Insignificant-Sugar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-15 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-2

Other

28% 33% +$13

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+40	$1	2¢	$1	$-0	06-15 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$13	1,020	+1,020	open	—	04-08 00:55
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	26	+26	Yes	+$16	05-06 05:07
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$10	42	+42	open	—	04-08 00:57
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	18	+18	open	—	03-23 22:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	1	$5	714	+714	open	—	04-08 00:51
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	33	+33	open	—	03-23 22:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	26	+26	open	—	03-23 21:58
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	05-22 12:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	04-08 00:52
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$3	107	+107	open	—	03-23 22:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$3	12	+12	open	—	03-29 16:00
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	1	$2	215	+215	open	—	04-08 01:06
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	1	$2	210	+210	open	—	04-08 01:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$2	12	+12	open	—	05-06 05:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$2	59	+59	open	—	04-01 20:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$2	29	+29	open	—	04-01 20:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$2	5	+5	No	$-2	03-30 10:24
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-22 12:50
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-11 15:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	03-17 11:16
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	1	$1	60	+60	open	—	03-17 11:14
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	40	+40	open	—	06-15 10:33
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$1	17	+17	Yes	$-1	05-06 05:09
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	1	$1	22	+22	open	—	04-01 20:09
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	14	+14	open	—	04-21 07:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$1	34	+34	No	$-1	05-06 04:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$1	32	+32	No	$-1	05-06 05:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$1	56	+56	open	—	04-01 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 10:33:27	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc5b9ad…
05-22 12:54:58	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa70bf4…
05-22 12:50:41	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2b4afb…
05-06 05:09:00	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x912545…
05-06 05:07:42	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6acdba…
05-06 05:00:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe76554…
05-06 05:00:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xd632f1…
05-06 04:58:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x43e48b…
04-21 07:22:20	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaca335…
04-11 15:30:47	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x67303c…
04-08 01:25:31	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x6942bc…
04-08 01:06:17	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0x47a7c1…
04-08 00:57:51	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x856481…
04-08 00:55:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xdf03ce…
04-08 00:54:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xe5a99a…
04-08 00:52:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3a92d1…
04-08 00:51:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xea8bc2…
04-01 20:09:29	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x114719…
04-01 20:06:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xb1447f…
04-01 20:05:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xe9a998…
04-01 20:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcc71b6…
04-01 20:01:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9953e6…
03-30 10:24:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xccf318…
03-29 16:00:16	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x7abb2d…
03-23 22:08:41	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0xe7ed76…
03-23 22:05:13	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1d2227…
03-23 22:05:05	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xfe3e07…
03-23 21:58:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5f5508…
03-17 11:16:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbe7240…
03-17 11:14:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x9d5591…