Realized P&L
-$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,235
lifetime
Volume
$2.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$484
Open exposure
$117.3K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
50% 50% $-2,200
Other
49% 100% +$218
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +49,700 $48,508 99¢ $49.1K +$571 06-09 21:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +35,000 $33,841 97¢ $34.0K +$161 06-09 20:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +13,000 $12,776 99¢ $12.9K +$126 05-31 11:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +7,000 $6,357 94¢ $6.5K +$188 06-09 20:40
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +5,148 $5,071 99¢ $5.1K +$20 06-06 20:06
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +2,000 $1,962 99¢ $2.0K +$22 06-08 17:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,000 $1,560 80¢ $1.6K +$50 06-04 20:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No -972 $-968 100¢ $-970 $-2 06-01 12:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No -1,000 $-890 96¢ $-955 $-65 06-03 09:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +900 $874 98¢ $878 +$4 06-04 16:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,000 $850 16¢ $825 $-25 06-08 15:24
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +621 $610 99¢ $615 +$6 05-30 12:02
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -500 $-499 100¢ $-498 +$1 06-06 16:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -500 $-486 95¢ $-477 +$9 06-06 16:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $435 88¢ $438 +$2 06-09 08:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -400 $-332 82¢ $-330 +$2 06-01 17:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -100 $-80 82¢ $-82 $-2 06-01 10:20
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +22 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 06-03 20:44