Realized P&L
+$56.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.23K
Hit rate
95.8%
Resolved
192
Trades
7,053
lifetime
Volume
$4.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$577
Open exposure
$186.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
53% 85% +$34,172
Politics
46% 80% +$22,370
Crypto
0% 100% +$25
Tech
0% 50% -$442
Sports
0% 83% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +64,988 $61,139 96¢ $62.4K +$1,250 10-27 08:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +55,000 $54,208 99¢ $54.7K +$489 10-19 16:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +30,000 $28,751 97¢ $29.1K +$304 10-23 22:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,770 99¢ $9.9K +$155 10-21 21:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +10,000 $9,295 90¢ $9.0K -$245 09-26 11:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -6,000 -$7,010 98¢ $-5883 +$1,127 09-27 03:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5,000 -$6,264 94¢ $-4675 +$1,589 08-14 02:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,500 -$3,316 82¢ $-3667 -$352 10-23 22:01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2,695 -$2,521 98¢ $-2640 -$119 06-28 12:42
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -2,000 -$1,216 59¢ $-1180 +$35 10-21 02:36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,000 -$950 98¢ $-985 -$35 06-06 16:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1,000 -$890 93¢ $-930 -$40 07-18 14:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -635 -$600 99¢ $-628 -$28 05-03 17:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -500 -$550 94¢ $-472 +$78 10-23 22:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -430 -$400 99¢ $-424 -$24 05-03 08:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +0 -$49 97¢ $0 +$49 07-29 20:28