Major-Click — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,261

lifetime

Volume

$3.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$564

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$218

Politics

45% 50% $-2,200

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	106	$132.8K	66,000	69,000	-3,000	open	—	05-15 16:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	124	$125.7K	72,647	61,906	+10,740	open	—	05-31 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	87	$118.9K	70,000	50,000	+20,000	open	—	07-30 21:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	56	$118.4K	60,000	60,000	+0	open	—	08-11 14:55
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	245	$118.0K	62,139	59,995	+2,144	open	—	03-28 19:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	125	$117.1K	85,914	34,449	+51,465	open	—	03-30 19:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	50	$112.7K	73,590	40,818	+32,773	open	—	07-31 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	95	$108.3K	54,700	55,000	-300	open	—	06-27 21:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	70	$101.1K	60,155	45,155	+15,000	open	—	08-12 19:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	224	$92.7K	71,095	24,000	+47,095	open	—	04-30 20:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	205	$76.1K	38,304	39,386	-1,082	open	—	03-20 12:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	81	$75.5K	52,112	32,000	+20,113	open	—	04-07 23:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	60	$72.7K	39,823	33,823	+6,000	open	—	01-31 15:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	105	$70.6K	55,493	16,318	+39,175	open	—	02-28 21:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	137	$66.5K	58,195	11,682	+46,514	open	—	03-31 21:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	112	$65.2K	51,624	17,000	+34,624	open	—	05-31 18:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	81	$64.7K	57,100	9,947	+47,153	open	—	06-29 21:27
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	122	$60.5K	32,505	28,454	+4,051	open	—	02-24 10:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	61	$60.1K	31,842	29,207	+2,635	open	—	04-25 11:35
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	36	$57.6K	32,641	25,995	+6,646	open	—	03-01 08:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	17	$52.6K	13,000	40,000	-27,000	open	—	06-17 17:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	45	$52.4K	48,773	6,000	+42,773	open	—	04-28 13:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	93	$49.4K	25,005	24,968	+37	open	—	05-20 08:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	68	$46.7K	22,584	25,008	-2,423	open	—	04-20 14:13
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	52	$46.2K	44,170	3,000	+41,170	open	—	01-31 21:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	43	$39.3K	37,380	3,000	+34,380	open	—	04-26 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	85	$38.2K	19,561	19,338	+223	open	—	05-25 16:02
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	101	$37.0K	23,283	14,149	+9,134	open	—	02-28 08:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	43	$35.2K	25,000	15,000	+10,000	open	—	07-09 21:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	38	$33.2K	12,000	22,000	-10,000	open	—	05-31 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 19:54:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	223	98¢	$220	0x7dd992…
08-12 19:53:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	4,776	98¢	$4,700	0x8a546b…
08-12 15:09:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4,980	97¢	$4,820	0xd7b0f7…
08-12 15:08:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x1f3e75…
08-11 14:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	30,000	100¢	$29,910	0xad92e1…
08-11 14:50:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9c7426…
08-11 14:50:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc7dda2…
08-11 14:50:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x38be3d…
08-11 14:44:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9c6664…
08-11 14:43:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x36b3d3…
08-11 14:43:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x20399b…
08-11 14:42:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4cf47c…
08-11 14:42:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc7f961…
08-11 14:41:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc44815…
08-11 14:20:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x3ba033…
08-11 14:20:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x8930b7…
08-11 14:08:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb3a6d3…
08-11 14:08:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b01f7…
08-11 13:42:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7fbd83…
08-11 13:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb878a1…
08-11 13:29:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6969a6…
08-11 13:25:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf26d81…
08-11 13:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x689f13…
08-11 12:49:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb60000…
08-11 12:36:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2a242c…
08-11 12:36:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x86a939…
08-11 12:36:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b036e…
08-11 12:35:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3d1591…
08-11 11:39:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb51c37…
08-11 11:37:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x81cba0…
08-11 11:35:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0x037621…
08-11 06:22:42	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0x6a1d5f…
08-11 01:32:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	5,000	98¢	$4,915	0x5462be…
08-10 22:29:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x356882…
08-10 22:28:07	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	147	96¢	$142	0x43ff84…
08-10 22:27:48	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x0f91b1…
08-10 22:27:00	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0xcca120…
08-10 22:14:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	170	98¢	$166	0x00ff16…
08-10 20:41:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	169	98¢	$165	0x1cf767…
08-10 07:30:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	968	99¢	$961	0x24e95b…
08-10 02:38:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x3d8bf4…
08-10 00:39:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	4,850	99¢	$4,811	0x405b2f…
08-09 19:38:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x270bc1…
08-09 19:02:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6a67a8…
08-09 18:18:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xaa037d…
08-09 18:08:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x0c50cc…
08-09 18:01:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x35ddd5…
08-09 17:01:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3f67f5…
08-09 16:00:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbf049f…
08-09 01:33:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0x717b14…
08-08 22:23:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69e2bf…
08-08 12:28:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2,928	99¢	$2,893	0xa7cc68…
08-08 10:57:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x81c35b…
08-08 10:56:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x424753…
08-08 09:35:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6931e…
08-08 08:46:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e1b44…
08-08 08:18:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x36616b…
08-08 08:16:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xc99bc9…
08-08 08:11:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0b593f…
08-08 08:10:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$997	0x434c1e…
08-08 06:24:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	980	98¢	$959	0x615785…
08-08 00:16:31	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10,000	93¢	$9,300	0xeb18d5…
08-07 22:07:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0xe2c064…
08-07 22:00:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,960	0xdbee7d…
08-07 21:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	4,911	99¢	$4,872	0xa98af8…
08-07 21:40:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xd33a8c…
08-07 21:32:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x58c388…
08-07 21:16:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x168fe0…
08-07 18:55:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x62bef4…
08-07 18:55:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x718415…
08-07 18:49:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	997	98¢	$973	0xd60aee…
08-07 18:42:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x2b569d…
08-07 07:44:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	306	94¢	$288	0x3a7905…
08-07 06:48:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xbeaa0e…
08-07 05:36:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x450710…
08-07 02:20:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x57ff0b…
08-07 00:04:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe05d5a…
08-06 23:00:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0xcf5fb9…
08-06 16:25:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf68e4e…
08-06 15:11:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc22b89…
08-06 14:44:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x275a68…
08-06 10:09:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaef357…
08-06 09:24:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2,366	98¢	$2,316	0x655f20…
08-06 09:19:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x05b747…
08-06 09:17:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x669760…
08-06 09:12:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc1fb57…
08-06 08:49:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x23c470…
08-06 08:48:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	810	98¢	$793	0xc388cb…
08-06 08:00:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xe64ac3…
08-06 08:00:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x4674e0…
08-06 08:00:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7279f8…
08-06 08:00:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf6bd8…
08-06 08:00:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8d50ce…
08-06 08:00:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xafde08…
08-06 07:55:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x898064…
08-06 07:55:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,773	98¢	$1,736	0x42eb27…
08-06 07:40:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf40b3f…
08-06 04:42:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0xb66017…
08-05 20:08:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1,463	94¢	$1,375	0x127128…
08-05 11:20:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2,846	96¢	$2,743	0x552de3…