Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
9,537
lifetime
Volume
$40.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$162
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 05:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
53% 50% +$17
Other
42% 75% +$12
Sports
3% 47% $-18
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +901 $48 12¢ $108 +$61 07-19 15:50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -236 $-31 10¢ $-22 +$9 07-20 12:12
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +128 $12 16¢ $21 +$9 07-15 18:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -20 $-4 22¢ $-4 $-1 07-09 01:48
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $4 24¢ $3 $-1 06-19 17:15
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -35 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-07 01:09
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +13 $0 $1 +$0 07-21 23:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +5 $-0 $0 +$0 07-20 16:13