Clumsy-Regulator-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

108

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$7.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-06 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$266

Other

0% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$716	496	496	+0	Up	+$266	05-05 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$369	473	237	+236	Down	+$104	05-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$307	352	352	+0	Down	$-93	05-05 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$302	204	204	+0	Up	+$102	05-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$296	419	175	+244	Down	$-104	05-05 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$254	243	243	+0	Down	$-46	05-05 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$252	274	216	+58	Down	+$2	05-05 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$241	225	157	+68	Down	$-9	05-05 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$219	604	604	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$203	137	137	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$200	389	0	+389	Down	$-200	05-05 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$163	156	156	+0	Up	$-37	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$137	188	134	+54	Up	+$41	05-05 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$125	185	0	+185	Up	+$60	05-05 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$104	199	66	+133	Down	$-46	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	+$100	05-05 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$100	198	0	+198	Up	$-100	05-05 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$100	208	0	+208	Down	$-100	05-05 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Up	+$79	05-05 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	$-100	05-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	Down	+$82	05-05 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Up	$-100	05-05 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Up	$-100	05-05 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$100	124	0	+124	Up	+$24	05-05 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$97	167	0	+167	Up	+$70	05-05 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$93	69	69	+0	Down	+$43	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$90	238	33	+205	Up	$-40	05-05 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$85	56	56	+0	Up	+$25	05-06 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$84	257	93	+164	Up	$-26	05-05 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$80	503	0	+503	Down	$-80	05-05 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:21:37	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x13bce5…
05-06 16:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x647100…
05-06 16:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x9c1d64…
05-06 16:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xfc343f…
05-06 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xad1f40…
05-06 16:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x8e8ef6…
05-06 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x01cfb1…
05-06 15:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3c4ed9…
05-06 15:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0xc197ce…
05-06 15:27:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc3ac3c…
05-06 15:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x300b90…
05-06 15:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xae9db5…
05-06 15:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x6c9493…
05-06 15:06:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x49679b…
05-06 15:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x256ad8…
05-06 15:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	59	66¢	$39	0xe3bec7…
05-06 15:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0xed5aac…
05-06 12:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5f0d0a…
05-06 12:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x67fdc5…
05-06 12:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x67b5ae…
05-06 12:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x359455…
05-06 12:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x46e0e2…
05-06 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x068354…
05-06 12:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66ee10…
05-06 12:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x9111db…
05-06 11:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0xbd44a7…
05-06 11:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6f0bd5…
05-06 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3975c7…
05-06 11:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xa5e972…
05-06 11:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x358a6f…
05-06 11:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x35aa74…
05-06 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x1e6d28…
05-06 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x330f38…
05-06 11:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa85cf5…
05-06 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb1f81d…
05-06 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5a9830…
05-06 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x56adf1…
05-06 11:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbfeb06…
05-06 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc1e231…
05-06 11:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xe4797f…
05-06 10:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x26d45c…
05-06 10:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x291724…
05-06 10:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa3e08c…
05-06 10:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x933450…
05-06 10:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa85eb5…
05-06 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd5312a…
05-06 10:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2d7139…
05-06 10:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xe9733b…
05-06 10:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe0c2bd…
05-06 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3e781b…
05-06 09:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x89b926…
05-06 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6aa974…
05-06 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb95fce…
05-06 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xf24dd4…
05-06 09:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x846bdf…
05-06 09:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5338b8…
05-06 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe2fdba…
05-06 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x203030…
05-06 09:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x478a6a…
05-06 09:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc435b1…
05-06 09:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x4f6fe2…
05-06 09:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xca65f2…
05-06 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12b820…
05-06 09:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf88ab4…
05-06 09:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x034ba7…
05-06 09:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x943b19…
05-06 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xeb37f7…
05-06 09:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdcfd2c…
05-06 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x70e878…
05-06 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9c15e4…
05-06 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5dbb33…
05-06 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xf03bde…
05-06 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xefc2f0…
05-06 06:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2e5b97…
05-06 06:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	35	56¢	$20	0x780db3…
05-06 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbab844…
05-06 06:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd518bb…
05-06 06:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xb81bd9…
05-06 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x207556…
05-06 06:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xb9f120…
05-06 06:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd83825…
05-06 06:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x1e8c74…
05-06 06:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8dc3e5…
05-06 06:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf43187…
05-06 06:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4af57e…
05-06 06:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x785365…
05-06 06:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0xf6cf05…
05-06 06:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2fa704…
05-06 06:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	67¢	$21	0x59b819…
05-06 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc0a413…
05-06 06:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xa5fdde…
05-06 06:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x11bfdf…
05-06 06:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xefada3…
05-06 05:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe60167…
05-06 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x584071…
05-06 05:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x014f10…
05-06 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x741769…
05-06 05:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x751ab5…
05-06 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x0e0141…
05-06 05:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x624e64…