 14:53
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	4	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	03-17 00:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$23	16	16	+0	No	+$1	03-16 16:11
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	7	$22	25	25	+0	No	-$2	03-29 00:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$21	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 06:04
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	54	52	+2	Yes	+$2	04-23 03:51
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$20	70	68	+2	No	+$0	04-23 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:36:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x166262…
10-26 20:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xffd4b5…
10-26 20:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9cfb63…
10-26 20:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1fc447…
10-26 20:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x679ce0…
10-26 20:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x834156…
10-26 19:54:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x20fda0…
10-26 18:04:29	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f6dd5…
09-18 20:43:37	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xd405f7…
09-12 11:15:16	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x472360…
09-03 20:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5693de…
07-18 18:35:18	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd56793…
07-18 18:33:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xedd1e4…
06-25 22:36:20	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	227	4¢	$8	0x06ac00…
06-25 20:17:34	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x84ee9a…
06-25 11:17:56	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$2	0x791261…
06-25 08:34:38	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xabca01…
06-25 08:32:13	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x33e003…
06-24 20:17:10	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6a048c…
06-24 18:59:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x82b472…
06-24 17:17:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x84ba55…
06-24 16:43:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x487ea0…
06-24 16:21:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc0b0cb…
06-24 16:13:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x7be9ff…
06-24 16:13:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xc4c481…
06-24 13:03:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x012acc…
06-24 08:44:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa9d98f…
06-24 06:29:58	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x2b4c1c…
06-24 02:00:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4f1a2f…
06-24 01:26:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe400d2…
06-23 23:48:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x0fe6e5…
06-23 23:27:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x58017c…
06-23 23:25:59	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xcf3495…
06-23 20:26:13	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xac17f4…
06-23 20:21:35	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3a5126…
06-23 20:13:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9005f0…
06-14 22:57:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9c862c…
06-08 01:47:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe8d00a…
06-03 21:05:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x80d63b…
06-03 19:22:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdff684…
06-03 19:16:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x772127…
06-03 19:12:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2d9cad…
06-03 18:43:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0f7bad…
06-03 16:20:51	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x95e918…
06-03 16:20:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe147af…
06-03 14:23:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x165c1b…
06-03 14:21:31	Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf3895…
06-03 14:14:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcc6480…
06-02 22:46:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x886c05…
06-02 22:46:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd2201a…
06-02 22:46:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3581c0…
06-02 22:46:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x5ffbed…
06-02 22:46:08	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xffef41…
06-02 22:14:54	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x157c0d…
06-02 22:14:17	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3d72b4…
06-02 20:33:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x3ec9cc…
06-02 20:32:47	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3e77bb…
06-02 20:32:28	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa82696…
06-02 15:51:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xfce6c4…
06-02 13:47:31	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x870e99…
06-02 11:21:09	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf8326b…
06-02 11:20:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2348d0…
06-02 11:18:14	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x246cea…
06-02 07:26:50	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e7f89…
06-02 06:33:40	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f9d2e…
06-02 00:27:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc88a00…
06-02 00:00:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3c4f8f…
06-01 23:55:55	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5544de…
06-01 22:06:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf60298…
06-01 21:36:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdebce2…
06-01 20:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x08ffb2…
06-01 14:40:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x03eb99…
05-27 16:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$5	0xa36e83…
05-27 16:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$7	0xa05d17…
05-26 15:07:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x1f7ecc…
05-26 15:06:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x126c79…
05-26 15:05:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	192	3¢	$6	0x45d76d…
05-25 21:28:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xfeda52…
05-25 21:27:04	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0xe06df8…
05-25 21:27:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x79122f…
05-24 21:45:52	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0xc906ad…
05-24 21:45:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x8d77bb…
05-24 21:16:19	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe03f83…
05-24 21:16:17	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	732	1¢	$10	0x8ae27b…
05-23 18:37:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x342340…
05-18 16:04:10	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9e7d34…
05-18 04:39:04	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb97166…
05-18 04:32:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb7e725…
05-18 04:24:18	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xf93620…
05-18 04:23:57	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc2b2fa…
05-18 04:23:47	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x27e416…
05-16 21:27:04	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xfc108d…
05-15 21:41:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x262ad9…
05-14 23:13:34	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc5947e…
05-13 22:50:15	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb27d78…
05-13 22:32:35	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfb8008…
05-13 22:01:38	Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2e482f…
05-13 22:01:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	769	1¢	$8	0x6e66fc…
05-13 20:27:53	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa7f7f3…
05-13 19:53:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7bcd87…